Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. ¥21.40, price ¥108, upside -80.1%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value ¥21.40 · Strongly overvalued (−80.1%)
!Quality 51/100
!Expensive Growth(revenue 5y +22.1 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 17.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!1.2% dividend yield · Pays more than it earns
!Trails peers(4/12)
!Moderate moat48/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
53‑month range ¥19.44 – ¥150.79 · fair‑value band ¥16.77 – ¥26.03 · the ¥107.50 price screens above the ¥21.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, and sale of analog chips in the People's Republic of China.
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Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, and sale of analog chips in the People's Republic of China. The company's products portfolios include battery safety chips, full-featured protections, secondary protections, AFEs, fuel gauges, voltage types, and voltage and current types; power management chips, charging management chips, buck converters, LDO low dropout regulators, and load switches; USB control ICs, identify current-limiting chips, and identify current-limiting communication chips; and motor drive control ICs, and brushed motor drives. It also offers E-bikes, tablets, smartphones, smart wearable products, power tools, power banks/battery packs, balance bikes, scooters, mopeds, USB adapters, and car charging solutions. Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co., Ltd. was founded in 2009 and is based in Dongguan, China.
Stock analysis
Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325) currently trades at ¥107.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥21.40, 80.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥44.22 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥107.50 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥9.32, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ¥16.77 (bear) to ¥26.03 (bull), the price of ¥107.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. reported revenue of 489M CNY in FY2025 versus 339M CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.6%/yr. Reported net income was 97.3M CNY in FY2025, compounding +2.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 9.3B CNY (≈ $1.4B) · P/E ratio 104.4 · P/S ratio 20.8 · EPS (TTM) ¥1.03 · Dividend yield 1.2% · Net margin 19.9% · Return on equity 5.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −80%, 688325 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ¥16.77Fair Value ¥21.40Bull ¥26.03
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+24.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.9%
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
+15.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.22% → 16%
2025 sits 58% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Compare Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 339 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score51 · Below median
Fair Value upside−80.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)5.3% · Below median
Return on assets1.8% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)17.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)10.3% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth8.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)104.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B5.26× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)17.99× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)41· sector 68
PAST (return on equity)21· sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)24· sector 19
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥21.40 versus a price of ¥107.50, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688325?
Our model-based fair value for Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. is ¥21.40 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥107.50.
What is the quality score of 688325?
Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥21.40 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥16.77, optimistic scenario ¥26.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥21.40, about −80% upside versus a price of ¥107.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥16.77, optimistic scenario ¥26.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325)?
Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 515M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. pay a dividend?
Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.21% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. it is ¥21.40 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ¥107.50. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 688325 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥107.50, fair value ¥21.40, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688325?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥107.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥21.40). For Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. the two are ¥86.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. worth?
The market values Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. at about 9.3B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ¥107.50; our models calculate a fair value of ¥21.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688325?
Our models span a range for Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd.: cautious scenario ¥16.77, base ¥21.40, optimistic ¥26.03 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ¥107.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688325?
Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 104.4 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥21.40 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.3, P/S 18.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325)?
Balance-sheet figures for Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 5.3%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688325 from its 52-week high?
Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. trades at ¥107.50, about 29% below its 52-week high of ¥150.79 and 33% above the low of ¥80.82 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥21.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ¥107.50, calculated fair value ¥21.40 (−80%), Quality Score 51/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688325 calculated?
We run Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥21.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥107.50. Our model-based fair value is ¥21.40, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥26.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd.
How large is the market capitalisation of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325)?
The market capitalisation of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. is 9.3B CNY (≈ $1.4B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. is 20.8 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. are ¥1.03 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 104.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325)?
The dividend yield of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. is 1.2% (payout 126%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325)?
The net margin of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. is 19.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325)?
The operating margin of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. is 10.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325)?
Revenue at Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. is growing +8.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +34.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325)?
Earnings per share at Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. are growing −17.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. (688325) generate?
The free cash flow of Guangdong Cellwise Microelectronics Co. Ltd. is −176M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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