China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd ¥13.92, price ¥59.17, upside -76.5%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥33.98 – ¥99.33 · fair‑value band ¥11.47 – ¥17.41 · the ¥59.17 price screens above the ¥13.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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China Resources Microelectronics Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of semiconductors in China and internationally. The company offers power devices, power modules, power integrated circuits (ICs), and intelligent sensors and controls.
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China Resources Microelectronics Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of semiconductors in China and internationally. The company offers power devices, power modules, power integrated circuits (ICs), and intelligent sensors and controls. It also provides electric vehicle driving scheme, BMS scheme, landscape tools scheme, LED bulb/downlight, LED filament lamp power supply, dimming power supply, mobile charger power supply, and lithium battery protection board. Its products are used in TV power source, charger/adapter, wireless charging, electric bicycle, UPS power, electric/garden tools, industrial welder, lithium battery protection products, garden tool, vacuum cleaner, electric energy storage, charging post, inverter welding, inverter, e-ciga atomizer, IH, class-D audio amplifier, MPPT, portable energy storage, and high-power supply applications. The company was formerly known as CSMC Technologies Corporation and changed its name to China Resources Microelectronics Limited in 2008. China Resources Microelectronics Limited was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Wuxi, China. China Resources Microelectronics Limited is a subsidiary of China Resources (Holdings) Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396) currently trades at ¥59.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.92, implying the stock looks roughly 325.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥18.21 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥59.17 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥4.50, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ¥11.47 (bear) to ¥17.41 (bull), the price of ¥59.17 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
China Resources Microelectronics Ltd reported revenue of 11.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 9.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +4.6%/yr. Reported net income was 661M CNY in FY2025, compounding −26.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 78.5B CNY (≈ $11.7B) · P/E ratio 74.9 · P/S ratio 4.48 · EPS (TTM) ¥0.7900 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 6.0% · Return on equity 3.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 39% below its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −76%, 688396 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (¥1.37 to ¥39.18). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ¥11.47Fair Value ¥13.92Bull ¥17.41
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.5071 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−0.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−0.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 10%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+45.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +42.8% a year for the price.
Compare China Resources Microelectronics Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 338 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside−76.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3.8% · Below median
Return on assets2.4% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)8.7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)11.0% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth14.2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)74.9× · Pricier than median
P/B3.42× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)6.57× · Pricier than median
P/FCF20.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA29.0× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)71· sector 72
PAST (return on equity)15· sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)4· sector 19
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥13.92 versus a price of ¥59.17, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688396?
Our model-based fair value for China Resources Microelectronics Ltd is ¥13.92 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥59.17.
What is the quality score of 688396?
China Resources Microelectronics Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥13.92 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥11.47, optimistic scenario ¥17.41. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China Resources Microelectronics Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥13.92, about −76% upside versus a price of ¥59.17 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥11.47, optimistic scenario ¥17.41. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396)?
China Resources Microelectronics Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 12.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does China Resources Microelectronics Ltd pay a dividend?
China Resources Microelectronics Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.18% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China Resources Microelectronics Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +45.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +9.6 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 688396 use?
Our models discount China Resources Microelectronics Ltd at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.90, country premium for China. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China Resources Microelectronics Ltd that is +45.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at China Resources Microelectronics Ltd grew +9.6 % a year. The price currently implies +45.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.5 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (+45.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.73 %: that much free cash flow China Resources Microelectronics Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China Resources Microelectronics Ltd it is ¥13.92 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ¥59.17. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China Resources Microelectronics Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 688396 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥59.17, fair value ¥13.92, a gap of about −76% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688396?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥59.17); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥13.92). For China Resources Microelectronics Ltd the two are ¥45.25 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China Resources Microelectronics Ltd worth?
The market values China Resources Microelectronics Ltd at about 78.5B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ¥59.17; our models calculate a fair value of ¥13.92 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688396?
Our models span a range for China Resources Microelectronics Ltd: cautious scenario ¥11.47, base ¥13.92, optimistic ¥17.41 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ¥59.17). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 688396?
China Resources Microelectronics Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 74.9 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ¥13.92 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.4, P/S 6.6, EV/EBITDA 29.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396)?
Balance-sheet figures for China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 3.8%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688396 from its 52-week high?
China Resources Microelectronics Ltd trades at ¥59.17, about 39% below its 52-week high of ¥97.55 and 35% above the low of ¥43.80 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥13.92 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China Resources Microelectronics Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China Resources Microelectronics Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ¥59.17, calculated fair value ¥13.92 (−76%), Quality Score 59/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688396 calculated?
We run China Resources Microelectronics Ltd through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥13.92, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. China Resources Microelectronics Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was ¥59.17. Our model-based fair value is ¥13.92, about −76% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China Resources Microelectronics Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥17.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396)?
The market capitalisation of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd is 78.5B CNY (≈ $11.7B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd is 4.48 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396)?
Earnings per share at China Resources Microelectronics Ltd are ¥0.7900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 74.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396)?
The dividend yield of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd is 0.2% (payout 13.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396)?
The net margin of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd is 6.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396)?
The operating margin of China Resources Microelectronics Ltd is 11.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396)?
Revenue at China Resources Microelectronics Ltd is growing +14.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396)?
Earnings per share at China Resources Microelectronics Ltd are growing +53.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does China Resources Microelectronics Ltd (688396) hold?
China Resources Microelectronics Ltd holds more cash than debt, 8.5B CNY net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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