Ideal Bike (8933) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 8, 2026: fair value of Ideal Bike TWD 1.18, price TWD 4.45, upside -73.5%, quality 32 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 4.25 TWD – 24.95 TWD · fair‑value band 0.7800 TWD – 1.48 TWD · the 4.45 TWD price screens above the 1.18 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.
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Ideal Bike Corporation manufactures and sells bicycles and related parts in China, Europe, Asia, America, and internationally. It also engages in the manufacture, machining, assembly, and domestic sale of bicycles, indoor and outdoor sports vehicles, children's bicycles, mini scooters and their accessories and parts.
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Ideal Bike Corporation manufactures and sells bicycles and related parts in China, Europe, Asia, America, and internationally. It also engages in the manufacture, machining, assembly, and domestic sale of bicycles, indoor and outdoor sports vehicles, children's bicycles, mini scooters and their accessories and parts. The company was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Taichung, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Ideal Bike (8933) currently trades at 4.45 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.18 TWD, 73.5% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 0.7800 TWD (bear) to 1.48 TWD (bull), the price of 4.45 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 32/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Ideal Bike reported revenue of 2.2B TWD in FY2025 versus 4.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound −16.9%/yr. Reported net income was −453M TWD in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 1.4B TWD (≈ $45.4M) · P/S ratio 0.79 · EPS (TTM) −1.22 TWD · Net margin −20.6% · Return on equity −23.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.6% · Operating margin −12.8% · Revenue (TTM) 1.9B TWD.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 52% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 36% fair-value upside, at −73%, 8933 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.7800 TWDFair Value 1.18 TWDBull 1.48 TWD
Price 4.45 TWD · Upside -73.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−8.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.5% (2020) → −18.1% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Leisure · 172 stocks
Beats the industry median on 1/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score32 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−73.5% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets−7.2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−20.9% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−12.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.28× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Leisure median · lower = cheaper
P/S (TTM)0.02× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 37
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 29
PAST (return on equity)0· sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)86· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 59
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ideal Bike Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8933
Frequently asked questions
Is Ideal Bike (8933) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.18 TWD versus a price of 4.45 TWD, about −73% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8933?
Our model-based fair value for Ideal Bike is 1.18 TWD (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 4.45 TWD.
What is the quality score of 8933?
Ideal Bike has a Quality Score of 32/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ideal Bike (8933)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.18 TWD (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.7800 TWD, optimistic scenario 1.48 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ideal Bike stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.18 TWD, about −73% upside versus a price of 4.45 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.7800 TWD, optimistic scenario 1.48 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ideal Bike (8933)?
Ideal Bike reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9B TWD (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Ideal Bike (8933)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ideal Bike it is 1.18 TWD per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of 4.45 TWD. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ideal Bike stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, 8933 trades above its calculated fair value: price 4.45 TWD, fair value 1.18 TWD, a gap of about −73% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 8933?
No. The price is what the market pays today (4.45 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.18 TWD). For Ideal Bike the two are 3.27 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ideal Bike worth?
The market values Ideal Bike at about 1.4B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is 4.45 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 1.18 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 8933?
Our models span a range for Ideal Bike: cautious scenario 0.7800 TWD, base 1.18 TWD, optimistic 1.48 TWD per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price 4.45 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ideal Bike (8933)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ideal Bike (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity −23.5%, debt of 0.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 32/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 8933 from its 52-week high?
Ideal Bike trades at 4.45 TWD, about 52% below its 52-week high of 9.19 TWD and 5% above the low of 4.25 TWD (as of Oct 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.18 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ideal Bike?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Pop Mart International Group, ANTA Sports Products Limited, Amer Sports, Inc, Hasbro, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ideal Bike stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price 4.45 TWD, calculated fair value 1.18 TWD (−73%), Quality Score 32/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 8933 calculated?
We run Ideal Bike through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.18 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Ideal Bike itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ideal Bike (8933)?
The closing price on Oct 8, 2026 was 4.45 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 1.18 TWD, about −73% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ideal Bike right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.48 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (32/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (0.7800 TWD to 1.48 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Ideal Bike
How large is the market capitalisation of Ideal Bike (8933)?
The market capitalisation of Ideal Bike is 1.4B TWD (≈ $45.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ideal Bike (8933)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ideal Bike is 0.79 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ideal Bike (8933)?
Earnings per share at Ideal Bike are −1.22 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ideal Bike (8933)?
The net margin of Ideal Bike is −20.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ideal Bike (8933)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ideal Bike is −23.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ideal Bike (8933)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ideal Bike is −0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ideal Bike (8933)?
The operating margin of Ideal Bike is −12.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ideal Bike (8933)?
Revenue at Ideal Bike is growing −4.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −26.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ideal Bike (8933)?
Earnings per share at Ideal Bike are growing −77.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Ideal Bike (8933) generate?
The free cash flow of Ideal Bike is −75.0M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ideal Bike (8933) carry?
The net debt of Ideal Bike is 1.1B TWD (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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