Viva Goods Company (8032) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$14.3B
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from HK$0.2400 to HK$0.2000 (−16.7%) since Jul 2, 2026. Share price −14.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 37% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.1700 to HK$0.4500). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2998 – HK$1.83 · fair‑value band HK$0.1700 – HK$0.4500 · the HK$0.3150 price screens above the HK$0.2000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Viva Goods Company (8032) currently trades at HK$0.3150, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2000, implying the stock looks roughly 36.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Viva Goods Company generated revenue of HK$9.5B at a net margin of 9.3%. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$673M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 18.4. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1700 (bear case) to HK$0.4500 (bull case); at HK$0.3150, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 29% fair-value upside, at -37%, 8032 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$0.9000) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.0200). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 17
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Viva Goods Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides apparel and footwear in the United Kingdom, the Republic of Ireland, America, the People's Republic of China, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates in two segments, Multi-Brand Apparel and Footwear, and Sports Experience.
Full company description
Viva Goods Company Limited, an investment holding company, provides apparel and footwear in the United Kingdom, the Republic of Ireland, America, the People's Republic of China, Asia, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates in two segments, Multi-Brand Apparel and Footwear, and Sports Experience. The Multi-Brand Apparel and Footwear segment engages in the in design and development, branding, and sales of sports and lifestyle consumables under the Clarks, bossini.X, LNG, Amedeo Testoni, NEIZHUANG, LI-NING, and Double Happiness brands. The Sports Experience segment is involved in the management and operation of sports parks, sports centers, and ice-skating rinks, as well as e-sports clubs; coordination of sports events; and provision of sports-related marketing services. The company also retails and distributes garments; and offers sports talent management, competition and event production and management, sports-related consultancy, and property holding and letting services. In addition, it engages in production and distribution of sports content; management and marketing of sports talents; manufacturing shoes; and sale of footwear and leather goods. The company was formerly known as Viva China Holdings Limited and changed its name to Viva Goods Company Limited in May 2023. Viva Goods Company Limited was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Tseung Kwan O, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2018 – FY2022 · reported fiscal years
Viva Goods Company reported revenue of HK$6.9B in FY2022 versus HK$1.1B in FY2018, a compound +57.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$850M in FY2022, compounding +82.3%/yr from FY2018.
8032 screens 37% overvalued. Compare with JFC →
Peer Group
Consumer Discretionary · 3551 stocks
How this stock ranks against its sector: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median. (Industry “Hotels & Entertainment Services” was too small, so the broader sector is used.)
Valuation Multiples vs Consumer Discretionary median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Hotels & Entertainment Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
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| Ananti Inc 025980 | 3,600 KRW | 3,166 KRW | -12% |
| PIZZA PIZZA | 6.00 PHP | 12.05 PHP | +101% |
| PT Hotel Mandarine Regency Tbk HOME | 50.00 IDR | 85.45 IDR | +71% |
| Modetour Network Inc 080160 | 8,290 KRW | 14,293 KRW | +72% |
| MAXS MAXS | 2.12 PHP | 2.73 PHP | +29% |
| PT Marga Abhinaya Abadi Tbk MABA | 50.00 IDR | 12.20 IDR | -76% |
| HSIL HSIL | ₹364.75 | ₹212.72 | -42% |
| WEB WEB | 14.16 PHP | 4.00 PHP | -72% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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