Lapco Holdings (8472) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$21.5M
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +7.4% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 11% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.3230). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The models converge in a tight band (HK$0.3230 to HK$0.3315), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
- Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1650 – HK$43.76 · fair‑value band HK$0.3230 – HK$0.3315 · the HK$0.2900 price screens below the HK$0.3230 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Lapco Holdings (8472) currently trades at HK$0.2900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.3230, implying the stock looks roughly 11.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Lapco Holdings generated revenue of HK$254M at a net margin of -3.5%. Revenue grew 0.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -6.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$41.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$0.3230 (bear case) to HK$0.3315 (bull case); at HK$0.2900, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 77% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -40% fair-value upside, at 11%, 8472 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$1.18) versus Multiples (HK$0.4800). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Lapco Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides environmental hygiene services in Hong Kong. It offers cleaning, pest management, waste management and recycling, landscaping, and online game integrated services. The company serves government departments, property management companies, and other corporations in the private sector.
Full company description
Lapco Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides environmental hygiene services in Hong Kong. It offers cleaning, pest management, waste management and recycling, landscaping, and online game integrated services. The company serves government departments, property management companies, and other corporations in the private sector. Lapco Holdings Limited was founded in 1990 and is headquartered in Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lapco Holdings reported revenue of HK$254M in FY2025 versus HK$766M in FY2021, a compound −24.1%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$8.8M in FY2025.
of which total revenue +8.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +26.7 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Waste Management · 166 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Waste Management median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Waste Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Waste Management, Inc WM | $233.33 | $128.02 | -45% |
| Republic Services, Inc RSG | $219.20 | $122.01 | -44% |
| Waste Connections, Inc WCN | C$242.43 | C$78.67 | -68% |
| Veolia Environnement SA VIE | €37.51 | €24.50 | -35% |
| Clean Harbors, Inc CLH | $303.64 | $155.37 | -49% |
| GFL Environmental Inc GFL | C$55.40 | C$94.12 | +70% |
| Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A FCC | €12.20 | €7.30 | -40% |
| GEM Co 002340 | ¥6.32 | ¥5.27 | -17% |
| Zhejiang Weiming Environment Protection Co 603568 | ¥16.18 | ¥20.91 | +29% |
| Cleanaway Waste Management Limited CWY | A$2.34 | A$1.18 | -50% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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