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Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone Development Co (900911) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · CN · Market cap $810M

SJ Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone Development Co 900911 · SHG
Price$0.7210
Fair Value$1.80
Upside+149.7%
Quality47/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 17.3% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/10)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: Medium Range $1.35 – $2.25 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 12, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 12, 2026, revised from $0.9127 to $1.80 (+97.2%) since Jul 25, 2026. Share price +1.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 150% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.35). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$1.01 $0.7079 Fair Value $1.80 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.7079 – $1.01 · fair‑value band $1.35 – $2.25 · the $0.7210 price screens below the $1.80 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 12, 2026.

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Analysis

Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone Development Co (900911) currently trades at $0.7210, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.80, implying the stock looks roughly 149.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone Development Co generated revenue of $6.0B at a net margin of 17.3%. Revenue grew 15.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.3%. Net debt stands at $12.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 12, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.35 (bear case) to $2.25 (bull case); at $0.7210, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 150%, 900911 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $9.99 $10.30 $10.34 61
P/S Multiple $11.96 $15.95 $19.94 58
P/B Multiple $11.96 $15.95 $19.94 55
All 7 models by family
Multiples
P/S Multiple $11.96 $15.95 $19.94 58
P/B Multiple $11.96 $15.95 $19.94 55
EV/EBIT $12.78 $19.50 $26.23 53
EV/EBITDA $14.50 $21.80 $29.11 54
EV/Revenue $3.72 $8.49 $13.26 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.53 $8.74 $13.05 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.99 $10.30 $10.34 61

Widest divergence: Multiples ($15.95) versus Asset-Based ($8.74). Highest evidence: Residual Income (61).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $6.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.8%
Net margin 17.3%
Return on equity 5.3%
Free cash flow −$1.3B FY2024
P/E ratio 5.4
More key figures
Operating margin 27.3%
EPS (TTM) $0.1400
EPS growth (YoY) -29.4%
Net debt $12.7B FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 12, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 64
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 33
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 68
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone Development Co.,Ltd engages in the development and construction, investment promotion, industrial development, and carrier operation management in China. Its property portfolio comprises industrial parks, serviced apartments, residential buildings, and office buildings.

Full company description

Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone Development Co.,Ltd engages in the development and construction, investment promotion, industrial development, and carrier operation management in China. Its property portfolio comprises industrial parks, serviced apartments, residential buildings, and office buildings. Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone Development Co.,Ltd was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone Development Co reported revenue of $5.8B in FY2025 versus $4.6B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was $1.0B in FY2025, compounding −10.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 54/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.8B
Latest YoY
+112.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.1%
Avg. growth/yr (33Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.0%
Revenue +5.9%/yr
FY21 $4.6B
FY22 $5.1B
FY23 $6.6B
FY24 $2.7B
FY25 $5.8B
Net income −10.4%/yr
FY21 $1.6B
FY22 $1.6B
FY23 $1.8B
FY24 $1.0B
FY25 $1.0B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +12.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +10.8 pp

of which total revenue +12.8 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.0 pp

EBIT margin +1.1 pp
Tax rate +0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone Development Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/900911

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 588 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Above median
Fair Value upside +150% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 17% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 16% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.90× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.11× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 51
FUTURE 79 · sector 0
PAST 21 · sector 10
HEALTH 55 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 12, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Duta Pertiwi Tbk DUTI 4,100 IDR 6,239 IDR +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone Development Co (900911) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.80 versus a price of $0.7210, about +150% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 900911?
Our model-based fair value for Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone Development Co is $1.80 (as of Aug 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.7210.
What is the quality score of 900911?
Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone Development Co has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone Development Co (900911)?
Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone Development Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $6.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 12, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 900911?
The net profit margin of Shanghai Jinqiao Export Processing Zone Development Co is about 17.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 17.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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