China 33 Group (8087) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$1.0B
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +25.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 69% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.7735). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.6800 to HK$0.7735), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0105 – HK$2.60 · fair‑value band HK$0.6800 – HK$0.7735 · the HK$2.36 price screens above the HK$0.7225 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
China 33 Group (8087) currently trades at HK$2.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.7225, implying the stock looks roughly 69.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, China 33 Group generated revenue of HK$36.2M at a net margin of -57.2%. Revenue grew 5.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -73.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$428M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.6800 (bear case) to HK$0.7735 (bull case); at HK$2.36, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -41% fair-value upside, at -69%, 8087 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$2.45) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China 33 Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides prepaid card services in Hong Kong. It operates through Printed Media Advertising, Outdoor and Digital Advertising, Film and Entertainment Investment, and Prepaid Card segments. The Printed Media Advertising segment sells advertising spaces in magazines distributed in train services.
Full company description
China 33 Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides prepaid card services in Hong Kong. It operates through Printed Media Advertising, Outdoor and Digital Advertising, Film and Entertainment Investment, and Prepaid Card segments. The Printed Media Advertising segment sells advertising spaces in magazines distributed in train services. Its Outdoor and Digital Advertising segment engages in the provision of online advertising through mobile applications and websites; sale of advertising spaces on the billboards and LEDs installed in railway stations; and conduction of promotion campaigns in train stations. The Film and Entertainment Investment segment is involved in investment for profit sharing on box office of movies and concerts; and distribution of film rights and television dramas. Its Prepaid Card segment offers prepaid card services. The company was formerly known as China 33 Media Group Limited and changed its name to China 33 Group Limited in May 2026. China 33 Group Limited was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China 33 Group reported revenue of HK$36.2M in FY2025 versus HK$97.9M in FY2021, a compound −22.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$20.7M in FY2025.
8087 screens 69% overvalued. Compare with Visa Inc →
Peer Group
Credit Services · 331 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Visa Inc V | $348.97 | $204.19 | -41% |
| Mastercard Incorporated MA | $537.70 | $221.87 | -59% |
| American Express Company AXP | $358.44 | $206.40 | -42% |
| Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE | ₹1,056 | ₹397.61 | -62% |
| Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN | ₹1,024 | ₹553.83 | -46% |
| Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN | ₹1,808 | ₹796.52 | -56% |
| Tata Capital Limited TATACAP | ₹360.60 | ₹229.85 | -36% |
| Power Finance Corporation PFC | ₹405.10 | ₹810.20 | +100% |
| Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN | ₹3,129 | ₹3,463 | +11% |
| Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC | ₹88.41 | ₹69.72 | -21% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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