Hefei Gocom Information Technology Co (688367) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 2.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 12, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 12, 2026, revised from ¥2.42 to ¥16.32 (+574.4%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price +2.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 46% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥20.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (50/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥9.51 – ¥47.48 · fair‑value band ¥12.21 – ¥20.37 · the ¥30.46 price screens above the ¥16.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.
Analysis
Hefei Gocom Information Technology Co (688367) currently trades at ¥30.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.32, implying the stock looks roughly 46.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Hefei Gocom Information Technology Co generated revenue of 182M CNY at a net margin of 4.5%. Revenue declined 37.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 167M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥12.21 (bear case) to ¥20.37 (bull case); at ¥30.46, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 87% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -46%, 688367 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥4.55) versus Earnings-Based (¥1.34). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hefei Gocom Information Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of industrial railway signal control and intelligent dispatching products in China. The company offers ground industrial railway, underground narrow gauge, and digital intelligence application solutions.
Full company description
Hefei Gocom Information Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the research and development, production, and sale of industrial railway signal control and intelligent dispatching products in China. The company offers ground industrial railway, underground narrow gauge, and digital intelligence application solutions. It also provides core technology, security system, and innovation platform services. Its products are used in metallurgy, mining, petrochemicals, ports, power, railways, and other pillar industries. Hefei Gocom Information Technology Co.,Ltd. was founded in 2001 and is based in Hefei, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hefei Gocom Information Technology Co reported revenue of ¥198M in FY2025 versus ¥250M in FY2021, a compound −5.8%/yr. Reported net income was ¥10.1M in FY2025, compounding −35.2%/yr from FY2021.
688367 screens 46% overvalued. Compare with Union Pacific Corporation →
Peer Group
Railroads · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $301.75 | $144.60 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $49.41 | $12.85 | -74% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.91 | $35.00 | -62% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNR | C$180.94 | C$92.68 | -49% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $327.47 | $117.90 | -64% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $259.71 | $144.80 | -44% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.82 | ¥5.65 | +17% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.65 | ¥9.53 | +69% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.85 | ¥6.24 | +29% |
| Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 | 167,700 KRW | 125,182 KRW | -25% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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