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Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Global Strategic Group Ltd HK$0.33, price HK$0.73, upside -54.3%, quality 23 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Utilities · HK · ISIN KYG3947G1313

GS Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Global Strategic Group Ltd

8007 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.3315 · Strongly overvalued (−54.3%)
!Quality 23/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +53.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -28.4% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
!Narrow moat 22/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range HK$0.3315 to HK$0.9350
!Weak on past: 3 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$10.63 HK$0.1758 Fair Value HK$0.3315 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.1758 – HK$10.63 · fair‑value band HK$0.3315 – HK$0.9350 · the HK$0.7250 price screens above the HK$0.3315 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Global Strategic Group Limited, an investment holding company, supplies natural gas in the People's Republic of China. The company operates in two segments: Natural Gas Operations and Sales and Leasing business. It invests in natural gas projects; sells natural gas cooking appliances and accessories; and provides pipeline installation services.

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Global Strategic Group Limited, an investment holding company, supplies natural gas in the People's Republic of China. The company operates in two segments: Natural Gas Operations and Sales and Leasing business. It invests in natural gas projects; sells natural gas cooking appliances and accessories; and provides pipeline installation services. In addition, the company leases materials, construction plant and machinery, and steel support axial force servo systems, as well as offers technology support services. The company was formerly known as DIGITALHONGKONG.COM and changed its name to Global Strategic Group Limited in January 2015. The company was founded in 1994 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007) currently trades at HK$0.7250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3315, 54.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$0.8400 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the HK$0.7250 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.0700, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.3315 (bear) to HK$0.9350 (bull), the price of HK$0.7250 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Global Strategic Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$360M in FY2025 versus HK$71.5M in FY2021, a compound +49.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$18.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$101M (≈ $12.8M) · P/S ratio 0.72 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.1300 · Net margin −5.2% · Return on equity 0.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.0% · Operating margin 9.1% · Revenue (TTM) HK$140M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 190% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at 2% fair-value upside, at −54%, 8007 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (HK$0.0300 to HK$2.14). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear HK$0.3315 Fair Value HK$0.3315 Bull HK$0.9350
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV HK$0.0200 HK$0.0700 HK$0.1100 68
EV/EBITDA HK$1.53 HK$2.14 HK$2.74 67
EV/EBIT HK$0.5600 HK$0.8400 HK$1.12 65
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV HK$0.0200 HK$0.0700 HK$0.1100 68
Multiples
EV/EBIT HK$0.5600 HK$0.8400 HK$1.12 65
EV/EBITDA HK$1.53 HK$2.14 HK$2.74 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.3200 HK$0.5800 HK$0.8400 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0200 HK$0.0300 HK$0.0400 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder HK$0.0200 HK$0.1200 HK$0.2300 63

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 22 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 8
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 53
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+62.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+38.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+53.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +5.2% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.9%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−118.7% (2020) → 4.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

8007 screens overvalued: fair value 54% below the price. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Regulated Gas · 103 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −54.3% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 3.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) −28.4% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 83.2% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 7.67× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.44× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.09× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 1.7× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 42
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)3 · sector 34
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 74

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €29.10 €32.79 +13%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $157.21 $77.00 −51%
Uniper SE UN0 €45.25 €45.97 +2%
NiSource Inc NI $39.42 $19.90 −50%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 HK$7.08 HK$4.79 −32%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹172.70 ₹132.97 −23%
Italgas S.p.A IG €8.35 €9.19 +10%
ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 ¥18.54 ¥36.99 +100%
UGI Corporation UGI $36.24 $32.74 −10%
ENN Energy Holdings 2688 HK$48.76 HK$107.85 +121%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Global Strategic Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8007

Frequently asked questions

Is Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.3315 versus a price of HK$0.7250, about −54% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8007?
Our model-based fair value for Global Strategic Group Ltd is HK$0.3315 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.7250.
What is the quality score of 8007?
Global Strategic Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.3315 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.3315, optimistic scenario HK$0.9350. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Global Strategic Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.3315, about −54% upside versus a price of HK$0.7250 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.3315, optimistic scenario HK$0.9350. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007)?
Global Strategic Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$140M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Global Strategic Group Ltd it is HK$0.3315 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.7250. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Global Strategic Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8007 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.7250, fair value HK$0.3315, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8007?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.7250); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.3315). For Global Strategic Group Ltd the two are HK$0.3935 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Global Strategic Group Ltd worth?
The market values Global Strategic Group Ltd at about HK$101M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.7250; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.3315 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8007?
Our models span a range for Global Strategic Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.3315, base HK$0.3315, optimistic HK$0.9350 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.7250). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007)?
Balance-sheet figures for Global Strategic Group Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 0.8%, debt of 7.67 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 23/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8007 from its 52-week high?
Global Strategic Group Ltd trades at HK$0.7250, about 3% below its 52-week high of HK$0.7450 and 190% above the low of HK$0.2500 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.3315 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Global Strategic Group Ltd?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Naturgy Energy Group, Atmos Energy Corporation, Uniper SE, NiSource Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Global Strategic Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.7250, calculated fair value HK$0.3315 (−54%), Quality Score 23/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8007 calculated?
We run Global Strategic Group Ltd through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.3315, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Global Strategic Group Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.7250. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.3315, about −54% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Global Strategic Group Ltd right now?
Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.3315 to HK$0.9350). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Global Strategic Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007)?
The market capitalisation of Global Strategic Group Ltd is HK$101M (≈ $12.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Global Strategic Group Ltd is 0.72 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007)?
Earnings per share at Global Strategic Group Ltd are HK$−0.1300. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007)?
The net margin of Global Strategic Group Ltd is −5.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Global Strategic Group Ltd is 0.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Global Strategic Group Ltd is 2.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007)?
The operating margin of Global Strategic Group Ltd is 9.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007)?
Revenue at Global Strategic Group Ltd is growing +83.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +38.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007) generate?
The free cash flow of Global Strategic Group Ltd is −HK$30.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Global Strategic Group Ltd (8007) carry?
The net debt of Global Strategic Group Ltd is HK$118M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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