Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Loomis AB ser. B SEK 496, price SEK 568, upside -12.6%, quality 66 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 185.39 – kr 568.00 · fair‑value band kr 372.32 – kr 620.53 · the kr 568.00 price screens above the kr 496.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Loomis AB (publ) provides secure payment solutions in the United States, France, Switzerland, Spain, the United Kingdom, Sweden, and internationally.
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Loomis AB (publ) provides secure payment solutions in the United States, France, Switzerland, Spain, the United Kingdom, Sweden, and internationally. The company provides transportation of cash and valuables with logistics systems to and from central banks, financial institutions, retailers, restaurants and other businesses; cash management services, and vault and cash storage outsourcing for central banks and commercial banks; and international valuables logistics services, including collection and coordination of cross-border transportation, as well as customs clearance, storage, and secure delivery. It also offers automated teller machine services; automated cash-handling solutions, such as SafePoint, cash recyclers, and front office solutions; foreign exchange services; and Loomis Pay, an end-to-end payment solution that handles all types of payment instruments comprising cards, cash, and digital options in one system. Loomis AB (publ) was founded in 1852 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.
Stock analysis
Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS) currently trades at kr 568.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 496.43, implying the stock looks roughly 14.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of kr 851.61 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 568.00 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 120.15, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: kr 372.32 (bear) to kr 620.53 (bull), the price of kr 568.00 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Loomis AB ser. B reported revenue of 30.4B SEK in FY2025 versus 19.7B SEK in FY2021, a compound +11.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.6B SEK in FY2025, compounding +9.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 38.7B SEK (≈ $3.9B) · P/E ratio 22.3 · P/S ratio 1.16 · EPS (TTM) kr 25.51 · Dividend yield 3.5% · Net margin 5.2% · Return on equity 13.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at −13%, LOOMIS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear kr 372.32Fair Value kr 496.43Bull kr 620.53
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 4.06 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.86/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +6.6% a year
Revenue growth 20 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+13.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10% vs 5%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 12%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−4.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+4.0%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Sweden: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.3% a year for the price and +2.0% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Security & Protection Services · 114 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Loomis AB ser. B Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LOOMIS
Frequently asked questions
Is Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 496.43 versus a price of kr 568.00, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LOOMIS?
Our model-based fair value for Loomis AB ser. B is kr 496.43 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 568.00.
What is the quality score of LOOMIS?
Loomis AB ser. B has a Quality Score of 66/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 496.43 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 372.32, optimistic scenario kr 620.53. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Loomis AB ser. B stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at kr 496.43, about −13% upside versus a price of kr 568.00 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 372.32, optimistic scenario kr 620.53. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS)?
Loomis AB ser. B reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 30.3B SEK (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Loomis AB ser. B pay a dividend?
Loomis AB ser. B currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.52% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Loomis AB ser. B would have to grow free cash flow by -4.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 7.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of LOOMIS use?
Our models discount Loomis AB ser. B at 7.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.51, country premium for Sweden. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Loomis AB ser. B that is -4.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (7.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Loomis AB ser. B grew +10.1 % a year. The price currently implies -4.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Loomis AB ser. B (-4.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.27 %: that much free cash flow Loomis AB ser. B produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (7.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Loomis AB ser. B it is kr 496.43 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of kr 568.00. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Loomis AB ser. B stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, LOOMIS trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 568.00, fair value kr 496.43, a gap of about −13% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of LOOMIS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 568.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 496.43). For Loomis AB ser. B the two are kr 71.57 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Loomis AB ser. B worth?
The market values Loomis AB ser. B at about 38.7B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is kr 568.00; our models calculate a fair value of kr 496.43 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about LOOMIS?
Our models span a range for Loomis AB ser. B: cautious scenario kr 372.32, base kr 496.43, optimistic kr 620.53 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price kr 568.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of LOOMIS?
Loomis AB ser. B trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 496.43 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.6, P/B 3.2, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 6.7.
What is the PEG ratio of LOOMIS?
The PEG ratio of Loomis AB ser. B is 1.58 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Loomis AB ser. B (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 13.3%, debt of 0.51 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 66/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is LOOMIS from its 52-week high?
Loomis AB ser. B trades at kr 568.00, at its 52-week high of kr 568.00 and 67% above the low of kr 339.70 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 496.43 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Loomis AB ser. B?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Verisure plc, Allegion plc, Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co, MSA Safety Incorporated, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Loomis AB ser. B stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price kr 568.00, calculated fair value kr 496.43 (−13%), Quality Score 66/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of LOOMIS calculated?
We run Loomis AB ser. B through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 496.43, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Loomis AB ser. B itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was kr 568.00. Our model-based fair value is kr 496.43, about −13% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Loomis AB ser. B right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS) come from?
Earnings per share at Loomis AB ser. B grew +5.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +8.5 %, EBIT margin +0.5 %, tax rate −0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Loomis AB ser. B
How large is the market capitalisation of Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS)?
The market capitalisation of Loomis AB ser. B is 38.7B SEK (≈ $3.9B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Loomis AB ser. B is 1.16 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS)?
Earnings per share at Loomis AB ser. B are kr 25.51 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS)?
The dividend yield of Loomis AB ser. B is 3.5% (payout 78.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS)?
The net margin of Loomis AB ser. B is 5.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Loomis AB ser. B is 13.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Loomis AB ser. B is 7.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS)?
The operating margin of Loomis AB ser. B is 12.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS)?
Revenue at Loomis AB ser. B is growing −2.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS)?
Earnings per share at Loomis AB ser. B are growing +41.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Loomis AB ser. B (LOOMIS) carry?
The net debt of Loomis AB ser. B is 10.4B SEK (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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