Beijing Tieke Shougang Rail Way-Tech Co (688569) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 3.8B CNY
Fair value as of: Jul 12, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 29 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 12, 2026, revised from ¥17.58 to ¥17.07 (−2.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +3.3% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from ¥12.80 (bear) to ¥21.34 (bull), base ¥17.07. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 60/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥13.41 – ¥51.66 · fair‑value band ¥12.80 – ¥21.34 · the ¥17.22 price screens above the ¥17.07 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 12, 2026.
Analysis
Beijing Tieke Shougang Rail Way-Tech Co (688569) currently trades at ¥17.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥17.07, implying the stock looks roughly 0.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Beijing Tieke Shougang Rail Way-Tech Co generated revenue of 1.3B CNY at a net margin of 12.6%. Revenue grew 27.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Jul 12, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥12.80 (bear case) to ¥21.34 (bull case); at ¥17.22, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -28% fair-value upside, at -1%, 688569 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥17.07) versus Dividend Discount (¥3.53). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Beijing Tieke Shougang Rail Way-Tech Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, and production of core accessories for railway construction in China.
Full company description
Beijing Tieke Shougang Rail Way-Tech Co., Ltd. engages in the research, development, and production of core accessories for railway construction in China. It offers rail buckle accessories; polymer materials, such as nylon and rubber products; technology promotion; sells building materials; imports and exports goods, technology, and agent; produces railways fastener systems, low relaxation prestressed steel bars, bridge bearing, prestressed steel wires, and general freight; inspects product quality; and professional contracting services. Beijing Tieke Shougang Rail Way-Tech Co., Ltd. was founded in 2006 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Beijing Tieke Shougang Rail Way-Tech Co reported revenue of ¥1.3B in FY2025 versus ¥1.4B in FY2021, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥171M in FY2025, compounding +0.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Railroads · 111 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 12, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Pacific Corporation UNP | $301.75 | $144.60 | -52% |
| CSX Corporation CSX | $49.41 | $12.85 | -74% |
| Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP | $92.91 | $35.00 | -62% |
| Canadian National Railway Company CNI | $128.22 | $92.63 | -28% |
| Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC | $327.47 | $117.90 | -64% |
| Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB | $259.71 | $144.80 | -44% |
| Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 | ¥4.82 | ¥5.65 | +17% |
| CRRC Corporation 601766 | ¥5.65 | ¥9.53 | +69% |
| Daqin Railway Co 601006 | ¥4.85 | ¥6.24 | +29% |
| Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 | 167,700 KRW | 125,182 KRW | -25% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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