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M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 8, 2026: fair value of M&L Holdings Group Ltd HK$0.25, price HK$0.09, upside +177.9%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG6125R1002

ML Thin data Sep 27, 2026

M&L Holdings Group Ltd

8152 · HK

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

Fair value HK$0.2501 · Strongly undervalued (+177.9%)
Solidly profitable · 13.5% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Ranks above peers (10/12)
Quality 55/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +3.0 %/yr in HKD)
Moderate moat 47/100
Negative free cash flow
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$0.1980 HK$0.0430 Fair Value HK$0.2501 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0430 – HK$0.1980 · fair‑value band HK$0.1878 – HK$0.3035 · the HK$0.0900 price screens below the HK$0.2501 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

M&L Holdings Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading and leasing of construction machinery and spare parts in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Vietnam, other Asia Pacific countries, the United States, Australia, and internationally. It operates through Tunnelling and Foundation segments.

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M&L Holdings Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading and leasing of construction machinery and spare parts in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Vietnam, other Asia Pacific countries, the United States, Australia, and internationally. It operates through Tunnelling and Foundation segments. The company provides specialized cutting tools and parts for construction equipment, including disc cutters, which are used in conjunction with tunnel boring machines; and microtunnelling equipment. It also offers fabricated construction steel works and equipment, as well as repair and maintenance services. In addition, the company is involved in the property investment business. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong. M&L Holdings Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of JAT United Company Limited.

Stock analysis

M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152) currently trades at HK$0.0900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2501, implying the stock looks roughly 64.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$0.2800 per share, and 8 of the 14 models we run sit above the HK$0.0900 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at HK$0.0400, and 6 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1878 (bear) to HK$0.3035 (bull), the price of HK$0.0900 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

M&L Holdings Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$82.3M in FY2025 versus HK$86.0M in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$9.4M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$54.0M (≈ $6.9M) · P/E ratio 3.1 · P/S ratio 0.35 · Net margin 11.4% · Return on equity 16.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.0% · Operating margin 5.6% · Revenue (TTM) HK$127M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at 178%, 8152 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1878 Fair Value HK$0.2501 Bull HK$0.3035
Price HK$0.0900 · Upside +177.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 74
ROIC Compounder HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 72
Residual Income HK$0.1600 HK$0.1700 HK$0.1900 71
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.1100 HK$0.2900 HK$0.3900 65
Lynch FV HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 61
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0800 HK$0.1100 57
EPV HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$0.2500 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4100 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.2000 HK$0.2700 HK$0.3300 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.2000 HK$0.2700 HK$0.3300 55
EV/EBIT HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0700 66
EV/EBITDA HK$0.1000 HK$0.1200 HK$0.1400 67
EV/Revenue HK$0.0500 HK$0.0600 HK$0.0600 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.0900 HK$0.1300 HK$0.1900 53
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.1600 HK$0.1700 HK$0.1900 71
ROIC Compounder HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 HK$0.0400 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.2000 HK$0.2800 HK$0.3600 68

P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 95
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 54
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 60
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 96
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 36/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −12.4% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−12.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+11.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+11.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−12% → 2%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 12.8%/yr over ~8Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Industrial Distribution · 110 stocks

Beats the industry median on 9/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Below median
Fair Value upside +177.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 16.0% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4.2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 13.5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5.6% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 228.7% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 3.1× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.48× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.43× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.8× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 46
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 29
PAST (return on equity)64 · sector 37
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 39

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Indutrade AB INDT kr 258.60 kr 284.46 +10% vs 8152
Watsco, Inc WSO $297.47 $250.18 −16% vs 8152
Fastenal Company FAST $49.83 $41.28 −17% vs 8152
Finning International Inc FTT C$106.19 C$74.26 −30% vs 8152
Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT $344.99 $205.13 −41% vs 8152
Toromont Industries Ltd TIH C$236.69 C$127.86 −46% vs 8152
W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW $1,280 $623.81 −51% vs 8152
WESCO International, Inc WCC $367.44 $151.88 −59% vs 8152
QXO, Inc QXO $12.06 $3.09 −74% vs 8152
Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG $222.74 $32.49 −85% vs 8152

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M&L Holdings Group Ltd · Fair Value
HK$0.2501 +64%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "M&L Holdings Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8152

Frequently asked questions

Is M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2501 versus a price of HK$0.0900, about +178% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8152?
Our model-based fair value for M&L Holdings Group Ltd is HK$0.2501 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0900.
What is the quality score of 8152?
M&L Holdings Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2501 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1878, optimistic scenario HK$0.3035. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the M&L Holdings Group Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2501, about +178% upside versus a price of HK$0.0900 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1878, optimistic scenario HK$0.3035. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152)?
M&L Holdings Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$127M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For M&L Holdings Group Ltd it is HK$0.2501 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0900. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is M&L Holdings Group Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8152 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0900, fair value HK$0.2501, a gap of about +178% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8152?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0900); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2501). For M&L Holdings Group Ltd the two are HK$0.1601 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is M&L Holdings Group Ltd worth?
The market values M&L Holdings Group Ltd at about HK$54.0M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0900; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2501 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8152?
Our models span a range for M&L Holdings Group Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.1878, base HK$0.2501, optimistic HK$0.3035 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.0900). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8152?
M&L Holdings Group Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.1 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.2501 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 2.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152)?
Balance-sheet figures for M&L Holdings Group Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 16.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8152 from its 52-week high?
M&L Holdings Group Ltd trades at HK$0.0900, about 3% below its 52-week high of HK$0.0930 and 58% above the low of HK$0.0570 (as of Oct 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2501 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to M&L Holdings Group Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value W.W. Grainger, Inc, Fastenal Company, Ferguson Enterprises Inc, WESCO International, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is M&L Holdings Group Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.0900, calculated fair value HK$0.2501 (+178%), Quality Score 55/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8152 calculated?
We run M&L Holdings Group Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2501, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. M&L Holdings Group Ltd currently trades 64 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152)?
The closing price on Oct 8, 2026 was HK$0.0900. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2501, about +178% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with M&L Holdings Group Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.1878). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152) come from?
Earnings per share at M&L Holdings Group Ltd grew −13.4 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −11.2 %, EBIT margin −7.8 %, tax rate +0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +4.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of M&L Holdings Group Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152)?
The market capitalisation of M&L Holdings Group Ltd is HK$54.0M (≈ $6.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152)?
The price-to-sales ratio of M&L Holdings Group Ltd is 0.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152)?
The net margin of M&L Holdings Group Ltd is 11.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152)?
The return on equity (ROE) of M&L Holdings Group Ltd is 16.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of M&L Holdings Group Ltd is −1.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152)?
The operating margin of M&L Holdings Group Ltd is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152)?
Revenue at M&L Holdings Group Ltd is growing +229% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152)?
Earnings per share at M&L Holdings Group Ltd are growing −29.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152) generate?
The free cash flow of M&L Holdings Group Ltd is −HK$14.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152) hold?
M&L Holdings Group Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$7.1M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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