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Farnova Group Holdings Ltd (8153) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · HK · Market cap HK$23.6M

FG Farnova Group Holdings Ltd 8153 · HK
PriceHK$0.7400
Fair ValueHK$1.40
Upside+89.5%
Quality24/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -48.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 0/100
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.9265 – HK$1.75 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price −1.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 90% undervalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (24/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.9265). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.9265 to HK$1.75) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$316.29 HK$0.6000 Fair Value HK$1.40 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.6000 – HK$316.29 · fair‑value band HK$0.9265 – HK$1.75 · the HK$0.7400 price screens below the HK$1.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Farnova Group Holdings Ltd (8153) currently trades at HK$0.7400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.40, implying the stock looks roughly 89.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Farnova Group Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$88.4M at a net margin of -48.0%. Revenue grew 0.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -52.6%. Net debt stands at HK$6.6M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.9265 (bear case) to HK$1.75 (bull case); at HK$0.7400, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -13% fair-value upside, at 90%, 8153 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.8400 HK$1.13 HK$1.68 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.8400 HK$1.13 HK$1.68 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$88.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.2%
Net margin -48.0%
Return on equity -52.6%
Free cash flow −HK$19.4M FY2025
Operating margin -28.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.2200
EPS growth (YoY) -49.6%
Net debt HK$6.6M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 24/100

Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 24

Profitability 14
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Jiading International Group Holdings Ltd, an investment holding company, provides advertising services in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. It operates through four segments: Sales of Health Products, Sales of New Energy Off-Road Vehicles, Sales of New Energy Batteries, and Advertising.

Full company description

Jiading International Group Holdings Ltd, an investment holding company, provides advertising services in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. It operates through four segments: Sales of Health Products, Sales of New Energy Off-Road Vehicles, Sales of New Energy Batteries, and Advertising. The company is also involved in sale of new energy off-road vehicles; and supply of health supplement and equipment, and graphene battery fast-charging solutions. In addition, it manufactures alkene carbon composite material batteries. The company was formerly known as Farnova Group Holdings Limited. Jiading International Group Holdings Ltd was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Sheung Wan, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Farnova Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$88.3M in FY2025 versus HK$67.1M in FY2021, a compound +7.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$60.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 38/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$88.3M
Latest YoY
−21.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+33.9%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.7%
Revenue +7.1%/yr
FY21 HK$67.1M
FY22 HK$63.9M
FY23 HK$97.1M
FY24 HK$113M
FY25 HK$88.3M
Net income
FY21 HK$2.4M
FY22 −HK$44.3M
FY23 −HK$67.2M
FY24 −HK$21.1M
FY25 −HK$60.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Farnova Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8153

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 200 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +90% · Top 25%
Return on assets -14% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -48% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -29% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.05× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 24
FUTURE 1 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 5
HEALTH 100 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 62

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $303.76 $252.45 -17%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €99.98 €146.36 +46%
Omnicom Group OMC $85.51 $99.84 +17%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.29 ¥5.71 +8%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $13.49 $29.07 +115%
JCDecaux SE DEC €24.00 €20.99 -13%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥37.40 ¥5.62 -85%
Mobvista Inc 1860 HK$11.04 HK$6.43 -42%
Affle 3i Limited AFFLE ₹1,643 ₹611.48 -63%
Guangdong Advertising Group 002400 ¥7.33 ¥1.14 -84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Farnova Group Holdings Ltd (8153) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.40 versus a price of HK$0.7400, about +90% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8153?
Our model-based fair value for Farnova Group Holdings Ltd is HK$1.40 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.7400.
What is the quality score of 8153?
Farnova Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 24/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Farnova Group Holdings Ltd (8153)?
Farnova Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$88.4M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8153?
The net profit margin of Farnova Group Holdings Ltd is about -48.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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