9551 Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · Market cap 96.3M SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −19.1% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.34 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 5.50 SAR – 15.24 SAR · fair‑value band 0.8000 SAR – 1.34 SAR · the 5.50 SAR price screens above the 1.07 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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9551 (9551) currently trades at 5.50 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.07 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 80.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, 9551 generated revenue of 24.9M SAR at a net margin of 3.4%. Revenue declined 30.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.6%. Net debt stands at 4.2M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.8000 SAR (bear case) to 1.34 SAR (bull case); at 5.50 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 66% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -15% fair-value upside, at -81%, 9551 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
9551 reported revenue of 24.9M SAR in FY2026 versus 20.4M SAR in FY2022, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was 852K SAR in FY2026, compounding −30.2%/yr from FY2022.
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Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$91.19 | C$61.82 | -32% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $831.67 | $308.04 | -63% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $206.94 | $116.29 | -44% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $467.07 | $370.46 | -21% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $238.57 | $229.41 | -4% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $76.01 | $94.27 | +24% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥56.79 | ¥48.19 | -15% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $29.81 | $35.52 | +19% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $551.32 | $329.02 | -40% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $193.45 | $184.19 | -5% |
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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