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Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A (688562) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A ¥2.68, price ¥14.26, upside -81.2%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · CN · ISIN CNE100006JR7

BS Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A

688562 · SHG

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ¥2.68 · Strongly overvalued (−81.2%)
!Quality 46/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −13.7 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.1% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (2/9)
!Narrow moat 15/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

¥33.89 ¥12.08 Fair Value ¥2.68 May 2023 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

40‑month range ¥12.08 – ¥33.89 · fair‑value band ¥2.65 – ¥2.70 · the ¥14.26 price screens above the ¥2.68 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co., ltd offers software, information technology, and information system integration services in China.

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Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co., ltd offers software, information technology, and information system integration services in China. It offers basic software, divine power database, embedded software, industrial software, product collaborative development software (AVIDM), and business control series software; business secret network cloud service, information operation and maintenance services, comprehensive operation and maintenance management services for system integration projects, comprehensive operation and maintenance management services for digital party and government portals; and information system integration services, as well as technical financial services. It serves the enterprises, governments, military and other fields. Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co., Ltd. was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A (688562) currently trades at ¥14.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.68, 81.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥2.89 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the ¥14.26 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.65, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ¥2.65 (bear) to ¥2.70 (bull), the price of ¥14.26 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A reported revenue of 1.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound −5.1%/yr. Reported net income was −11.3M CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 5.7B CNY (≈ $852M) · P/S ratio 4.87 · EPS (TTM) ¥−0.0700 · Net margin −0.9% · Return on equity −1.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.6% · Operating margin −138% · Revenue (TTM) 1.2B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −81%, 688562 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ¥2.65 Fair Value ¥2.68 Bull ¥2.70
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV ¥2.65 ¥2.65 ¥2.65 68
ROIC Compounder ¥2.65 ¥2.65 ¥2.65 67
EV/EBITDA ¥3.11 ¥3.28 ¥3.45 64
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV ¥2.65 ¥2.65 ¥2.65 68
Multiples
EV/EBIT ¥2.65 ¥2.66 ¥2.68 63
EV/EBITDA ¥3.11 ¥3.28 ¥3.45 64
EV/Revenue ¥2.66 ¥2.68 ¥2.70 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥2.16 ¥2.89 ¥4.31 51
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder ¥2.65 ¥2.65 ¥2.65 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 31

Profitability 16
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 61
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 40
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 6/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−13.7%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.5% (2021) → 0.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

688562 screens overvalued: fair value 81% below the price. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Software - Infrastructure · 357 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside −81.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −1.6% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −2.1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −138.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −27.9% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.49× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.71× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Microsoft Corporation MSFT $512.90 $564.19 +10%
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR $187.05 $42.16 −77%
Oracle Corporation ORCL $137.30 $112.26 −18%
CrowdStrike Holdings CRWD $264.75 $37.31 −86%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $176.33 $164.68 −7%
Synopsys, Inc SNPS $434.94 $249.20 −43%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $87.12 $58.32 −33%
Block, Inc XYZ $74.04 $76.95 +4%
NetApp, Inc NTAP $204.41 $157.26 −23%
Okta, Inc OKTA $202.18 $142.12 −30%

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¥2.68 −81%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/688562

Frequently asked questions

Is Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A (688562) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥2.68 versus a price of ¥14.26, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 688562?
Our model-based fair value for Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A is ¥2.68 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥14.26.
What is the quality score of 688562?
Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A (688562)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ¥2.68 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario ¥2.65, optimistic scenario ¥2.70. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ¥2.68, about −81% upside versus a price of ¥14.26 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ¥2.65, optimistic scenario ¥2.70. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A (688562)?
Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A (688562)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A it is ¥2.68 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ¥14.26. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 688562 trades above its calculated fair value: price ¥14.26, fair value ¥2.68, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 688562?
No. The price is what the market pays today (¥14.26); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (¥2.68). For Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A the two are ¥11.58 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A worth?
The market values Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A at about 5.7B CNY (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ¥14.26; our models calculate a fair value of ¥2.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 688562?
Our models span a range for Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A: cautious scenario ¥2.65, base ¥2.68, optimistic ¥2.70 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ¥14.26). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A (688562)?
Balance-sheet figures for Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −1.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 688562 from its 52-week high?
Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A trades at ¥14.26, about 52% below its 52-week high of ¥29.70 and 10% above the low of ¥12.91 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ¥2.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Microsoft Corporation, Palantir Technologies Inc, Oracle Corporation, CrowdStrike Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ¥14.26, calculated fair value ¥2.68 (−81%), Quality Score 46/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 688562 calculated?
We run Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ¥2.68, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A (688562)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was ¥14.26. Our model-based fair value is ¥2.68, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥2.70). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The models converge in a tight band (¥2.65 to ¥2.70), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.

Key figures of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A

How large is the market capitalisation of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A (688562)?
The market capitalisation of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A is 5.7B CNY (≈ $852M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A (688562)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A is 4.87 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A (688562)?
Earnings per share at Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A are ¥−0.0700. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A (688562)?
The net margin of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A is −0.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A (688562)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A is −1.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A (688562)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A is 0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A (688562)?
The operating margin of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A is −138% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A (688562)?
Revenue at Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A is growing −27.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −13.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A (688562) generate?
The free cash flow of Beijing Shenzhou Aerospace Software Technology Co. Ltd. A is −131M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
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