M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$48.0M
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 24, 2026, revised from HK$0.2423 to HK$0.2320 (−4.2%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −11.1% over the past month.
A solid business, trading 66% below our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.1760). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0430 – HK$0.1980 · fair‑value band HK$0.1760 – HK$0.2800 · the HK$0.0800 price screens below the HK$0.2320 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
Analysis
M&L Holdings Group Ltd (8152) currently trades at HK$0.0800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2320, implying the stock looks roughly 190.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, M&L Holdings Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$82.3M at a net margin of 11.5%. Revenue grew 66.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$7.1M. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1760 (bear case) to HK$0.2800 (bull case); at HK$0.0800, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at 190%, 8152 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$0.2800) versus Economic Profit (HK$0.0400). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
M&L Holdings Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading and leasing of construction machinery and spare parts in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Vietnam, other Asia Pacific countries, the United States, Australia, and internationally. It operates through Tunnelling and Foundation segments.
Full company description
M&L Holdings Group Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the trading and leasing of construction machinery and spare parts in the People's Republic of China, Hong Kong, Vietnam, other Asia Pacific countries, the United States, Australia, and internationally. It operates through Tunnelling and Foundation segments. The company provides specialized cutting tools and parts for construction equipment, including disc cutters, which are used in conjunction with tunnel boring machines; and microtunnelling equipment. It also offers fabricated construction steel works and equipment, as well as repair and maintenance services. In addition, the company is involved in the property investment business. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Tsim Sha Tsui, Hong Kong. M&L Holdings Group Limited operates as a subsidiary of JAT United Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
M&L Holdings Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$82.3M in FY2025 versus HK$86.0M in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$9.4M in FY2025.
of which total revenue −9.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Industrial Distribution · 111 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Industrial Distribution median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Industrial Distribution stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| W.W. Grainger, Inc GWW | $1,305 | $613.88 | -53% |
| Fastenal Company FAST | $52.22 | $20.64 | -60% |
| Ferguson Enterprises Inc FERG | $245.18 | $148.98 | -39% |
| WESCO International, Inc WCC | $364.60 | $213.01 | -42% |
| Watsco, Inc WSO | $314.45 | $251.37 | -20% |
| Toromont Industries Ltd TIH | C$218.77 | C$127.90 | -42% |
| Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc AIT | $352.29 | $191.65 | -46% |
| Finning International Inc FTT | C$93.86 | C$76.38 | -19% |
| Addtech AB ADDTB | kr 344.00 | kr 156.35 | -55% |
| Core & Main, Inc CNM | $45.45 | $49.47 | +9% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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