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Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A ¥7.60, price ¥13.20, upside -42.4%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · CN · ISIN CNE100005QJ1

SH Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A

688349 · SHG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥7.60 · Strongly overvalued (−42%)
!Quality 41/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +24.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.7% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·2.16% dividend yield
✓Ranks above peers (8/13)
!Narrow moat 31/100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥38.69 ¥12.82 Fair Value ¥7.60 Jun 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

51‑month range ¥12.82 – ¥38.69 · fair‑value band ¥6.84 – ¥9.50 · the ¥13.20 price screens above the ¥7.60 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Sany Renewable Energy Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of wind turbines and generators in China. The company operates through five segments: The Wind Turbine Manufacturing Division; The wind power services; Wind farm development; Power Plant; and Others segments.

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Sany Renewable Energy Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of wind turbines and generators in China. The company operates through five segments: The Wind Turbine Manufacturing Division; The wind power services; Wind farm development; Power Plant; and Others segments. It engages in the research and development, manufacturing and sales, maintenance and transportation services of wind turbines and their components; and provides wind power-related consulting and wind farm construction, as well as engages in wind farm development and operation. The company is also involved in development and sales of wind farms; and engages in internal operation support services. In addition, it develops, manages, and operates wind farms. The company was founded in 2008 and is based in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349) currently trades at ¥13.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥7.60, implying the stock looks roughly 73.7% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥15.29 per share, and 3 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥13.20 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥5.94, and 13 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: ¥6.84 (bear) to ¥9.50 (bull), the price of ¥13.20 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 27.4B CNY in FY2025 versus 10.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +28.0%/yr. Reported net income was 712M CNY in FY2025, compounding −18.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 24.1B CNY (≈ $3.6B) · P/E ratio 19.1 · P/S ratio 0.50 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.6900 · Dividend yield 2.2% · Net margin 2.6% · Return on equity 7.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −42%, 688349 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥6.84 Fair Value ¥7.60 Bull ¥9.50
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.2963 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ¥6.78 ¥6.92 ¥6.62 76
ROIC Compounder ¥7.08 ¥7.46 ¥7.79 72
EPV ¥7.08 ¥7.46 ¥7.79 71
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥3.04 ¥21.20 ¥29.75 63
Lynch FV ¥8.51 ¥12.16 ¥15.81 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥8.51 ¥12.16 ¥15.81 57
EPV ¥7.08 ¥7.46 ¥7.79 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥4.47 ¥8.91 ¥13.49 67
DDM Multi-Stage ¥4.47 ¥7.70 ¥9.40 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥7.04 ¥9.39 ¥11.73 63
P/S Multiple ¥5.70 ¥7.60 ¥9.50 58
P/B Multiple ¥5.70 ¥7.60 ¥9.50 55
EV/EBIT ¥8.95 ¥10.39 ¥11.82 66
EV/EBITDA ¥12.07 ¥14.55 ¥17.02 67
EV/Revenue ¥7.72 ¥9.04 ¥10.35 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.44 ¥5.94 ¥8.87 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥6.78 ¥6.92 ¥6.62 76
ROIC Compounder ¥7.08 ¥7.46 ¥7.79 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥10.70 ¥15.29 ¥19.87 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 48
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 74
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 13
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+53.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+30.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−15.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−17.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.17% → 2%

688349 screens 74% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 826 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −42% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 82% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.2% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.05× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.70× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.83× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 12.1× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 22
PAST (return on equity)31 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)43 · sector 25

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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GE Vernova Inc GEV $950.28 $194.25 −80%
SIE SIE €273.85 €150.21 −45%
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Parker-Hannifin Corporation PH $964.85 $418.76 −57%
Cummins Inc CMI $526.13 $359.38 −32%
Illinois Tool Works Inc ITW $270.47 $151.39 −44%
Emerson Electric Co EMR $154.19 $62.15 −60%
AMETEK, Inc AME $245.41 $125.80 −49%
Rockwell Automation, Inc ROK $427.19 $138.24 −68%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 383.50 kr 193.39 −50%

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Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A · Fair Value
¥7.60 −74%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688349

Frequently asked questions

Is Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥7.60 versus a price of ¥13.20, about −42% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688349?
Our model-based fair value for Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A is ¥7.60 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥13.20.
What is the quality score of 688349?
Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥7.60 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥6.84, optimistic scenario ¥9.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥7.60, about −42% upside versus a price of ¥13.20 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥6.84, optimistic scenario ¥9.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349)?
Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 29.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A pay a dividend?
Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.16% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A it is ¥7.60 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥13.20. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 688349 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥13.20, fair value ¥7.60, a gap of about −42% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688349?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥13.20); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥7.60). For Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥5.60 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A at about 24.1B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥13.20; our models calculate a fair value of ¥7.60 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688349?
Our models span a range for Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥6.84, base ¥7.60, optimistic ¥9.50 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥13.20). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688349?
Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥7.60 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 0.8, EV/EBITDA 12.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.8%, debt of 0.05 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688349 from its 52-week high?
Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥13.20, about 46% below its 52-week high of ¥24.34 and 3% above the low of ¥12.82 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥7.60 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥13.20, calculated fair value ¥7.60 (−42%), Quality Score 41/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688349 calculated?
We run Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥7.60, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was ¥13.20. Our model-based fair value is ¥7.60, about −42% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥9.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A

How large is the market capitalisation of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349)?
The market capitalisation of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A is 24.1B CNY (≈ $3.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A is 0.50 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349)?
Earnings per share at Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A are ¥0.6900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349)?
The dividend yield of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A is 2.2% (payout 41.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349)?
The net margin of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A is 2.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349)?
The operating margin of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A is 0.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349)?
Revenue at Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A is growing +82.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +30.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349)?
Earnings per share at Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A are growing −43.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349) generate?
The free cash flow of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A is −2.3B CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A (688349) carry?
The net debt of Sany Heavy Energy Co. Ltd. A is 21.3M CNY (fiscal year 2021). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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