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ShinHsiung Natural Gas Inc (8908) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · TW · Market cap 12.2B TWD

SN ShinHsiung Natural Gas Inc 8908 · TWO
Price39.90 TWD
Fair Value33.57 TWD
Upside-15.9%
Quality49/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 6.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
3.83% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/13)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: Medium Range 23.23 TWD – 43.91 TWD Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 23, 2026, revised from 33.20 TWD to 33.57 TWD (+1.1%) since Jul 12, 2026. Share price +1.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 16% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (23.23 TWD to 43.91 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

75.86 TWD 38.54 TWD Fair Value 33.57 TWD Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 38.54 TWD – 75.86 TWD · fair‑value band 23.23 TWD – 43.91 TWD · the 39.90 TWD price screens above the 33.57 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.

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Analysis

ShinHsiung Natural Gas Inc (8908) currently trades at 39.90 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33.57 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 15.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, ShinHsiung Natural Gas Inc generated revenue of 10.1B TWD at a net margin of 6.6%. Revenue declined 9.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.1%. Net debt stands at 2.4B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 23.23 TWD (bear case) to 43.91 TWD (bull case); at 39.90 TWD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -16%, 8908 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 14.58 TWD 19.19 TWD 53.81 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 20.57 TWD 28.66 TWD 39.72 TWD 72
Growth-Adj P/E 24.42 TWD 34.88 TWD 45.35 TWD 68
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings 11.09 TWD 21.36 TWD 38.47 TWD 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 14.90 TWD 61.45 TWD 83.73 TWD 54
Lynch FV 15.48 TWD 22.11 TWD 28.75 TWD 50
PEG = 1.0 15.48 TWD 22.11 TWD 28.75 TWD 46
EPV 18.88 TWD 22.56 TWD 25.78 TWD 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple 29.58 TWD 39.45 TWD 49.31 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 27.94 TWD 37.25 TWD 46.57 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 19.40 TWD 25.87 TWD 32.34 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 27.71 TWD 38.00 TWD 48.30 TWD 53
EV/EBITDA 27.86 TWD 38.20 TWD 48.54 TWD 54
EV/Revenue 21.81 TWD 32.51 TWD 43.22 TWD 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 7.19 TWD 9.63 TWD 14.37 TWD 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 14.58 TWD 19.19 TWD 53.81 TWD 76
ROIC Compounder 20.57 TWD 28.66 TWD 39.72 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 24.42 TWD 34.88 TWD 45.35 TWD 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (37.25 TWD) versus Asset-Based (9.63 TWD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 10.1B TWD
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.5%
Net margin 6.6%
Return on equity 16.1%
Free cash flow −158M TWD FY2025
P/E ratio 19.5
More key figures
Operating margin 7.5%
EPS (TTM) 2.15 TWD
Dividend yield 3.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -8.1%
Net debt 2.4B TWD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 44
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 61
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 55
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 19
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ShinHsiung Natural Gas Inc. supplies natural gas in Taiwan. The company operates through three segments: Gas Sale Department, Installation Department, and Solar Electricity Sale Department.

Full company description

ShinHsiung Natural Gas Inc. supplies natural gas in Taiwan. The company operates through three segments: Gas Sale Department, Installation Department, and Solar Electricity Sale Department. It engages in the gas transmission conduits and equipment business; sale of electricity generated by solar energy; equity holding activities; buying, selling, and renting of real estate; solar energy optoelectronics activity; real estate development, lease, and sale business; cogeneration industry; and providing energy technology services. The Company was formerly known as Shin Hsiung Petroleum Gas Co. Ltd. and changed its name to ShinHsiung Natural Gas Inc. in June 2004. The company was incorporated in 1986 and is based in Kaohsiung City, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ShinHsiung Natural Gas Inc reported revenue of 10.4B TWD in FY2025 versus 6.5B TWD in FY2021, a compound +12.5%/yr. Reported net income was 679M TWD in FY2025, compounding +8.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
10.4B TWD
Latest YoY
+27.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.1%
Revenue +12.5%/yr
FY21 6.5B TWD
FY22 7.2B TWD
FY23 7.0B TWD
FY24 8.2B TWD
FY25 10.4B TWD
Net income +8.9%/yr
FY21 484M TWD
FY22 530M TWD
FY23 520M TWD
FY24 573M TWD
FY25 679M TWD

8908 screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ShinHsiung Natural Gas Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8908

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside −16% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Revenue growth -10% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.48× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.74× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.20× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 10.5× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 12 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 65 · sector 34
HEALTH 76 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 77 · sector 67

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €28.84 €35.80 +24%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $177.68 $85.67 -52%
NiSource Inc NI $47.07 $28.59 -39%
Uniper SE UN0 €42.80 €49.13 +15%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 HK$7.03 HK$5.08 -28%
Italgas S.p.A IG €9.98 €8.11 -19%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹171.71 ₹147.74 -14%
Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL ₹723.90 ₹101.36 -86%
ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 ¥17.30 ¥25.71 +49%
UGI Corporation UGI $35.84 $27.13 -24%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ShinHsiung Natural Gas Inc (8908) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 33.57 TWD versus a price of 39.90 TWD, about −16% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8908?
Our model-based fair value for ShinHsiung Natural Gas Inc is 33.57 TWD (as of Jul 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 39.90 TWD.
What is the quality score of 8908?
ShinHsiung Natural Gas Inc has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ShinHsiung Natural Gas Inc (8908)?
ShinHsiung Natural Gas Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 10.1B TWD (latest available figure, as of Jul 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8908?
The net profit margin of ShinHsiung Natural Gas Inc is about 6.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ShinHsiung Natural Gas Inc pay a dividend?
ShinHsiung Natural Gas Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.58% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 23, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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