Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Ralco Corporation Bhd MYR 0.41, price MYR 0.99, upside -58.4%, quality 43 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1800 MYR – 1.29 MYR · fair‑value band 0.3500 MYR – 0.5000 MYR · the 0.9850 MYR price screens above the 0.4100 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Ralco Corporation Berhad, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells plastic products in Malaysia and Singapore. It operates through two segments, Plastic Products and Others.
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Ralco Corporation Berhad, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells plastic products in Malaysia and Singapore. It operates through two segments, Plastic Products and Others. The company offers jerrycans that are used in the packing of liquid form of chemicals, medical products, and edible oils; and pails for use in packing paints for household and industrial use. It also provides designing, printing, and labelling services, as well as heat transfer services. In addition, the company manufactures and trades in plastic bottles, containers, boxes, crates, and related materials. Further, it is involved in the provision of transportation services; and supply of renewable energy. The company serves the food, chemical, pharmaceutical, agriculture, edible oil, lubricant, paint and compound, and other industries. Ralco Corporation Berhad was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Nilai, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498) currently trades at 0.9850 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.4100 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 140.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.5600 MYR per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the 0.9850 MYR price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 0.2800 MYR, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.3500 MYR (bear) to 0.5000 MYR (bull), the price of 0.9850 MYR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Ralco Corporation Bhd reported revenue of 31.8M MYR in FY2025 versus 50.5M MYR in FY2021, a compound −10.9%/yr. Reported net income was −7.0M MYR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 50.0M MYR (≈ $12.3M) · P/S ratio 1.93 · EPS (TTM) −0.0400 MYR · Net margin −21.9% · Return on equity −5.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.9% · Operating margin −0.1% · Revenue (TTM) 25.3M MYR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 12% below its 52-week high and 52% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −58%, 7498 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.3500 MYRFair Value 0.4100 MYRBull 0.5000 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−37.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.7%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
2.8% (2020) → −20.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+32.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +29.6% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score43 · Below median
Fair Value upside−58% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−42% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.29× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.48× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF11.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA17.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 21
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 3
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 46
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ralco Corporation Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/7498
Frequently asked questions
Is Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.4100 MYR versus a price of 0.9850 MYR, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 7498?
Our model-based fair value for Ralco Corporation Bhd is 0.4100 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.9850 MYR.
What is the quality score of 7498?
Ralco Corporation Bhd has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.4100 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.3500 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.5000 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ralco Corporation Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.4100 MYR, about −58% upside versus a price of 0.9850 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.3500 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.5000 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498)?
Ralco Corporation Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 25.3M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ralco Corporation Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by +32.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -9.8 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 7498 use?
Our models discount Ralco Corporation Bhd at 11.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.31, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ralco Corporation Bhd that is +32.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ralco Corporation Bhd grew -9.8 % a year. The price currently implies +32.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ralco Corporation Bhd (+32.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.12 %: that much free cash flow Ralco Corporation Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ralco Corporation Bhd it is 0.4100 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 0.9850 MYR. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ralco Corporation Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 7498 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.9850 MYR, fair value 0.4100 MYR, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 7498?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.9850 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.4100 MYR). For Ralco Corporation Bhd the two are 0.5750 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ralco Corporation Bhd worth?
The market values Ralco Corporation Bhd at about 50.0M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 0.9850 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.4100 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 7498?
Our models span a range for Ralco Corporation Bhd: cautious scenario 0.3500 MYR, base 0.4100 MYR, optimistic 0.5000 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 0.9850 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ralco Corporation Bhd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −5.4%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 7498 from its 52-week high?
Ralco Corporation Bhd trades at 0.9850 MYR, about 12% below its 52-week high of 1.12 MYR and 52% above the low of 0.6500 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.4100 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ralco Corporation Bhd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ralco Corporation Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 0.9850 MYR, calculated fair value 0.4100 MYR (−58%), Quality Score 43/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 7498 calculated?
We run Ralco Corporation Bhd through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.4100 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Ralco Corporation Bhd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.9850 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.4100 MYR, about −58% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ralco Corporation Bhd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.5000 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Ralco Corporation Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498)?
The market capitalisation of Ralco Corporation Bhd is 50.0M MYR (≈ $12.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ralco Corporation Bhd is 1.93 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498)?
Earnings per share at Ralco Corporation Bhd are −0.0400 MYR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498)?
The net margin of Ralco Corporation Bhd is −21.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ralco Corporation Bhd is −5.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ralco Corporation Bhd is −1.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498)?
The operating margin of Ralco Corporation Bhd is −0.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498)?
Revenue at Ralco Corporation Bhd is growing −41.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −17.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498)?
Earnings per share at Ralco Corporation Bhd are growing −2.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ralco Corporation Bhd (7498) carry?
The net debt of Ralco Corporation Bhd is 453K MYR (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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