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JTC Inc (950170) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · KR · Market cap 235B KRW

JI JTC Inc 950170 · KQ
Price4,085 KRW
Fair Value2,604 KRW
Upside-36.3%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 1.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Narrow moat 22/100
Evidence: High Range 2,604 KRW – 2,608 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago

Share price −16.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 36% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (2,608 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • The models converge in a tight band (2,604 KRW to 2,608 KRW), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

7,480 KRW 2,555 KRW Fair Value 2,604 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 2,555 KRW – 7,480 KRW · fair‑value band 2,604 KRW – 2,608 KRW · the 4,085 KRW price screens above the 2,604 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 22, 2026.

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Analysis

JTC Inc (950170) currently trades at 4,085 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2,604 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 36.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, JTC Inc generated revenue of 302B KRW at a net margin of 1.6%. Revenue declined 41.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.7%. Net debt stands at 11.9B KRW. Fundamentals as of Jul 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2,604 KRW (bear case) to 2,608 KRW (bull case); at 4,085 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 50% fair-value upside, at -36%, 950170 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 7,045 KRW 13,407 KRW 24,090 KRW 80
Residual Income 2,570 KRW 2,492 KRW 2,118 KRW 76
Rev-Margin DCF 5,689 KRW 9,087 KRW 16,212 KRW 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 7,403 KRW 11,216 KRW 23,681 KRW 38
Owner Earnings 5,506 KRW 11,318 KRW 24,065 KRW 31
5Y Revenue Exit 5,274 KRW 8,089 KRW 13,966 KRW 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 7,780 KRW 13,159 KRW 23,720 KRW 41
5Y P/E Exit 4,015 KRW 6,514 KRW 9,747 KRW 38
10Y Revenue Exit 5,814 KRW 10,967 KRW 14,117 KRW 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 7,827 KRW 16,492 KRW 31,760 KRW 37
10Y P/E Exit 5,016 KRW 8,193 KRW 13,013 KRW 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 675.61 KRW 4,712 KRW 6,612 KRW 54
Lynch FV 2,434 KRW 3,477 KRW 4,521 KRW 50
PEG = 1.0 2,434 KRW 3,477 KRW 4,521 KRW 46
EPV 3,308 KRW 3,683 KRW 4,017 KRW 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 228.45 KRW 498.74 KRW 839.15 KRW 70
DDM Multi-Stage 228.45 KRW 408.55 KRW 519.76 KRW 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 1,565 KRW 2,086 KRW 2,608 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 1,267 KRW 1,689 KRW 2,111 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 1,267 KRW 1,689 KRW 2,111 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 5,355 KRW 6,747 KRW 8,140 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 7,617 KRW 9,763 KRW 11,909 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 4,159 KRW 5,437 KRW 6,715 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1,757 KRW 2,355 KRW 3,515 KRW 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 7,045 KRW 13,407 KRW 24,090 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 5,689 KRW 9,087 KRW 16,212 KRW 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 2,570 KRW 2,492 KRW 2,118 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 3,308 KRW 3,970 KRW 4,986 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 3,184 KRW 4,548 KRW 5,913 KRW 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (10,967 KRW) versus Dividend Discount (408.55 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 302B KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) -41.5%
Net margin 1.6%
Return on equity 2.7%
Free cash flow 17.0B KRW FY2026
Operating margin -8.2%
More key figures
EPS growth (YoY) -16.7%
Net debt 11.9B KRW FY2022

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 85
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 57
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 51
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

JTC Inc. operates retail shops in Japan and South Korea. It is involved in the retail sale of food, cosmetics, daily necessities, and other souvenirs. The company was formerly known as Japan Tourism Corporation Inc. and changed its name to JTC Inc. in March 2011. JTC Inc. was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

JTC Inc reported revenue of 302B KRW in FY2026 versus 1.3B KRW in FY2022, a compound +287.0%/yr. Reported net income was 4.8B KRW in FY2026.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
302B KRW
Latest YoY
+786.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+334.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+183.5%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.4%
Revenue +287.0%/yr
FY22 1.3B KRW
FY23 3.7B KRW
FY24 16.3B KRW
FY25 34.0B KRW
FY26 302B KRW
Net income
FY22 −8.9B KRW
FY23 −1.5B KRW
FY24 2.2B KRW
FY25 8.5B KRW
FY26 4.8B KRW

950170 screens 36% overvalued. Compare with Falabella S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JTC Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/950170

Peer Group

Department Stores · 127 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −36% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 3% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) -8% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -42% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 26
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 11 · sector 16
HEALTH 98 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 37

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Falabella S.A FALABELLA 5,875 CLP 8,880 CLP +51%
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 99.62 MXN 263.70 MXN +165%
99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 3.70 MYR 1.45 MYR -61%
Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD 2,040 CLP 2,516 CLP +23%
Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM ₹113.94 ₹37.39 -67%
SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 610,000 KRW 200,259 KRW -67%
Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB 30.04 MXN 59.59 MXN +98%
Lotte Shopping Co 023530 155,300 KRW 81,725 KRW -47%
Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 R$14.10 R$33.36 +137%
La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC 34.37 MXN 51.49 MXN +50%

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Frequently asked questions

Is JTC Inc (950170) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2,604 KRW versus a price of 4,085 KRW, about −36% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 950170?
Our model-based fair value for JTC Inc is 2,604 KRW (as of Jul 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 4,085 KRW.
What is the quality score of 950170?
JTC Inc has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of JTC Inc (950170)?
JTC Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 302B KRW (latest available figure, as of Jul 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 950170?
The net profit margin of JTC Inc is about 1.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 1.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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