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Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd HK$0.90, price HK$1.45, upside -37.9%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · HK · ISIN KYG7112V1041

PG Thin data Oct 3, 2026

Pizu Group Holdings Ltd

8053 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.9000 · Strongly overvalued (−37.9%)
!Quality 49/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −2.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.5% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!0.6% dividend yield · Token dividend
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Moderate moat 59/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 12 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$2.08 HK$0.2964 Fair Value HK$0.9000 Mar 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.2964 – HK$2.08 · fair‑value band HK$0.6500 – HK$1.15 · the HK$1.45 price screens above the HK$0.9000 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.

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Company profile

Pizu Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufactures, trades, and sales of civil explosives in the People's Republic of China and Tajikistan. It operates through Mining Operation and Explosives Trading and Blasting Services segments.

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Pizu Group Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufactures, trades, and sales of civil explosives in the People's Republic of China and Tajikistan. It operates through Mining Operation and Explosives Trading and Blasting Services segments. The company offers blasting operation and related services, as well as trades in non-ferrous metals and minerals. It is involved in the exploration and provision of technical services; mining and processing of pyrite, iron ore, and copper; and provision of mining, and subcontracting services. The company was formerly known as China Electric Power Technology Holdings Limited and changed its name to Pizu Group Holdings Limited in May 2012. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Sheung Wan, Hong Kong.

Stock analysis

Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053) currently trades at HK$1.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.9000, 37.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$2.00 per share, and 4 of the 17 models we run sit above the HK$1.45 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.1900, and 13 of the 17 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.6500 (bear) to HK$1.15 (bull), the price of HK$1.45 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Pizu Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 1.4B CNY in FY2024 versus 1.6B CNY in FY2020, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was 131M CNY in FY2024, compounding −13.1%/yr from FY2020.

Key figures

Market cap HK$2.1B (≈ $267M) · P/E ratio 15.0 · P/S ratio 1.44 · Dividend yield 0.6% · Net margin 9.6% · Return on equity 13.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.9% · Operating margin 28.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 85% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −38%, 8053 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.6500 Fair Value HK$0.9000 Bull HK$1.15
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV HK$0.3100 HK$0.3500 HK$0.3800 73
Residual Income HK$0.2600 HK$0.3100 HK$0.4500 73
Owner Earnings HK$0.1600 HK$0.3300 HK$0.6400 69
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$0.1600 HK$0.3300 HK$0.6400 69
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.3000 HK$2.08 HK$2.91 61
Lynch FV HK$1.07 HK$1.53 HK$1.99 59
PEG = 1.0 HK$1.07 HK$1.53 HK$1.99 55
EPV HK$0.3100 HK$0.3500 HK$0.3800 73
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$0.0400 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 66
DDM Multi-Stage HK$0.0400 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0700 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.6900 HK$0.9200 HK$1.15 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.3500 HK$0.4700 HK$0.5800 57
P/B Multiple HK$0.5600 HK$0.7400 HK$0.9300 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.7300 HK$0.9800 HK$1.23 65
EV/EBITDA HK$0.7400 HK$0.9900 HK$1.24 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.2800 HK$0.4000 HK$0.5300 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1400 HK$0.1900 HK$0.2800 53
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.2600 HK$0.3100 HK$0.4500 73
ROIC Compounder HK$0.3400 HK$0.4400 HK$0.5200 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$1.40 HK$2.00 HK$2.61 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 35
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 31
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 78
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 5/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.6%
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−5.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6.4% vs 29.9%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2024 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 25%

8053 screens overvalued: fair value 38% below the price. Compare with Linde plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 694 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −37.9% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 13.9% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4.9% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 7.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 28.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 40.6% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.6% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.38× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.11× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.13× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 4.3× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 60
PAST (return on equity)56 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)81 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)12 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Linde plc LIN $474.65 $441.72 −7%
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $330.44 $151.68 −54%
Ecolab Inc ECL $274.58 $96.56 −65%
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $279.19 $121.30 −57%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 238.00 TWD 234.23 TWD −2%
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,360 CHF 1,527 −55%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥69.45 ¥68.03 −2%
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR CHF 92.30 CHF 29.70 −68%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,444 ₹1,479 −39%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $104.67 $76.98 −26%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Pizu Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8053

Frequently asked questions

Is Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.9000 versus a price of HK$1.45, about −38% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8053?
Our model-based fair value for Pizu Group Holdings Ltd is HK$0.9000 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.45.
What is the quality score of 8053?
Pizu Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.9000 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 17 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.6500, optimistic scenario HK$1.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Pizu Group Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.9000, about −38% upside versus a price of HK$1.45 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.6500, optimistic scenario HK$1.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053)?
Pizu Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.6B CNY (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Pizu Group Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Pizu Group Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.62% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Pizu Group Holdings Ltd it is HK$0.9000 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of HK$1.45. It is the blended result of 17 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Pizu Group Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 8053 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$1.45, fair value HK$0.9000, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8053?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.9000). For Pizu Group Holdings Ltd the two are HK$0.5500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Pizu Group Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Pizu Group Holdings Ltd at about HK$2.1B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.45; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.9000 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8053?
Our models span a range for Pizu Group Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.6500, base HK$0.9000, optimistic HK$1.15 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price HK$1.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8053?
Pizu Group Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.0 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.9000 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.1, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 4.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053)?
Balance-sheet figures for Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 13.9%, debt of 0.38 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8053 from its 52-week high?
Pizu Group Holdings Ltd trades at HK$1.45, about 30% below its 52-week high of HK$2.08 and 85% above the low of HK$0.7843 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.9000 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Pizu Group Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Pizu Group Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price HK$1.45, calculated fair value HK$0.9000 (−38%), Quality Score 49/100, from 17 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8053 calculated?
We run Pizu Group Holdings Ltd through 17 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.9000, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Pizu Group Holdings Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$1.45. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.9000, about −38% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Pizu Group Holdings Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053)?
The market capitalisation of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd is HK$2.1B (≈ $267M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd is 1.44 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053)?
The dividend yield of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd is 0.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053)?
The net margin of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd is 9.6% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd is 13.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd is 11.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053)?
The operating margin of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd is 28.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053)?
Revenue at Pizu Group Holdings Ltd is growing +40.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053)?
Earnings per share at Pizu Group Holdings Ltd are growing −2.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053) generate?
The free cash flow of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd is −69.7M CNY (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Pizu Group Holdings Ltd (8053) carry?
The net debt of Pizu Group Holdings Ltd is 597M CNY (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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