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Wing Fung Group Asia (8526) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Wing Fung Group Asia HK$0.21, price HK$0.45, upside -53.3%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · HK · ISIN KYG970591106

WF Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Wing Fung Group Asia

8526 · HK

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value HK$0.2100 · Strongly overvalued (−53.3%)
!Quality 39/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −8.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -13.7% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 9/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$1.72 HK$0.0660 Fair Value HK$0.2100 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.0660 – HK$1.72 · fair‑value band HK$0.1400 – HK$0.2600 · the HK$0.4500 price screens above the HK$0.2100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Wing Fung Group Asia Limited, an investment holding company, provides supply, installation, and fitting-out services of mechanical ventilation and air-conditioning systems for buildings in Hong Kong and Macau. The company engages in the trading of construction materials.

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Wing Fung Group Asia Limited, an investment holding company, provides supply, installation, and fitting-out services of mechanical ventilation and air-conditioning systems for buildings in Hong Kong and Macau. The company engages in the trading of construction materials. It also serves contractors and subcontractors of various building projects, including infrastructural, commercial, and residential building projects. The company was formerly known as Wing Fung Capital Holdings Limited and changed its name to Wing Fung Group Asia Limited in December 2016. The company was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Kowloon Bay, Hong Kong. Wing Fung Group Asia Limited is a subsidiary of Wing Fung Capital Limited.

Stock analysis

Wing Fung Group Asia (8526) currently trades at HK$0.4500, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.2100, 53.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$0.1400 (bear) to HK$0.2600 (bull), the price of HK$0.4500 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Wing Fung Group Asia reported revenue of HK$146M in FY2025 versus HK$175M in FY2021, a compound −4.5%/yr. Reported net income was −HK$22.0M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$79.5M (≈ $10.1M) · P/S ratio 0.38 · Net margin −15.1% · Return on equity −58.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −12.2% · Operating margin −7.4% · Revenue (TTM) HK$210M · Revenue growth (YoY) +97.1%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 337% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −53%, 8526 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$0.1400 Fair Value HK$0.2100 Bull HK$0.2600
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1400 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2800 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.1400 HK$0.1800 HK$0.2800 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.2% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.2%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.1% (2020) → −11.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

8526 screens overvalued: fair value 53% below the price. Compare with Trane Technologies plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Building Products & Equipment · 252 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 38 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −53.3% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −14.3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −13.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −7.4% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 97.1% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Building Products & Equipment median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.23× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.05× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 8
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 13
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Building Products & Equipment stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Trane Technologies plc TT $454.44 $215.45 −53%
Johnson Controls International plc JCI $148.89 $39.93 −73%
Carrier Global Corporation CARR $55.38 $19.38 −65%
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A SGO €69.82 €93.79 +34%
Geberit AG GEBN CHF 545.80 CHF 303.40 −44%
Kingspan Group KRX €97.05 €68.47 −29%
Masco Corporation MAS $68.85 $56.94 −17%
Carlisle Companies Incorporated CSL $326.37 $347.14 +6%
Lennox International Inc LII $368.41 $302.52 −18%
Madison Air Solutions Corporation MAIR $24.97 $20.32 −19%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wing Fung Group Asia Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8526

Frequently asked questions

Is Wing Fung Group Asia (8526) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.2100 versus a price of HK$0.4500, about −53% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8526?
Our model-based fair value for Wing Fung Group Asia is HK$0.2100 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.4500.
What is the quality score of 8526?
Wing Fung Group Asia has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Wing Fung Group Asia (8526)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$0.2100 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$0.1400, optimistic scenario HK$0.2600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Wing Fung Group Asia stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$0.2100, about −53% upside versus a price of HK$0.4500 (overvalued). Cautious scenario HK$0.1400, optimistic scenario HK$0.2600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Wing Fung Group Asia (8526)?
Wing Fung Group Asia reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$210M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Wing Fung Group Asia (8526)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Wing Fung Group Asia it is HK$0.2100 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$0.4500. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Wing Fung Group Asia stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 8526 trades above its calculated fair value: price HK$0.4500, fair value HK$0.2100, a gap of about −53% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8526?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.4500); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$0.2100). For Wing Fung Group Asia the two are HK$0.2400 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Wing Fung Group Asia worth?
The market values Wing Fung Group Asia at about HK$79.5M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.4500; our models calculate a fair value of HK$0.2100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8526?
Our models span a range for Wing Fung Group Asia: cautious scenario HK$0.1400, base HK$0.2100, optimistic HK$0.2600 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$0.4500). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Wing Fung Group Asia (8526)?
Balance-sheet figures for Wing Fung Group Asia (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −58.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8526 from its 52-week high?
Wing Fung Group Asia trades at HK$0.4500, about 8% below its 52-week high of HK$0.4900 and 337% above the low of HK$0.1030 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$0.2100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Wing Fung Group Asia?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Trane Technologies plc, Johnson Controls International plc, Carrier Global Corporation, Compagnie de Saint-Gobain S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Wing Fung Group Asia stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$0.4500, calculated fair value HK$0.2100 (−53%), Quality Score 39/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8526 calculated?
We run Wing Fung Group Asia through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$0.2100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Wing Fung Group Asia itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Wing Fung Group Asia (8526)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$0.4500. Our model-based fair value is HK$0.2100, about −53% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Wing Fung Group Asia right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$0.2600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$0.1400 to HK$0.2600) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Wing Fung Group Asia

How large is the market capitalisation of Wing Fung Group Asia (8526)?
The market capitalisation of Wing Fung Group Asia is HK$79.5M (≈ $10.1M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Wing Fung Group Asia (8526)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Wing Fung Group Asia is 0.38 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Wing Fung Group Asia (8526)?
The net margin of Wing Fung Group Asia is −15.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Wing Fung Group Asia (8526)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Wing Fung Group Asia is −58.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Wing Fung Group Asia (8526)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Wing Fung Group Asia is −12.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Wing Fung Group Asia (8526)?
The operating margin of Wing Fung Group Asia is −7.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Wing Fung Group Asia (8526)?
Revenue at Wing Fung Group Asia is growing +97.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Wing Fung Group Asia (8526)?
Earnings per share at Wing Fung Group Asia are growing +180% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Wing Fung Group Asia (8526) generate?
The free cash flow of Wing Fung Group Asia is −HK$14.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Wing Fung Group Asia (8526) carry?
The net debt of Wing Fung Group Asia is HK$16.3M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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