Paragon Union Bhd (9407) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Paragon Union Bhd MYR 0.56, price MYR 1.42, upside -60.5%, quality 22 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Paragon Union Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacturing and trading of car and commercial carpets, and automotive components, recycling and related activities. The company operates through three segments: Automotive, Commercial, and Recycling.
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Paragon Union Berhad, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacturing and trading of car and commercial carpets, and automotive components, recycling and related activities. The company operates through three segments: Automotive, Commercial, and Recycling. The company offers commercial carpets, such as woven axminster, machine and hand tufted, wilton, and mosque carpets, as well as carpet tiles and rugs for use in 5 star hotels, commercial buildings, offices, mosques, and government projects. It also provides automotive products, carpet mats, insulators/silencers, trim parts, and carpet floors. In addition, the company is involved in the development of properties; provides management services; and trading of recycled metal and related materials, such as aluminum ingots and pallets, carbon block and powder, and other products. It operates in Malaysia, Australia, China, Combodia, Hong Kong, Mozambique, Thailand, Pakistan, and internationally. Paragon Union Berhad was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Cheras, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Paragon Union Bhd (9407) currently trades at 1.42 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5610 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 153.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 91/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 0.4165 MYR (bear) to 0.8330 MYR (bull), the price of 1.42 MYR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 22/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Paragon Union Bhd reported revenue of 62.7M MYR in FY2024 versus 39.4M MYR in FY2020, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was −3.0M MYR in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap 176M MYR (≈ $43.2M) · P/S ratio 2.37 · EPS (TTM) −0.0400 MYR · Net margin −4.7% · Return on equity 82.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.5% · Operating margin 4.8% · Revenue (TTM) 74.1M MYR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 44 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −60%, 9407 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.4165 MYRFair Value 0.5610 MYRBull 0.8330 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.21/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−31.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
5.5% (2019) → −3.5% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2024 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 692 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−61% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)83% · Top 25%
Return on assets−1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth19% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.04× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.37× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.58× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 24
FUTURE (revenue growth)93· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)98· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 38
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Paragon Union Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9407
Frequently asked questions
Is Paragon Union Bhd (9407) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5610 MYR versus a price of 1.42 MYR, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9407?
Our model-based fair value for Paragon Union Bhd is 0.5610 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.42 MYR.
What is the quality score of 9407?
Paragon Union Bhd has a Quality Score of 22/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Paragon Union Bhd (9407)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.5610 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.4165 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.8330 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Paragon Union Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.5610 MYR, about −60% upside versus a price of 1.42 MYR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.4165 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.8330 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Paragon Union Bhd (9407)?
Paragon Union Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 74.1M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Paragon Union Bhd (9407)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Paragon Union Bhd it is 0.5610 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1.42 MYR. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Paragon Union Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 9407 trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.42 MYR, fair value 0.5610 MYR, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9407?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.42 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.5610 MYR). For Paragon Union Bhd the two are 0.8590 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Paragon Union Bhd worth?
The market values Paragon Union Bhd at about 176M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1.42 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.5610 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9407?
Our models span a range for Paragon Union Bhd: cautious scenario 0.4165 MYR, base 0.5610 MYR, optimistic 0.8330 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1.42 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Paragon Union Bhd (9407)?
Balance-sheet figures for Paragon Union Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 82.6%, debt of 0.04 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 22/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9407 from its 52-week high?
Paragon Union Bhd trades at 1.42 MYR, about 71% below its 52-week high of 4.95 MYR and 7% above the low of 1.33 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.5610 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Paragon Union Bhd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Paragon Union Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1.42 MYR, calculated fair value 0.5610 MYR (−60%), Quality Score 22/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9407 calculated?
We run Paragon Union Bhd through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.5610 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Paragon Union Bhd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Paragon Union Bhd (9407)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 1.42 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.5610 MYR, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Paragon Union Bhd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.8330 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (22/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (0.4165 MYR to 0.8330 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Paragon Union Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of Paragon Union Bhd (9407)?
The market capitalisation of Paragon Union Bhd is 176M MYR (≈ $43.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Paragon Union Bhd (9407)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Paragon Union Bhd is 2.37 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Paragon Union Bhd (9407)?
Earnings per share at Paragon Union Bhd are −0.0400 MYR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Paragon Union Bhd (9407)?
The net margin of Paragon Union Bhd is −4.7% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Paragon Union Bhd (9407)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Paragon Union Bhd is 82.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Paragon Union Bhd (9407)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Paragon Union Bhd is −5.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Paragon Union Bhd (9407)?
The operating margin of Paragon Union Bhd is 4.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Paragon Union Bhd (9407)?
Revenue at Paragon Union Bhd is growing +18.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Paragon Union Bhd (9407) generate?
The free cash flow of Paragon Union Bhd is −9.8M MYR (fiscal year 2024). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Paragon Union Bhd (9407) carry?
The net debt of Paragon Union Bhd is 10.8M MYR (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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