8616 (8616) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · Market cap HK$61.0M

8 8616 8616 · HK

PriceHK$0.0610

Fair ValueHK$0.0909

Upside+49.0%

Quality74/100

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Evidence: High Range HK$0.0787 – HK$0.0909

Fair value as of: Jul 3, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated today

Share price +7.0% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.0330 – HK$0.0720 · fair‑value band HK$0.0787 – HK$0.0909 · the HK$0.0610 price screens below the HK$0.0909 fair value. As of Jul 3, 2026.

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Analysis

8616 (8616) currently trades at HK$0.0610, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.0909 — implying the stock looks roughly 49.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 8616 generated revenue of HK$177M at a net margin of 2.4%. Revenue grew 7.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$56.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 3, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$177M

Revenue growth (YoY) +7.6%

Net margin 2.4%

Return on equity 2.4%

Free cash flow HK$29.6M FY2026

Operating margin 3.8%

More key figures

EPS growth (YoY) -21.4%

Net cash HK$56.4M FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

8616 reported revenue of HK$177M in FY2026 versus HK$200M in FY2022, a compound −2.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$4.2M in FY2026, compounding −21.0%/yr from FY2022.

Revenue −2.9%/yr

FY22 HK$200M

FY23 HK$223M

FY24 HK$166M

FY25 HK$162M

FY26 HK$177M

Net income −21.0%/yr

FY22 HK$10.9M

FY23 HK$5.5M

FY24 −HK$798K

FY25 −HK$13.3M

FY26 HK$4.2M

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Similar stocks

6 more Engineering & Construction stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 3, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
Larsen & Toubro Limited LTOD	$42.70	$34.33	-20%
Samsung C&T Corporation 028260	460,500 KRW	206,212 KRW	-55%
China State Construction Engineering Corporation 601668	¥4.72	¥16.90	+258%
TopBuild Corp BLD	7,547 MXN	4,541 MXN	-40%
000720 000720	131,900 KRW	76,878 KRW	-42%
United Integrated Services Co 2404	1,260 TWD	1,431 TWD	+14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 8616 (8616) undervalued?

As of Jul 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.0909 versus a price of HK$0.0610 — about +49% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 8616?

Our model-based fair value for 8616 is HK$0.0909 (as of Jul 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.0610.

What is the quality score of 8616?

8616 has a Quality Score of 74/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 8616 (8616)?

8616 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$177M (latest available figure, as of Jul 3, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 8616?

The net profit margin of 8616 is about 2.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.