9535 Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · Market cap 1.3B SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 15 valuation models · updated today
Share price −10.6% over the past month.
What matters now
- Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The model range is unusually wide (0.9700 SAR to 3.03 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 2.01 SAR – 3.23 SAR · fair‑value band 0.9700 SAR – 3.03 SAR · the 2.54 SAR price screens above the 1.87 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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9535 (9535) currently trades at 2.54 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.87 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 26.4% overvalued today. We read business quality at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, 9535 generated revenue of 996M SAR at a net margin of -9.0%. Revenue declined 49.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -15.3%. Net debt stands at 1.1B SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.9700 SAR (bear case) to 3.03 SAR (bull case); at 2.54 SAR, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -4% fair-value upside, at -26%, 9535 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
9535 reported revenue of 1.2B SAR in FY2025 versus 770M SAR in FY2021, a compound +10.8%/yr. Reported net income was −55.4M SAR in FY2025.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM | 155,400 VND | 148,549 VND | -4% |
| DLF Limited DLF | ₹627.60 | ₹215.17 | -66% |
| Lodha Developers Limited LODHA | ₹926.65 | ₹774.29 | -16% |
| PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI | 6,650 IDR | 1,330 IDR | -80% |
| Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY | ₹1,633 | ₹1,368 | -16% |
| Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP | ₹2,102 | ₹1,044 | -50% |
| PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT | 1,075 IDR | 1,909 IDR | +78% |
| PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE | 565.00 IDR | 1,413 IDR | +150% |
| PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL | 64.00 IDR | 152.22 IDR | +138% |
| PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA | 545.00 IDR | 1,363 IDR | +150% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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