Paragon Union Berhad, an investment holding company, (9407) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · MY · Market cap 176M MYR

Below-average quality, and screening another 60% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.9945 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• A fairly wide model range (0.4930 MYR to 0.9945 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.6400 MYR – 4.95 MYR · fair‑value band 0.4930 MYR – 0.9945 MYR · the 1.65 MYR price screens above the 0.6630 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Paragon Union Berhad, an investment holding company, (9407) currently trades at 1.65 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.6630 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 59.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Paragon Union Berhad, an investment holding company, generated revenue of 74.1M MYR at a net margin of -5.1%. Revenue grew 18.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 82.6%. Net debt stands at 10.8M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.4930 MYR (bear case) to 0.9945 MYR (bull case); at 1.65 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -44% fair-value upside, at -60%, 9407 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (60.84 MYR) versus Multiples (0.7800 MYR). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (54).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Paragon Union Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacturing and trading of car and commercial carpets, and automotive components, recycling and related activities. The company operates through three segments: Automotive, Commercial, and Recycling.

Full company description

Paragon Union Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacturing and trading of car and commercial carpets, and automotive components, recycling and related activities. The company operates through three segments: Automotive, Commercial, and Recycling. The company offers commercial carpets, such as woven axminster, machine and hand tufted, wilton, and mosque carpets, as well as carpet tiles and rugs for use in 5 star hotels, commercial buildings, offices, mosques, and government projects. It also provides automotive products, carpet mats, insulators/silencers, trim parts, and carpet floors. In addition, the company is involved in the development of properties; provides management services; and trading of recycled metal and related materials, such as aluminum ingots and pallets, carbon block and powder, and other products. It operates in Malaysia, Australia, China, Combodia, Hong Kong, Mozambique, Thailand, Pakistan, and internationally. Paragon Union Berhad was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Cheras, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

Paragon Union Berhad, an investment holding company, reported revenue of 62.7M MYR in FY2024 versus 39.4M MYR in FY2020, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was −3.0M MYR in FY2024.

9407 screens 60% overvalued. Compare with Hyundai Mobis Co →

Peer Group

Auto Parts · 642 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.