King Force Sec Hldg Ltd (8315) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd stock HK$0.03, price HK$0.06, upside -46.4%, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with oneYes, for free
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.0280 – HK$0.7000 · the HK$0.0560 price screens above the HK$0.0300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 24, 2026.
Follow King Force Sec Hldg in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether King Force Sec Hldg is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Century Plaza Hotel Group, an investment holding company, provides security guarding services in Hong Kong and the People's Republic of China. It operates through Security guarding, property management and human resources; Asset management; and Hospitality catering and beverage services segments.
Show moreShow less
The company also provides property management and human resources services; and business advisory and asset management services. In addition, it operates Chinese restaurant that offers hospitality catering and beverage services.
The company was formerly as Greatwalle Inc. and changed its name to Century Plaza Hotel Group in May 2024. Century Plaza Hotel Group was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Sheung Wan, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
King Force Sec Hldg Ltd (8315) currently trades at HK$0.0560, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0300, 46.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 81/100, which puts the data coverage at low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
King Force Sec Hldg Ltd reported revenue of HK$36.4M in FY2026 versus HK$56.9M in FY2022, a compound −10.6%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$1.1M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap HK$32.6M (≈ $4.2M) Micro · P/E ratio 7.5 · P/S ratio 1.07 · Net margin −3.2% · Return on equity 199,273% · Return on assets (EBIT) −6.0% · Operating margin −2.3% · Revenue (TTM) HK$36.4M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 7 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 62% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −46%, 8315 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.19/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−24.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.1%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −13.0% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.8%
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−38.2% (2021) → −0.7% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare King Force Sec Hldg Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 102 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "King Force Sec Hldg Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8315
Frequently asked questions
Is King Force Sec Hldg Ltd (8315) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0300 versus a price of HK$0.0560, about −46% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8315?
Our model-based fair value for King Force Sec Hldg Ltd is HK$0.0300 (as of Oct 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.0560.
What is the quality score of 8315?
King Force Sec Hldg Ltd has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for King Force Sec Hldg Ltd (8315)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.0300 (as of Oct 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the King Force Sec Hldg Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.0300, about −46% upside versus a price of HK$0.0560 (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd (8315)?
King Force Sec Hldg Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$36.4M (latest available figure, as of Oct 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd (8315)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For King Force Sec Hldg Ltd it is HK$0.0300 per share (as of Oct 24, 2026), against a price of HK$0.0560. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is King Force Sec Hldg Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 24, 2026, 8315 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.0560, fair value HK$0.0300, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8315?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.0560); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.0300). For King Force Sec Hldg Ltd the two are HK$0.0260 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is King Force Sec Hldg Ltd worth?
The market values King Force Sec Hldg Ltd at about HK$32.6M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 24, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.0560; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.0300 per share.
What is the P/E ratio of 8315?
King Force Sec Hldg Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.5 (as of Oct 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$0.0300 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 8.4, P/S 0.9.
How far is 8315 from its 52-week high?
King Force Sec Hldg Ltd trades at HK$0.0560, about 62% below its 52-week high of HK$0.1480 and at the low of HK$0.0560 (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.0300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to King Force Sec Hldg Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Allegion plc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, ADT Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is King Force Sec Hldg Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 24, 2026: price HK$0.0560, calculated fair value HK$0.0300 (−46%), Quality Score 42/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8315 calculated?
We run King Force Sec Hldg Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.0300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. King Force Sec Hldg Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd (8315)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was HK$0.0560. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.0300, about −46% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with King Force Sec Hldg Ltd right now?
Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd (8315)?
The market capitalisation of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd is HK$32.6M (≈ $4.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd (8315)?
The price-to-sales ratio of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd is 1.07 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd (8315)?
The net margin of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd is −3.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd (8315)?
The return on equity (ROE) of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd is 199,273% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd (8315)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd is −6.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd (8315)?
The operating margin of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd is −2.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at King Force Sec Hldg Ltd (8315)?
Revenue at King Force Sec Hldg Ltd is growing −22.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −23.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at King Force Sec Hldg Ltd (8315)?
Earnings per share at King Force Sec Hldg Ltd are growing −84.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does King Force Sec Hldg Ltd (8315) generate?
The free cash flow of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd is −HK$3.2M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does King Force Sec Hldg Ltd (8315) carry?
The net debt of King Force Sec Hldg Ltd is HK$5.9M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch King Force Sec Hldg Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts King Force Sec Hldg Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 28,000+ stock screener.
Thin data
Oct 24, 2026