8439 (8439) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · Market cap HK$199M

8 8439 8439 · HK

PriceHK$1.37

Fair ValueHK$0.2400

Upside-82.5%

Quality71/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$0.1800 – HK$0.3000

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated today

Share price −14.9% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.3100 – HK$2.40 · fair‑value band HK$0.1800 – HK$0.3000 · the HK$1.37 price screens above the HK$0.2400 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

8439 (8439) currently trades at HK$1.37, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2400 — implying the stock looks roughly 82.5% overvalued today. We read business quality at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, 8439 generated revenue of HK$55.7M at a net margin of -3.4%. Revenue grew 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -3.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$45.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$55.7M

Revenue growth (YoY) +5.5%

Net margin -3.4%

Return on equity -3.1%

Free cash flow HK$571K FY2025

Operating margin 3.5%

More key figures

Dividend yield 1.6%

EPS growth (YoY) +1,975%

Net cash HK$45.7M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

8439 reported revenue of HK$58.1M in FY2026 versus HK$68.2M in FY2022, a compound −3.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$2.1M in FY2026.

Revenue −3.9%/yr

FY22 HK$68.2M

FY23 HK$61.0M

FY24 HK$67.4M

FY25 HK$51.6M

FY26 HK$58.1M

Net income

FY22 −HK$3.6M

FY23 −HK$6.8M

FY24 −HK$3.5M

FY25 −HK$13.8M

FY26 HK$2.1M

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Similar stocks

6 more Capital Markets stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Huatai Securities Co HTSC	$27.00	$47.45	+76%
Morgan Stanley, a financial holding company, MS	$206.66	$138.97	-33%
The Goldman Sachs Group GS	$1,106	$390.09	-65%
CITIC Securities Company 600030	¥25.66	¥32.02	+25%
6030 6030	HK$27.26	HK$30.74	+13%
Mirae Asset Securities Co 006800	43,450 KRW	42,489 KRW	-2%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 8439 (8439) undervalued?

As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2400 versus a price of HK$1.37 — about −82% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 8439?

Our model-based fair value for 8439 is HK$0.2400 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.37.

What is the quality score of 8439?

8439 has a Quality Score of 71/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 8439 (8439)?

8439 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$55.7M (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 8439?

The net profit margin of 8439 is about -3.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 8439 pay a dividend?

8439 currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.56% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 3, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.