Semiconductor Manufacturing Intl Co (688981) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Semiconductor Manufacturing Intl Co is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
- Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
- Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
- Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes
At a glance
Below-average quality, and trading another 650% above our fair value of ¥16.55.
As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Semiconductor Manufacturing Intl Co is ¥16.55 per share against a price of ¥124.12, so the fair value sits 87% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated today
Share price −3.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥20.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥36.83 – ¥173.00 · fair‑value band ¥12.13 – ¥20.83 · the ¥124.12 price screens above the ¥16.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
Analysis
Semiconductor Manufacturing Intl Co (688981) currently trades at ¥124.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥16.55, implying the stock looks roughly 650.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥19.50 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ¥124.12 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ¥5.67, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Semiconductor Manufacturing Intl Co generated revenue of $9.6B at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue grew 11.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.6%. Net debt stands at $6.7B. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026
Scenario range: ¥12.13 (bear) to ¥20.83 (bull), the price of ¥124.12 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −87%, 688981 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (¥0.4264 per share) are deliberately not added.
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥19.50) versus Dividend Discount (¥0.0756). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, testing, and sale of integrated circuits wafer and various compound semiconductors in the United States, China, and Eurasia.
Full company description
Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture, testing, and sale of integrated circuits wafer and various compound semiconductors in the United States, China, and Eurasia. The company is also involved in the manufacturing, sale, and trading of semiconductor products; and research and development activities. In addition, it offers semiconductor foundry and technology services; supporting services comprising design and IP support, photomask manufacturing, etc.; development, design, and technical services related to integrated circuits; marketing related services; and private education services. Further, the company tests and sells self-produced products, and other services. Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Semiconductor Manufacturing Intl Co reported revenue of $9.6B in FY2025 versus $5.4B in FY2021, a compound +15.3%/yr. Reported net income was $1,000M in FY2025, compounding −12.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +14.7 % · buybacks/dilution −8.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
688981 screens 650% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 326 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Information Technology sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Chinese Stocks
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $230.36 | $98.98 | −57% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $428.91 | $296.10 | −31% |
| Broadcom Inc AVGO | $357.90 | $118.27 | −67% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 1,647,000 KRW | 1,481,291 KRW | −10% |
| Micron Technology, Inc MU | $1,017 | $148.38 | −85% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD | $477.57 | $55.02 | −88% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | $95.80 | $35.41 | −63% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $258.44 | $78.54 | −70% |
| QUALCOMM Incorporated QCOM | $168.74 | $147.20 | −13% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 3,845 TWD | 1,559 TWD | −59% |
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