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Shanghai Huayi Group (900909) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap $1.1B

SH Shanghai Huayi Group 900909 · SHG
Price$0.5050
Fair Value$0.6910
Upside+36.8%
Quality51/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 1.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
21.74% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 18/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.5178 – $0.8633 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 12, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 12, 2026, revised from $57.30 to $0.6910 (−98.8%) since Jul 7, 2026. Share price +1.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 37% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.5178). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (51/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.6904 $0.3770 Fair Value $0.6910 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.3770 – $0.6904 · fair‑value band $0.5178 – $0.8633 · the $0.5050 price screens below the $0.6910 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai Huayi Group (900909) currently trades at $0.5050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6910, implying the stock looks roughly 36.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Huayi Group generated revenue of $46.3B at a net margin of 1.2%. Revenue grew 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.9%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 12.4. Fundamentals as of Aug 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.5178 (bear case) to $0.8633 (bull case); at $0.5050, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -46% fair-value upside, at 37%, 900909 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $6.04 $7.53 $9.65 80
Residual Income $7.67 $7.66 $6.81 76
Rev-Margin DCF $8.39 $12.52 $17.75 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $6.07 $7.76 $10.28 38
5Y Revenue Exit $8.39 $12.67 $18.53 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $11.62 $19.23 $28.83 41
5Y P/E Exit $8.01 $11.90 $16.32 38
10Y Revenue Exit $7.25 $10.77 $16.22 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $9.38 $15.13 $23.98 37
10Y P/E Exit $7.21 $10.26 $14.54 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.38 $14.98 $20.51 54
Lynch FV $3.88 $5.55 $7.21 50
PEG = 1.0 $3.88 $5.55 $7.21 46
EPV $6.30 $6.69 $7.02 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.83 $5.11 $7.03 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.83 $4.66 $5.45 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $6.34 $8.46 $10.57 63
P/S Multiple $6.34 $8.46 $10.57 58
P/B Multiple $6.34 $8.46 $10.57 55
EV/EBIT $10.98 $13.50 $16.02 53
EV/EBITDA $16.13 $20.36 $24.60 54
EV/Revenue $9.97 $12.78 $15.58 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.31 $7.11 $10.62 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $6.04 $7.53 $9.65 80
Rev-Margin DCF $8.39 $12.52 $17.75 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $7.67 $7.66 $6.81 76
ROIC Compounder $6.30 $6.69 $7.02 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $5.69 $8.13 $10.57 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($11.90) versus Dividend Discount ($4.66). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $46.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.6%
Net margin 1.2%
Return on equity 1.9%
Free cash flow $543M FY2024
P/E ratio 12.6
More key figures
Operating margin 2.5%
EPS (TTM) $0.0400
EPS growth (YoY) +14.3%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 39
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 96
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 28
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai Huayi Group Corporation Limited operates as a chemical company in China. The company offers methanol, acetic acid, carbon monoxide, synthesis gas and sulfuric acid, air separation products, etc. for chemical, pharmaceutical, textile printing and dyeing, and rubber industries and other industries.

Full company description

Shanghai Huayi Group Corporation Limited operates as a chemical company in China. The company offers methanol, acetic acid, carbon monoxide, synthesis gas and sulfuric acid, air separation products, etc. for chemical, pharmaceutical, textile printing and dyeing, and rubber industries and other industries. It also provides support services for water, electricity, steam, and other public works, as well as special railway lines and dangerous chemical goods terminals; and dangerous chemical goods transport vehicles and other logistics facilities. In addition, the company offers all-steel radial truck, all steel radial light truck, and passenger tires; and acrylic, ice crystal acrylic acid, butyl acrylate, ethyl acrylate, isooctyl acrylate, hydroxyethyl acrylate, and other products under the Yaxing brand for used in coatings, chemical fiber, textile, light, and other industries. The company was formerly known as Double Coin Holdings Ltd. Shanghai Huayi Group Corporation Limited was founded in 1997 and is based in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Huayi Group reported revenue of $49.7B in FY2024 versus $28.4B in FY2020, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2024, compounding +25.8%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$49.7B
Latest YoY
+20.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.8%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.5%
Revenue +15.0%/yr
FY20 $28.4B
FY21 $40.0B
FY22 $38.9B
FY23 $41.3B
FY24 $49.7B
Net income +25.8%/yr
FY20 $423M
FY21 $3.0B
FY22 $1.3B
FY23 $861M
FY24 $1.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Huayi Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/900909

Peer Group

Chemicals · 341 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Above median
Fair Value upside +37% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 21.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.38× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.0× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 82 · sector 0
FUTURE 8 · sector 21
PAST 8 · sector 19
HEALTH 81 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 27

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BASF SE BASN 1,034 MXN 532.13 MXN -49%
Ningxia Baofeng Energy Group 600989 ¥20.32 ¥20.17 -1%
Zhejiang Juhua Co 600160 ¥42.85 ¥23.35 -46%
PT Barito Pacific Tbk, BRPT 1,690 IDR 1,628 IDR -4%
LG Chem, Ltd 051910 260,500 KRW 587,755 KRW +126%
Formosa Chemicals & Fibre Corporation 1326 66.10 TWD 6.79 TWD -90%
PTT Global Chemical Public Company PTTGC 35.50 THB 18.21 THB -49%
542812 542812 ₹4,369 ₹791.05 -82%
Indorama Ventures Public Company IVL 24.50 THB 17.95 THB -27%
Navin Fluorine International Limited NAVINFLUOR ₹8,650 ₹2,146 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Huayi Group (900909) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6910 versus a price of $0.5050, about +37% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 900909?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Huayi Group is $0.6910 (as of Aug 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.5050.
What is the quality score of 900909?
Shanghai Huayi Group has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Huayi Group (900909)?
Shanghai Huayi Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $46.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 900909?
The net profit margin of Shanghai Huayi Group is about 1.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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