Classified Group Holdings Ltd (8232) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$47.9M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Share price +7.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 50% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.7100). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (HK$0.1500 to HK$0.7100). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2250 – HK$4.81 · fair‑value band HK$0.1500 – HK$0.7100 · the HK$0.8600 price screens above the HK$0.4300 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Classified Group Holdings Ltd (8232) currently trades at HK$0.8600, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.4300, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Classified Group Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$67.5M at a net margin of -8.3%. Revenue grew 41.7% year over year. Net debt stands at HK$27.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.1500 (bear case) to HK$0.7100 (bull case); at HK$0.8600, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -51% fair-value upside, at -50%, 8232 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$1.05) versus Asset-Based (HK$0.0100). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
THAC Group (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, owns and operates casual dining restaurants and bakery shops in Hong Kong. The company operates restaurants under the Classified brand and Rise by Classified brand. It also provides management services.
Full company description
THAC Group (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, owns and operates casual dining restaurants and bakery shops in Hong Kong. The company operates restaurants under the Classified brand and Rise by Classified brand. It also provides management services. The company was formerly known as Classified Group (Holdings) Limited and changed its name to THAC Group (Holdings) Limited in January 2026. THAC Group (Holdings) Limited was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong. Thac Group (Bvi) Limited operates as a subsidiary of Thac Group (Bvi) Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Classified Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$43.3M in FY2025 versus HK$59.9M in FY2021, a compound −7.8%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$8.7M in FY2025.
8232 screens 50% overvalued. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →
Peer Group
Restaurants · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $108.49 | $35.83 | -67% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $32.00 | $17.92 | -44% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $150.34 | $58.17 | -61% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.50 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $218.90 | $173.68 | -21% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $47.90 | $54.27 | +13% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $214.28 | $104.89 | -51% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $51.02 | $12.80 | -75% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $353.72 | $227.31 | -36% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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