Macmic Science & Technology Co Ltd (688711) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CN · Market cap 5.6B CNY
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥2.62 to ¥3.01 (+14.9%) since Aug 12, 2026. Share price +11.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 741% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.01). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥11.82 – ¥77.89 · fair‑value band ¥2.10 – ¥3.01 · the ¥25.32 price screens above the ¥3.01 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Macmic Science & Technology Co Ltd (688711) currently trades at ¥25.32, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥3.01, implying the stock looks roughly 88.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Macmic Science & Technology Co Ltd generated revenue of 1.4B CNY at a net margin of 1.3%. Revenue grew 3.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.2%. Net debt stands at 619M CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥2.10 (bear case) to ¥3.01 (bull case); at ¥25.32, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -88%, 688711 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥5.01) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.8400). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 16
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Macmic Science&Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the design, development, production, and sale of power semiconductor chips, single tubes, and modules in Taiwan and internationally.
Full company description
Macmic Science&Technology Co.,Ltd. engages in the design, development, production, and sale of power semiconductor chips, single tubes, and modules in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers power modules and discretes, such as IGBT, SiC, and FRED, as well as rectifier bridges modules; FRED chips; and SDC power modules, SSC power modules, and DSC power modules. Its products are applied in industrial control, electric vehicles, new energy power generation, and household appliances. The company was founded in 2006 and is based in Changzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Macmic Science & Technology Co Ltd reported revenue of ¥1.3B in FY2025 versus ¥551M in FY2021, a compound +25.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥17.4M in FY2025, compounding −29.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +27.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −6.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
688711 screens 88% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 329 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $225.01 | $98.98 | -56% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $429.15 | $291.42 | -32% |
| Broadcom Inc AVGO | $416.05 | $118.27 | -72% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 1,504,000 KRW | 1,481,291 KRW | -2% |
| Micron Technology, Inc MU | $911.29 | $148.38 | -84% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD | $469.46 | $55.02 | -88% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | $92.80 | $35.41 | -62% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $276.59 | $78.54 | -72% |
| QUALCOMM Incorporated QCOM | $160.19 | $147.20 | -8% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 3,845 TWD | 1,559 TWD | -59% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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