China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of China 33 Media Group Ltd HK$2.07, price HK$1.93, upside +7.7%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0105 – HK$2.60 · fair‑value band HK$1.82 – HK$2.46 · the HK$1.93 price screens below the HK$2.07 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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China 33 Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides prepaid card services in Hong Kong. It operates through Printed Media Advertising, Outdoor and Digital Advertising, Film and Entertainment Investment, and Prepaid Card segments. The Printed Media Advertising segment sells advertising spaces in magazines distributed in train services.
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China 33 Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides prepaid card services in Hong Kong. It operates through Printed Media Advertising, Outdoor and Digital Advertising, Film and Entertainment Investment, and Prepaid Card segments. The Printed Media Advertising segment sells advertising spaces in magazines distributed in train services. Its Outdoor and Digital Advertising segment engages in the provision of online advertising through mobile applications and websites; sale of advertising spaces on the billboards and LEDs installed in railway stations; and conduction of promotion campaigns in train stations. The Film and Entertainment Investment segment is involved in investment for profit sharing on box office of movies and concerts; and distribution of film rights and television dramas. Its Prepaid Card segment offers prepaid card services. The company was formerly known as China 33 Media Group Limited and changed its name to China 33 Group Limited in May 2026. China 33 Group Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087) currently trades at HK$1.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.07, implying the stock looks roughly 7.2% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 6 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: HK$1.82 (bear) to HK$2.46 (bull), the price of HK$1.93 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
China 33 Media Group Ltd reported revenue of 36.2M CNY in FY2025 versus 97.9M CNY in FY2021, a compound −22.1%/yr. Reported net income was −20.7M CNY in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$1.1B (≈ $138M) · P/S ratio 27.8 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.1000 · Net margin −57.2% · Return on equity −73.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.6% · Operating margin −59.0% · Revenue (TTM) 36.2M CNY.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 93% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at 8%, 8087 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$1.82Fair Value HK$2.07Bull HK$2.46
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.29/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−20.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−17.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −8.6% a year
Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−125.8% (2020) → −49.5% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−11.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −13.3% a year for the price.
Compare China 33 Media Group Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Credit Services · 331 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+6% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets−3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−57% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−59% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth5% · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China 33 Media Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8087
Frequently asked questions
Is China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.07 versus a price of HK$1.93, about +8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 8087?
Our model-based fair value for China 33 Media Group Ltd is HK$2.07 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.93.
What is the quality score of 8087?
China 33 Media Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.07 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.82, optimistic scenario HK$2.46. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the China 33 Media Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$2.07, about +8% upside versus a price of HK$1.93 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario HK$1.82, optimistic scenario HK$2.46. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087)?
China 33 Media Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 36.2M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, China 33 Media Group Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by -11.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -17.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8087 use?
Our models discount China 33 Media Group Ltd at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For China 33 Media Group Ltd that is -11.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at China 33 Media Group Ltd grew -17.6 % a year. The price currently implies -11.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into China 33 Media Group Ltd (-11.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 11.68 %: that much free cash flow China 33 Media Group Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For China 33 Media Group Ltd it is HK$2.07 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of HK$1.93. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is China 33 Media Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 8087 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$1.93, fair value HK$2.07, a gap of about +8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8087?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.93); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$2.07). For China 33 Media Group Ltd the two are HK$0.1490 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is China 33 Media Group Ltd worth?
The market values China 33 Media Group Ltd at about HK$1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.93; our models calculate a fair value of HK$2.07 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8087?
Our models span a range for China 33 Media Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.82, base HK$2.07, optimistic HK$2.46 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price HK$1.93). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087)?
Balance-sheet figures for China 33 Media Group Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −73.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8087 from its 52-week high?
China 33 Media Group Ltd trades at HK$1.93, about 26% below its 52-week high of HK$2.60 and 93% above the low of HK$1.00 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$2.07 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to China 33 Media Group Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Visa Inc, Mastercard Incorporated, American Express Company, Capital One Financial Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is China 33 Media Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price HK$1.93, calculated fair value HK$2.07 (+8%), Quality Score 51/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8087 calculated?
We run China 33 Media Group Ltd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$2.07, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. China 33 Media Group Ltd currently trades 8 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was HK$1.93. Our model-based fair value is HK$2.07, about +8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with China 33 Media Group Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of China 33 Media Group Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087)?
The market capitalisation of China 33 Media Group Ltd is HK$1.1B (≈ $138M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087)?
The price-to-sales ratio of China 33 Media Group Ltd is 27.8 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087)?
Earnings per share at China 33 Media Group Ltd are HK$−0.1000. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087)?
The net margin of China 33 Media Group Ltd is −57.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087)?
The return on equity (ROE) of China 33 Media Group Ltd is −73.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of China 33 Media Group Ltd is −8.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087)?
The operating margin of China 33 Media Group Ltd is −59.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087)?
Revenue at China 33 Media Group Ltd is growing +5.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −20.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087)?
Earnings per share at China 33 Media Group Ltd are growing +1.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does China 33 Media Group Ltd (8087) hold?
China 33 Media Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, 428M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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