KENGIC Intelligent Technology Co (688455) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.1B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥4.81 to ¥3.97 (−17.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −9.9% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 74% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥4.76). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
47‑month range ¥7.38 – ¥29.85 · fair‑value band ¥3.43 – ¥4.76 · the ¥15.36 price screens above the ¥3.97 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
KENGIC Intelligent Technology Co (688455) currently trades at ¥15.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.97, implying the stock looks roughly 74.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, KENGIC Intelligent Technology Co generated revenue of 2.4B CNY at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue grew 73.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.3%. Net debt stands at 47.3M CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥3.43 (bear case) to ¥4.76 (bull case); at ¥15.36, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 50% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -74%, 688455 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥6.16) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.12). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
KENGIC Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, manufacture, sale, and service of smart logistics and intelligent manufacturing system and products in China and internationally.
Full company description
KENGIC Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. engages in the research and development, design, manufacture, sale, and service of smart logistics and intelligent manufacturing system and products in China and internationally. The company offers intelligent conveying systems, intelligent sorting systems, intelligent AS/RS, intelligent storage, and intelligent factory systems; and software products, including intelligent logistics application software, intelligent manufacturing system application software, and intelligent service application software solutions. It also provides system integration, multi-industry system consulting, solution planning, integrated designing, equipment development, software development, on-site implementation, and after-sales services. The company serves various industries, including express and logistics, e-commerce and new retail, home appliances, furniture, automobiles, communication electronics, equipment manufacturing, national defense and military, medicine and health, materials, energy, chemical, etc. The company was formerly known as Kengic Intelligent Equipment Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to KENGIC Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. in December 2020. KENGIC Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2015 and is based in Qingdao, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
KENGIC Intelligent Technology Co reported revenue of ¥2.3B in FY2025 versus ¥1.3B in FY2021, a compound +15.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥30.5M in FY2025, compounding −23.0%/yr from FY2021.
688455 screens 74% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €887.60 | €186.93 | -79% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €273.20 | €91.93 | -66% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 | 76,400 KRW | 7,938 KRW | -90% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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