Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Viva China Holdings Ltd HK$0.22, price HK$0.38, upside -41.3%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2700 – HK$1.83 · fair‑value band HK$0.1800 – HK$0.3200 · the HK$0.3750 price screens above the HK$0.2200 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Viva Goods Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides apparel and footwear in the United Kingdom, the Republic of Ireland, America, the People's Republic of China, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates in two segments, Multi-Brand Apparel and Footwear, and Sports Experience.
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Viva Goods Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides apparel and footwear in the United Kingdom, the Republic of Ireland, America, the People's Republic of China, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates in two segments, Multi-Brand Apparel and Footwear, and Sports Experience. The Multi-Brand Apparel and Footwear segment engages in the in design and development, branding, and sales of sports and lifestyle consumables under the Clarks, bossini.X, LNG, Amedeo Testoni, NEIZHUANG, LI-NING, and Double Happiness brands. The Sports Experience segment is involved in the management and operation of sports parks, sports centers, and ice-skating rinks, as well as e-sports clubs; coordination of sports events; and provision of sports-related marketing services. The company also retails and distributes garments; and offers sports talent management, competition and event production and management, sports-related consultancy, and property holding and letting services. In addition, it engages in production and distribution of sports content; management and marketing of sports talents; manufacturing shoes; and sale of footwear and leather goods. The company was formerly known as Viva China Holdings Limited and changed its name to Viva Goods Company Limited in May 2023. Viva Goods Company Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Tseung Kwan O, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032) currently trades at HK$0.3750, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2200, implying the stock looks roughly 70.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$1.07 per share, and 7 of the 17 models we run sit above the HK$0.3750 price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$0.0700, and 10 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.1800 (bear) to HK$0.3200 (bull), the price of HK$0.3750 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Viva China Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$6.9B in FY2022 versus HK$1.1B in FY2018, a compound +57.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$850M in FY2022, compounding +82.3%/yr from FY2018. FY2018 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap HK$14.3B (≈ $1.8B) · P/E ratio 18.4 · P/S ratio 2.26 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0800 · Net margin 12.3% · Return on equity 10.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0% · Operating margin −0.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −5% fair-value upside, at −41%, 8032 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.1800Fair Value HK$0.2200Bull HK$0.3200
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+399.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+122.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+62.3%
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+41.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+56.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+56.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.57% vs 22%, picking up
Profit margin 2017 to 2022 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−4% → 0%
Compare Viva China Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Hotels & Entertainment Services” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)Consumer Discretionary · 3894 stocks
Beats the sector median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its sector peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−39% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10% · Above median
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth685% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)18.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.79× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)1.50× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA87.6× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 36
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 13
PAST (return on equity)41· sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 48
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Viva China Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8032
Frequently asked questions
Is Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2200 versus a price of HK$0.3750, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8032?
Our model-based fair value for Viva China Holdings Ltd is HK$0.2200 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3750.
What is the quality score of 8032?
Viva China Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2200 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1800, optimistic scenario HK$0.3200. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Viva China Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2200, about −41% upside versus a price of HK$0.3750 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1800, optimistic scenario HK$0.3200. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032)?
Viva China Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$9.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Viva China Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.2200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$0.3750. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Viva China Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 8032 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.3750, fair value HK$0.2200, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8032?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.3750); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2200). For Viva China Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.1550 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Viva China Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Viva China Holdings Ltd at about HK$14.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.3750; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2200 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8032?
Our models span a range for Viva China Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1800, base HK$0.2200, optimistic HK$0.3200 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$0.3750). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8032?
Viva China Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.2200 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.8, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 87.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032)?
Balance-sheet figures for Viva China Holdings Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.2%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8032 from its 52-week high?
Viva China Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.3750, about 46% below its 52-week high of HK$0.6881 and 39% above the low of HK$0.2700 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2200 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Viva China Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value JFC, BLOOM, Ananti Inc, PIZZA, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Viva China Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$0.3750, calculated fair value HK$0.2200 (−41%), Quality Score 44/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8032 calculated?
We run Viva China Holdings Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2200, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Viva China Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$0.3750. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2200, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Viva China Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.3200). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Viva China Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032)?
The market capitalisation of Viva China Holdings Ltd is HK$14.3B (≈ $1.8B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Viva China Holdings Ltd is 2.26 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032)?
Earnings per share at Viva China Holdings Ltd are HK$0.0800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032)?
The net margin of Viva China Holdings Ltd is 12.3% (fiscal year 2022). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Viva China Holdings Ltd is 10.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Viva China Holdings Ltd is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032)?
The operating margin of Viva China Holdings Ltd is −0.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032)?
Revenue at Viva China Holdings Ltd is growing +685% versus a year earlier (3y avg +123%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032)?
Earnings per share at Viva China Holdings Ltd are growing +12.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032) generate?
The free cash flow of Viva China Holdings Ltd is −HK$202M (fiscal year 2022). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Viva China Holdings Ltd (8032) hold?
Viva China Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$673M net (fiscal year 2022). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026