EN DE

Goldway Education Group (8160) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$130M

GE Goldway Education Group 8160 · HK
PriceHK$0.5800
Fair ValueHK$0.1530
Upside-73.6%
Quality44/100
Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -32.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (3/11)
Narrow moat 0/100
Watch Goldway Education Group for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free
Evidence: Low Range HK$0.1105 – HK$0.1870 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 28 days ago

Share price −9.4% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.1870). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

HK$0.7200 HK$0.3100 Fair Value HK$0.1530 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range HK$0.3100 – HK$0.7200 · fair‑value band HK$0.1105 – HK$0.1870 · the HK$0.5800 price screens above the HK$0.1530 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

✦ Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →

Analysis

Goldway Education Group (8160) currently trades at HK$0.5800, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.1530, implying the stock looks roughly 73.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Goldway Education Group generated revenue of HK$53.3M at a net margin of -32.4%. Revenue declined 5.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -41.7%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$4.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1105 (bear case) to HK$0.1870 (bull case); at HK$0.5800, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 97% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at -74%, 8160 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$53.3M
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.2%
Net margin -32.4%
Return on equity -41.7%
Free cash flow HK$2.5M FY2025
Operating margin -31.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) HK$-0.1100
EPS growth (YoY) +13.6%
Net cash HK$4.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100
Profitability 20
Quality Growth 33
Cashflow 42
Fin. Strength 95
Investment 57
Low Volatility 48
Momentum 87
52W Momentum 66
Net Issuance 0

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Goldway Education Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides tutoring services to secondary and primary school students under the Logic Tutorial Centre and Pedagog Education Centre names in Hong Kong and Mainland China.

Full company description

Goldway Education Group Limited, an investment holding company, provides tutoring services to secondary and primary school students under the Logic Tutorial Centre and Pedagog Education Centre names in Hong Kong and Mainland China. The company offers secondary tutoring services to secondary school students from secondary 1 to 6 who seek to enhance their school performance for specific subjects and prepare for public examinations; and primary tutoring services to primary school students from primary 1 to 6 to enhance performance in formal school and in examination settings, as well as to assist younger students in solidifying the foundational knowledge. It also provides franchising and management services. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Tuen Mun, Hong Kong.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Goldway Education Group reported revenue of HK$51.2M in FY2025 versus HK$29.3M in FY2021, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$12.9M in FY2025.

Revenue +15.0%/yr
FY21 HK$29.3M
FY22 HK$35.9M
FY23 HK$43.7M
FY24 HK$45.8M
FY25 HK$51.2M
Net income
FY21 −HK$3.5M
FY22 −HK$7.0M
FY23 −HK$250K
FY24 −HK$6.4M
FY25 −HK$12.9M

Is 8160 fairly valued? → Check now

Share or link this analysis
📋 Free embed code + live data for your site

For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Goldway Education Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8160

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 36
FUTURE 0 / 22
PAST 0 / 17
HEALTH 100 / 95
DIVIDEND 0 / 67

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN 966.48 MXN 894.16 MXN -7%
TAL Education Group T1AL34 R$4.89 R$0.9200 -81%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $36.49 $39.86 +9%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹130.16 ₹14.81 -89%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $150.70 $152.01 +1%
Covista Inc CVSA $130.25 $150.42 +15%
Stride, Inc LRN $99.84 $139.45 +40%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $40.02 $21.26 -47%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $32.80 $46.52 +42%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $76.45 $123.18 +61%

Compare Goldway Education Group with another stock

Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.

Free, no sign-up

Explore undervalued stocks

More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →

All undervalued stocks TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks

Frequently asked questions

Is Goldway Education Group (8160) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.1530 versus a price of HK$0.5800, about −74% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8160?
Our model-based fair value for Goldway Education Group is HK$0.1530 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.5800.
What is the quality score of 8160?
Goldway Education Group has a Quality Score of 44/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Goldway Education Group (8160)?
Goldway Education Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$53.3M (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8160?
The net profit margin of Goldway Education Group is about -32.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

14 days Pro free · no card

Track Goldway Education Group and try Pro for 14 days

One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.

Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.