Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd HK$1.26, price HK$0.35, upside +265.2%, quality 67 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.1842 – HK$0.3738 · fair‑value band HK$0.8800 – HK$1.78 · the HK$0.3450 price screens below the HK$1.26 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 28, 2026.
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Ocean Line Port Development Limited operates as an inland terminal operator in the People's Republic of China.
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Ocean Line Port Development Limited operates as an inland terminal operator in the People's Republic of China. The company offers cargo uploading and unloading services, such as transporting cargo from the stacking yards to the relevant berths for uploading; upload the cargo using the appropriate machinery, which primarily include conveyor belts and cranes, upon the docking of the vessels at the relevant berths; and arrange to unload the cargo off the vessels, using the necessary machinery after docking of the vessels at the relevant berths. It also provides related ancillary port services comprising temporary storage services at its terminals to store customers' raw materials prior to and/or after shipments; short distance road transportation services; and miscellaneous services consisting of docking and undocking of vessels; and cleaning services for trucks and containers. The company was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Chizhou, the People's Republic of China. Ocean Line Port Development Limited operates as a subsidiary of Vital Force Development Limited.
Stock analysis
Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502) currently trades at HK$0.3450, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.26, implying the stock looks roughly 72.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$1.39 per share, and 23 of the 24 models we run sit above the HK$0.3450 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at HK$0.4500, and 1 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$0.8800 (bear) to HK$1.78 (bull), the price of HK$0.3450 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Ocean Line Port Development Ltd reported revenue of 159M CNY in FY2025 versus 166M CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.1%/yr. Reported net income was 52.2M CNY in FY2025, compounding −2.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap HK$276M (≈ $35.2M) · P/E ratio 3.9 · P/S ratio 1.27 · EPS (TTM) HK$0.0300 · Dividend yield 7.8% · Net margin 32.9% · Return on equity 9.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at 265%, 8502 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear HK$0.8800Fair Value HK$1.26Bull HK$1.78
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (HK$0.0023 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.9% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−1.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−1.8% vs 30.1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.46% → 43%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Compare Ocean Line Port Development Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Infrastructure Operations · 60 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.5% · Above median
Return on assets7.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)45.2% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)54.8% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−12.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)7.8% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Infrastructure Operations median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ocean Line Port Development Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8502
Frequently asked questions
Is Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.26 versus a price of HK$0.3450, about +265% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 8502?
Our model-based fair value for Ocean Line Port Development Ltd is HK$1.26 (as of Sep 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.3450.
What is the quality score of 8502?
Ocean Line Port Development Ltd has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.26 (as of Sep 28, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.8800, optimistic scenario HK$1.78. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ocean Line Port Development Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.26, about +265% upside versus a price of HK$0.3450 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.8800, optimistic scenario HK$1.78. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502)?
Ocean Line Port Development Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 159M CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 28, 2026).
Does Ocean Line Port Development Ltd pay a dividend?
Ocean Line Port Development Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.83% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ocean Line Port Development Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.1 % per year. As of Sep 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 8502 use?
Our models discount Ocean Line Port Development Ltd at 9.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.14, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ocean Line Port Development Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ocean Line Port Development Ltd grew +1.1 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.60 %: that much free cash flow Ocean Line Port Development Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ocean Line Port Development Ltd it is HK$1.26 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026), against a price of HK$0.3450. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ocean Line Port Development Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 28, 2026, 8502 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.3450, fair value HK$1.26, a gap of about +265% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8502?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.3450); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.26). For Ocean Line Port Development Ltd the two are HK$0.9150 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ocean Line Port Development Ltd worth?
The market values Ocean Line Port Development Ltd at about HK$276M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 28, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.3450; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8502?
Our models span a range for Ocean Line Port Development Ltd: cautious scenario HK$0.8800, base HK$1.26, optimistic HK$1.78 per share (as of Sep 28, 2026, price HK$0.3450). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 8502?
Ocean Line Port Development Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.9 (as of Sep 28, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$1.26 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 2.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (as of Sep 28, 2026): return on equity 9.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 67/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8502 from its 52-week high?
Ocean Line Port Development Ltd trades at HK$0.3450, about 3% below its 52-week high of HK$0.3550 and 46% above the low of HK$0.2371 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.26 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ocean Line Port Development Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Transurban Group, China Merchants Expressway Network & Technology Holdings, Jiangsu Expressway Company, Shandong Hi-speed Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ocean Line Port Development Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 28, 2026: price HK$0.3450, calculated fair value HK$1.26 (+265%), Quality Score 67/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8502 calculated?
We run Ocean Line Port Development Ltd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Ocean Line Port Development Ltd currently trades 73 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was HK$0.3450. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.26, about +265% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ocean Line Port Development Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$0.8800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.8800 to HK$1.78) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502) come from?
Earnings per share at Ocean Line Port Development Ltd grew +38.3 % a year from 2015 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +16.0 %, EBIT margin +8.3 %, tax rate +2.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +7.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502)?
The market capitalisation of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd is HK$276M (≈ $35.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd is 1.27 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502)?
Earnings per share at Ocean Line Port Development Ltd are HK$0.0300 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 3.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502)?
The dividend yield of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd is 7.8% (payout 90.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502)?
The net margin of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd is 32.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd is 9.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd is 9.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502)?
The operating margin of Ocean Line Port Development Ltd is 54.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502)?
Revenue at Ocean Line Port Development Ltd is growing −12.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502)?
Earnings per share at Ocean Line Port Development Ltd are growing −7.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Ocean Line Port Development Ltd (8502) hold?
Ocean Line Port Development Ltd holds more cash than debt, 273M CNY net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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