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Hunan Tyen Machinery Co (900946) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap $199M

HT Hunan Tyen Machinery Co 900946 · SHG
Price$0.2040
Fair Value$0.3600
Upside+76.5%
Quality42/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -5.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 11/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.3100 – $0.4000 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $0.3500 to $0.3600 (+2.9%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price +13.3% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 76% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.3100). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.3140 $0.0950 Fair Value $0.3600 Feb 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0950 – $0.3140 · fair‑value band $0.3100 – $0.4000 · the $0.2040 price screens below the $0.3600 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hunan Tyen Machinery Co (900946) currently trades at $0.2040, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3600, implying the stock looks roughly 76.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hunan Tyen Machinery Co generated revenue of $567M at a net margin of -5.4%. Revenue grew 46.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.0%. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.3100 (bear case) to $0.4000 (bull case); at $0.2040, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 76%, 900946 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.0100 $0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0100 $0.0100 61
EV/EBITDA $0.3100 $0.3600 $0.4000 54
All 4 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.0100 $0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage $0.0100 $0.0100 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $0.3100 $0.3600 $0.4000 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3500 $0.4600 $0.6900 50

Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($0.4600) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $567M
Revenue growth (YoY) +46.4%
Net margin -5.4%
Return on equity -4.0%
Free cash flow −$44.3M FY2025
Operating margin 0.3%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) +113%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 59
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hunan Tyen Machinery Co.,Ltd engages in the design, development, production, and sales of diesel engine turbochargers, gasoline engine turbochargers, engine intake and exhaust valves, cooling fans, and other engine parts in China. Its products are used in passenger cars, commercial vehicles, construction machinery, agricultural machinery, and other fields.

Full company description

Hunan Tyen Machinery Co.,Ltd engages in the design, development, production, and sales of diesel engine turbochargers, gasoline engine turbochargers, engine intake and exhaust valves, cooling fans, and other engine parts in China. Its products are used in passenger cars, commercial vehicles, construction machinery, agricultural machinery, and other fields. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Hengyang, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hunan Tyen Machinery Co reported revenue of $516M in FY2025 versus $569M in FY2021, a compound −2.4%/yr. Reported net income was −$31.3M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 6/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$516M
Latest YoY
+19.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.5%
Revenue −2.4%/yr
FY21 $569M
FY22 $331M
FY23 $488M
FY24 $433M
FY25 $516M
Net income
FY21 $8.8M
FY22 −$27.8M
FY23 $2.9M
FY24 $4.1M
FY25 −$31.3M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hunan Tyen Machinery Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/900946

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 808 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +77% · Top 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 46% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.35× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.6× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 23
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 98 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 24

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hunan Tyen Machinery Co (900946) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3600 versus a price of $0.2040, about +76% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 900946?
Our model-based fair value for Hunan Tyen Machinery Co is $0.3600 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.2040.
What is the quality score of 900946?
Hunan Tyen Machinery Co has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hunan Tyen Machinery Co (900946)?
Hunan Tyen Machinery Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $567M (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 900946?
The net profit margin of Hunan Tyen Machinery Co is about -5.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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