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Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · HK · Market cap HK$101M

GS Global Strategic Group Ltd 8007 · HK
PriceHK$0.4400
Fair ValueHK$0.5100
Upside+15.9%
Quality23/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -28.4% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.2720 – HK$0.7480 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −3.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 16% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.2720 to HK$0.7480). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$10.63 HK$0.1758 Fair Value HK$0.5100 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1758 – HK$10.63 · fair‑value band HK$0.2720 – HK$0.7480 · the HK$0.4400 price screens below the HK$0.5100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007) currently trades at HK$0.4400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5100, implying the stock looks roughly 15.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Global Strategic Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$140M at a net margin of -28.4%. Revenue grew 83.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.8%. Net debt stands at HK$118M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2720 (bear case) to HK$0.7480 (bull case); at HK$0.4400, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 110% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at 16%, 8007 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder HK$0.0100 72
EPV HK$0.0100 59
EV/EBITDA HK$1.53 HK$2.14 HK$2.74 54
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV HK$0.0100 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$0.5600 HK$0.8400 HK$1.12 53
EV/EBITDA HK$1.53 HK$2.14 HK$2.74 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.3200 HK$0.5800 HK$0.8400 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder HK$0.0100 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$0.8400) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0300). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$140M
Revenue growth (YoY) +83.2%
Net margin -28.4%
Return on equity 0.8%
Free cash flow −HK$30.3M FY2025
Operating margin 9.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.1300
Net debt HK$118M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 81
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Global Strategic Group Limited, an investment holding company, supplies natural gas in the People's Republic of China. The company operates in two segments: Natural Gas Operations and Sales and Leasing business. It invests in natural gas projects; sells natural gas cooking appliances and accessories; and provides pipeline installation services.

Full company description

Global Strategic Group Limited, an investment holding company, supplies natural gas in the People's Republic of China. The company operates in two segments: Natural Gas Operations and Sales and Leasing business. It invests in natural gas projects; sells natural gas cooking appliances and accessories; and provides pipeline installation services. In addition, the company leases materials, construction plant and machinery, and steel support axial force servo systems, as well as offers technology support services. The company was formerly known as DIGITALHONGKONG.COM and changed its name to Global Strategic Group Limited in January 2015. The company was founded in 1994 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Global Strategic Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$360M in FY2025 versus HK$71.5M in FY2021, a compound +49.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$18.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$360M
Latest YoY
+62.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+38.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+53.1%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+19.9%
Revenue +49.8%/yr
FY21 HK$71.5M
FY22 HK$136M
FY23 HK$166M
FY24 HK$221M
FY25 HK$360M
Net income
FY21 −HK$21.0M
FY22 −HK$15.5M
FY23 −HK$12.2M
FY24 −HK$15.6M
FY25 −HK$18.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Global Strategic Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8007

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +16% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -28% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Revenue growth 83% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 7.67× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.44× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 1.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 55 · sector 23
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 3 · sector 34
HEALTH 0 · sector 87
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 74

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €28.94 €31.58 +9%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $169.59 $85.67 -49%
NiSource Inc NI $42.01 $28.59 -32%
Uniper SE UN0 €47.45 €48.32 +2%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 HK$6.76 HK$4.79 -29%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹177.95 ₹130.21 -27%
Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL ₹654.05 ₹101.36 -85%
ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 ¥17.32 ¥25.71 +48%
ENN Energy Holdings 2688 HK$47.16 HK$107.98 +129%
China Suntien Green Energy Corporation 600956 ¥7.26 ¥7.37 +2%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.5100 versus a price of HK$0.4400, about +16% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8007?
Our model-based fair value for Global Strategic Group Ltd is HK$0.5100 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.4400.
What is the quality score of 8007?
Global Strategic Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007)?
Global Strategic Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$140M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8007?
The net profit margin of Global Strategic Group Ltd is about -28.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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