Gudou Holdings Ltd (8308) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$69.4M
Fair value as of: Aug 17, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated today
Share price −10.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 13% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
- Our model range runs from HK$0.0440 (bear) to HK$0.0631 (bull), base HK$0.0510. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 24/100 (below-average quality) with low evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0450 – HK$0.9700 · fair‑value band HK$0.0440 – HK$0.0631 · the HK$0.0450 price screens below the HK$0.0510 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 17, 2026.
Analysis
Gudou Holdings Ltd (8308) currently trades at HK$0.0450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0510, implying the stock looks roughly 13.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 24/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at HK$53.2M. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -36.6%. Net debt stands at HK$231M. Fundamentals as of Aug 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.0440 (bear case) to HK$0.0631 (bull case); at HK$0.0450, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 13%, 8308 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 24 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Gudou Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the operation and management of hot spring resort and hotel facilities in the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, Property Development, and Hotel and Resort Operations.
Full company description
Gudou Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the operation and management of hot spring resort and hotel facilities in the People's Republic of China. It operates in two segments, Property Development, and Hotel and Resort Operations. The company develops and sells tourism properties, including villas, apartments, studio flats, commercial units, and carpark spaces; operates and manages hot spring resort, such as hot spring facilities, six themed hotels, F&B outlets, waterpark, and ancillary leisure and recreational attractions; and property management. It also provides consultancy services to third-party resort and hotel operators. The company was formerly known as Gudou International Holdings Limited and changed its name to Gudou Holdings Limited in October 2015. Gudou Holdings Limited was founded in 2003 and is based in Jiangmen, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gudou Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$53.2M in FY2025 versus HK$64.0M in FY2021, a compound −4.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$61.9M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Resorts & Casinos · 75 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $45.68 | $51.60 | +13% |
| Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 | HK$34.20 | HK$40.46 | +18% |
| Sands China Ltd 1928 | HK$14.34 | HK$2.05 | -86% |
| MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM | $43.98 | $17.73 | -60% |
| Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN | $102.97 | $69.39 | -33% |
| Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR | $63.09 | $18.01 | -71% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $82.98 | $151.24 | +82% |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR | $29.74 | $80.92 | +172% |
| Genting Singapore Limited G13 | 0.6400 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +8% |
| Vail Resorts, Inc MTN | $148.36 | $132.94 | -10% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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