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Nass Petrol Factory Company (9609) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · SA · Market cap 87.0M SAR

NP Nass Petrol Factory Company 9609 · SR
Price29.00 SAR
Fair Value11.56 SAR
Upside-60.1%
Quality41/100
Weak Growth
Thin margins · 2.7% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/12)
Narrow moat 20/100
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Evidence: Medium Range 8.67 SAR – 14.44 SAR Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 1, 2026

From 18 valuation models · updated today

Share price −6.5% over the past month.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (14.44 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

47.00 SAR 29.00 SAR Fair Value 11.56 SAR Aug 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 29.00 SAR – 47.00 SAR · fair‑value band 8.67 SAR – 14.44 SAR · the 29.00 SAR price screens above the 11.56 SAR fair value. As of Aug 1, 2026.

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Analysis

Nass Petrol Factory Company (9609) currently trades at 29.00 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 11.56 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 60.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Nass Petrol Factory Company generated revenue of 74.6M SAR at a net margin of 2.7%. Revenue declined 2.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 10.8. Fundamentals as of Aug 1, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 8.67 SAR (bear case) to 14.44 SAR (bull case); at 29.00 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -6% fair-value upside, at -60%, 9609 screens richer than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 74.6M SAR
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.0%
Net margin 2.7%
Return on equity 3.5%
Free cash flow 10.7M SAR FY2025
P/E ratio 10.8
More key figures
Operating margin -1.2%
EPS (TTM) 2.68 SAR
EPS growth (YoY) -42.9%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 1, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100
Profitability 37
Quality Growth 3
Cashflow 80
Fin. Strength 75
Investment 100
Low Volatility 3
Momentum 20
52W Momentum 5
Net Issuance 80

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Nass Petrol Factory Company produces and sells petroleum derivatives in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Syria, Libya, and internationally. It offers base, hydraulic, and transmission oils; and gasoline and diesel engine oils, as well as mechanical oils, lubricants, and distilled water for various engines.

Full company description

Nass Petrol Factory Company produces and sells petroleum derivatives in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Syria, Libya, and internationally. It offers base, hydraulic, and transmission oils; and gasoline and diesel engine oils, as well as mechanical oils, lubricants, and distilled water for various engines. The company sells its products under the FiXOiL, ZERROil, PEROil, Force, and other brands. Nass Petrol Factory Company was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Nass Petrol Factory Company reported revenue of 74.6M SAR in FY2025 versus 91.4M SAR in FY2023, a compound −9.6%/yr. Reported net income was 2.0M SAR in FY2025, compounding −51.6%/yr from FY2023.

Revenue −9.6%/yr
FY23 91.4M SAR
FY24 76.9M SAR
FY25 74.6M SAR
Net income −51.6%/yr
FY23 8.7M SAR
FY24 6.9M SAR
FY25 2.0M SAR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Nass Petrol Factory Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9609.SR

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 / 12
FUTURE 0 / 0
PAST 14 / 0
HEALTH 0 / 87
DIVIDEND 0 / 66

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 1, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CNOOC Limited 0883 HK$26.54 HK$37.40 +41%
ConocoPhillips explores for, COP 2,022 MXN 91.79 MXN -95%
Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ $47.21 $70.51 +49%
EOG Resources, Inc EOG $132.83 $162.51 +22%
Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY $57.10 $25.55 -55%
Diamondback Energy, Inc F1AN34 R$478.77 R$262.76 -45%
Devon Energy Corporation D1VN34 R$233.22 R$162.08 -31%
Woodside Energy Group WOPEF $19.61 $20.68 +5%
EQT Corporation EQT $51.84 $48.58 -6%
Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL $361.11 $160.91 -55%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Nass Petrol Factory Company (9609) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 11.56 SAR versus a price of 29.00 SAR, about −60% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 9609?
Our model-based fair value for Nass Petrol Factory Company is 11.56 SAR (as of Aug 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 29.00 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9609?
Nass Petrol Factory Company has a Quality Score of 41/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Nass Petrol Factory Company (9609)?
Nass Petrol Factory Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 74.6M SAR (latest available figure, as of Aug 1, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9609?
The net profit margin of Nass Petrol Factory Company is about 2.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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