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Ladun Investment Company (9535) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Ladun Investment Company is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Real Estate · SA · ISIN SA15IG94KVH6

LI Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Ladun Investment Company

9535 · SR

Weak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.

!Fair value 1.87 SAR · Overvalued (−10%)
!Quality 43/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +17.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -9.0% net margin (TTM)
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/13)
!Narrow moat 3/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 20 out of 100
!Weak on balance sheet: 24 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

7.20 SAR 1.24 SAR Fair Value 1.87 SAR Jun 2022 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

51‑month range 1.24 SAR – 7.20 SAR · fair‑value band 0.9700 SAR – 3.03 SAR · the 2.07 SAR price screens above the 1.87 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Ladun Investment Company is a real estate investment firm. The firm was founded in 1968 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Stock analysis

Ladun Investment Company (9535) currently trades at 2.07 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.87 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 10.7% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 2.01 SAR per share, and 2 of the 10 models we run sit above the 2.07 SAR price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 0.5100 SAR, and 8 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 0.9700 SAR (bear) to 3.03 SAR (bull), the price of 2.07 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Ladun Investment Company reported revenue of 1.2B SAR in FY2025 versus 770M SAR in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was −55.4M SAR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.3B SAR (≈ $338M) · P/S ratio 1.27 · EPS (TTM) −0.1100 SAR · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin −4.8% · Return on equity −15.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0% · Operating margin −9.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 7% fair-value upside, at −10%, 9535 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.9700 SAR Fair Value 1.87 SAR Bull 3.03 SAR
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 2.58 SAR 5.64 SAR 10.46 SAR 76
Growth DCF 2.49 SAR 5.13 SAR 9.00 SAR 75
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.2300 SAR 0.9300 SAR 1.70 SAR 70
All 10 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2.58 SAR 5.64 SAR 10.46 SAR 76
5Y Revenue Exit 0.2300 SAR 0.9200 SAR 1.74 SAR 67
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.2300 SAR 0.9300 SAR 1.70 SAR 70
10Y Revenue Exit 1.06 SAR 2.01 SAR 3.27 SAR 65
10Y EBITDA Exit 1.08 SAR 2.02 SAR 3.24 SAR 66
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.3100 SAR 0.5600 SAR 0.7700 SAR 68
DDM Multi-Stage 0.3100 SAR 0.5100 SAR 0.6000 SAR 67
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.5800 SAR 0.7700 SAR 1.16 SAR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2.49 SAR 5.13 SAR 9.00 SAR 75
Rev-Margin DCF 0.2300 SAR 0.9800 SAR 1.98 SAR 66

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 10
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 79
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 8
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 77
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−23.1%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.1%
Revenue growth 6 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.4%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.0% (2020) → 2.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes This turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 576 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside −15% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −50% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.52× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.59× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.34× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 35.4× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)20 · sector 47
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)24 · sector 85
DIVIDEND (yield)31 · sector 52

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 80016 HK$92.75 HK$98.84 +7%
China Resources Land Limited 1109 HK$29.16 HK$72.90 +150%
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 72,000 VND 109,431 VND +52%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$47.88 HK$68.85 +44%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.48 $1.52 −82%
DLF Limited DLF ₹643.60 ₹170.24 −74%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.48 HK$22.14 +77%
Macrotech Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,113 ₹277.21 −75%
Sino Land Company 0083 HK$10.14 HK$8.51 −16%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 5,625 IDR 1,325 IDR −76%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ladun Investment Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9535

Frequently asked questions

Is Ladun Investment Company (9535) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.87 SAR versus a price of 2.07 SAR, about −10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 9535?
Our model-based fair value for Ladun Investment Company is 1.87 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 2.07 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9535?
Ladun Investment Company has a Quality Score of 43/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.87 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 10 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.9700 SAR, optimistic scenario 3.03 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ladun Investment Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.87 SAR, about −10% upside versus a price of 2.07 SAR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 0.9700 SAR, optimistic scenario 3.03 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
Ladun Investment Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 996M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Ladun Investment Company pay a dividend?
Ladun Investment Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.57% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ladun Investment Company would have to grow free cash flow by +1.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.1 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9535 use?
Our models discount Ladun Investment Company at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ladun Investment Company that is +1.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ladun Investment Company (9535) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ladun Investment Company grew +17.1 % a year. The price currently implies +1.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ladun Investment Company (9535) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ladun Investment Company (+1.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 18.78 %: that much free cash flow Ladun Investment Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ladun Investment Company it is 1.87 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 2.07 SAR. It is the blended result of 10 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ladun Investment Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 9535 trades above its calculated fair value: price 2.07 SAR, fair value 1.87 SAR, a gap of about −10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9535?
No. The price is what the market pays today (2.07 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.87 SAR). For Ladun Investment Company the two are 0.2000 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ladun Investment Company worth?
The market values Ladun Investment Company at about 1.3B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 2.07 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 1.87 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9535?
Our models span a range for Ladun Investment Company: cautious scenario 0.9700 SAR, base 1.87 SAR, optimistic 3.03 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 2.07 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ladun Investment Company (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −15.3%, debt of 1.52 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 43/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9535 from its 52-week high?
Ladun Investment Company trades at 2.07 SAR, about 36% below its 52-week high of 3.24 SAR and 5% above the low of 1.98 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.87 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ladun Investment Company?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, China Resources Land Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ladun Investment Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 2.07 SAR, calculated fair value 1.87 SAR (−10%), Quality Score 43/100, from 10 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9535 calculated?
We run Ladun Investment Company through 10 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.87 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Ladun Investment Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Ladun Investment Company right now?
The model range is unusually wide (0.9700 SAR to 3.03 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Ladun Investment Company

How large is the market capitalisation of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
The market capitalisation of Ladun Investment Company is 1.3B SAR (≈ $338M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ladun Investment Company is 1.27 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
Earnings per share at Ladun Investment Company are −0.1100 SAR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
The dividend yield of Ladun Investment Company is 1.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
The net margin of Ladun Investment Company is −4.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ladun Investment Company is −15.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ladun Investment Company is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
The operating margin of Ladun Investment Company is −9.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
Revenue at Ladun Investment Company is growing −49.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
Earnings per share at Ladun Investment Company are growing −34.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ladun Investment Company (9535) carry?
The net debt of Ladun Investment Company is 1.1B SAR (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 5.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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