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Data-driven stock valuation

Ladun Investment Company (9535) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ladun Investment Company stock SAR 2.98, price SAR 1.76, upside +69.3%, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value 30%+ above price?Yes
  2. Quality 50+?No
  3. In an uptrend?No
  4. Keep an eye on it?Free in your watchlist: 5 stocks without an account, 10 with one Yes, for free

Real Estate SA · ISIN SA15IG94KVH6

LI Ladun Investment Company logo Thin data Oct 28, 2026

Ladun Investment Company

9535 · SR

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

The stock costs 41% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value 2.98 SAR · Strongly undervalued (41%)
Generates free cash flow
Quality 42/100
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +17.1 %/yr in SAR)
Loss-making · -18.1% net margin (TTM)
High debt
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 11/100 · thin data
Thin data

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

7.20 SAR 1.24 SAR Fair Value 2.98 SAR Jun 2022 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

52‑month range 1.24 SAR – 7.20 SAR · fair‑value band 1.85 SAR – 4.40 SAR · the 1.76 SAR price screens below the 2.98 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 28, 2026.

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Company profile

Ladun Investment Company is a real estate investment firm. The firm was founded in 1968 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Stock analysis

Ladun Investment Company (9535) currently trades at 1.76 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.98 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 40.9% undervalued today.

Show more

Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 2.98 SAR per share, and 4 of the 8 models we run sit above the 1.76 SAR price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.7700 SAR, and 4 of the 8 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 1.85 SAR (bear) to 4.40 SAR (bull), the price of 1.76 SAR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Ladun Investment Company reported revenue of 1.2B SAR in FY2025 versus 770M SAR in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was −55.4M SAR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 1.3B SAR (≈ $340M) Small · P/S ratio 1.53 · EPS (TTM) −0.1100 SAR · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin −4.8% · Return on equity −26.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.0% · Operating margin −9.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 11 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at 69%, 9535 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1.85 SAR Fair Value 2.98 SAR Bull 4.40 SAR
Price 1.76 SAR · Upside +69.3%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF 3.72 SAR 7.37 SAR 12.92 SAR 77
Growth DCF 3.60 SAR 6.71 SAR 11.09 SAR 76
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.7300 SAR 1.52 SAR 2.36 SAR 73
All 8 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 3.72 SAR 7.37 SAR 12.92 SAR 77
5Y Revenue Exit 0.7300 SAR 1.52 SAR 2.40 SAR 70
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.7300 SAR 1.52 SAR 2.36 SAR 73
10Y Revenue Exit 1.85 SAR 2.98 SAR 4.43 SAR 66
10Y EBITDA Exit 1.87 SAR 2.98 SAR 4.40 SAR 68
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.5800 SAR 0.7700 SAR 1.15 SAR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 3.60 SAR 6.71 SAR 11.09 SAR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.7300 SAR 1.59 SAR 2.74 SAR 69

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 10
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 11
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 79
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 8
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 98
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 59
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 10
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 4
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 77
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−23.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+33.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.4% (2019) → 7.8% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.6% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 578 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Below median
Fair Value upside +69.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −2.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −18.1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) −9.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −52.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.52× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.21× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months) 1.53× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow 6.5× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 69
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 11
HEALTH (low debt)24 · sector 84
DIVIDEND (yield)31 · sector 57

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.43 HK$22.54 +81% vs 9535
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$46.22 HK$72.05 +56% vs 9535
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$107.70 HK$156.00 +45% vs 9535
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.43 ¥5.87 +8% vs 9535
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 63,500 VND 56,356 VND −11% vs 9535
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.86 ¥6.63 −16% vs 9535
Sino Land Company 0083 HK$10.58 HK$6.32 −40% vs 9535
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,010 ₹271.92 −73% vs 9535
DLF Limited DLF ₹671.00 ₹167.48 −75% vs 9535
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.38 $1.52 −82% vs 9535

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ladun Investment Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9535

Frequently asked questions

Is Ladun Investment Company (9535) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.98 SAR versus a price of 1.76 SAR, about +69% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9535?
Our model-based fair value for Ladun Investment Company is 2.98 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.76 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9535?
Ladun Investment Company has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.98 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 8 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.85 SAR, optimistic scenario 4.40 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ladun Investment Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.98 SAR, about +69% upside versus a price of 1.76 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1.85 SAR, optimistic scenario 4.40 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
Ladun Investment Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 832M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
Does Ladun Investment Company pay a dividend?
Ladun Investment Company currently shows a dividend yield of 1.57% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ladun Investment Company would have to grow free cash flow by +0.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +17.1 % per year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 9535 use?
Our models discount Ladun Investment Company at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ladun Investment Company that is +0.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ladun Investment Company (9535) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ladun Investment Company grew +17.1 % a year. The price currently implies +0.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ladun Investment Company (9535) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +13.0 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ladun Investment Company (+0.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 22.09 %: that much free cash flow Ladun Investment Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ladun Investment Company it is 2.98 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of 1.76 SAR. It is the blended result of 8 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ladun Investment Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, 9535 trades below its calculated fair value: price 1.76 SAR, fair value 2.98 SAR, a gap of about +69% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9535?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.76 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.98 SAR). For Ladun Investment Company the two are 1.22 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ladun Investment Company worth?
The market values Ladun Investment Company at about 1.3B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is 1.76 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 2.98 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9535?
Our models span a range for Ladun Investment Company: cautious scenario 1.85 SAR, base 2.98 SAR, optimistic 4.40 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price 1.76 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ladun Investment Company (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity −26.0%, debt of 1.52 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9535 from its 52-week high?
Ladun Investment Company trades at 1.76 SAR, about 40% below its 52-week high of 2.95 SAR and 6% above the low of 1.66 SAR (as of Oct 26, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.98 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ladun Investment Company?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, Vinhomes Joint Stock Company, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ladun Investment Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price 1.76 SAR, calculated fair value 2.98 SAR (+69%), Quality Score 42/100, from 8 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9535 calculated?
We run Ladun Investment Company through 8 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.98 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Ladun Investment Company currently trades 41 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
The closing price on Oct 26, 2026 was 1.76 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 2.98 SAR, about +69% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ladun Investment Company right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (1.85 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (1.85 SAR to 4.40 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Ladun Investment Company

How large is the market capitalisation of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
The market capitalisation of Ladun Investment Company is 1.3B SAR (≈ $340M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ladun Investment Company is 1.53 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
Earnings per share at Ladun Investment Company are −0.1100 SAR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
The dividend yield of Ladun Investment Company is 1.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
The net margin of Ladun Investment Company is −4.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ladun Investment Company is −26.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ladun Investment Company is 3.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
The operating margin of Ladun Investment Company is −9.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
Revenue at Ladun Investment Company is growing −52.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +9.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ladun Investment Company (9535)?
Earnings per share at Ladun Investment Company are growing −34.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Ladun Investment Company (9535) carry?
The net debt of Ladun Investment Company is 1.1B SAR (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 5.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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