9516 Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · Market cap 115M SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 22.46 SAR – 40.05 SAR · fair‑value band 17.35 SAR – 28.92 SAR · the 23.01 SAR price screens below the 23.14 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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9516 (9516) currently trades at 23.01 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 23.14 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 0.6% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, 9516 generated revenue of 149M SAR at a net margin of 5.1%. Revenue grew 32.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.0M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 17.35 SAR (bear case) to 28.92 SAR (bull case); at 23.01 SAR, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -18% fair-value upside, at 1%, 9516 screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
9516 reported revenue of 149M SAR in FY2025 versus 89.6M SAR in FY2021, a compound +13.6%/yr. Reported net income was 7.6M SAR in FY2025, compounding +28.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Naturgy Energy Group NTGY | €28.54 | €26.39 | -8% |
| Atmos Energy Corporation ATO | $176.20 | $85.67 | -51% |
| Snam S.p.A SRG | €6.19 | €4.95 | -20% |
| Uniper SE UNPRF | $55.20 | $58.42 | +6% |
| NiSource Inc N1IS34 | R$237.63 | R$25.92 | -89% |
| The Hong Kong and China Gas Company HOKCY | $0.8100 | $0.5500 | -32% |
| Tokyo Gas Co TKGSF | $38.20 | $65.41 | +71% |
| Osaka Gas Co OSGSY | $69.87 | $36.28 | -48% |
| Italgas S.p.A ITGGF | $12.50 | $10.23 | -18% |
| GAIL (India) Limited GAIL | ₹177.30 | ₹147.58 | -17% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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