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Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Alshehili Company for metal industries stock SAR 82.51, price SAR 52.00, upside +58.7%, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical SA

AC Alshehili Company for metal industries logo Some data Oct 29, 2026

Alshehili Company for metal industries

9624 · SR
Cheap, value-trap risk

The stock costs 37% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value 82.51 SAR · Strongly undervalued (37%)
Solidly profitable · 14.9% net margin (TTM)
Low debt
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Even on cautious assumptions the value is 17% above the price (60.72 SAR).
Quality 42/100
Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +15.1 %/yr in SAR)
3.8% dividend yield · Watch coverage
Wide moat 65/100 · thin data
Some data
Negative free cash flow
⟳ Cyclical⚠ Dilution⚠ Thinly traded⚠ Small free float
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

82.27 SAR 48.59 SAR Fair Value 82.51 SAR Jan 2025 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

21‑month range 48.59 SAR – 82.27 SAR · fair‑value band 60.72 SAR – 104.29 SAR · the 52.00 SAR price screens below the 82.51 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 29, 2026.

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Company profile

Alshehili Company for metal industries designs, manufactures, and sells logistics freight vehicles and defense products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

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The company provides refrigerated reefer, dry cargo, curtain side, high side, flatbed, low bed, double deck car, refrigerated utility, and dry cargo utility trailers; tanker trailers and trucks; boom trucks and block cranes; tipper dump trailers and trucks, concrete mixers, and concrete pumps; and horse transport and mobile home trailers, and mobile clinics.

It also offers SUV and van armored cash-carriers; dry cargo box, refrigerated box, sliding door, curtain type, icebox side door, dry cargo side door, fixed body car recovery, cargo transporter, mobile workshop, dianna, and sliding body car recovery trucks; refrigerated box and dry cargo box pick-ups; refrigerated and dry cargo insulated vans; shelters and cold stores; and windscreen-glasses.

In addition, the company provides concrete block grapples; tractor head; cooling units; chassis; and tail lifts. Further, it offers armored shield turret pickup, armored heavy machinery, troop carrier, special project, mobile shooting range, armored glass, and vehicle armoring products.

Additionally, the company provides maintenance, repair, and overhaul services, including under floor, outer edge, outer wall, floor, door, front wall, landing leg, inner edge, chassis, curtain, bumper, door frame, livery, axle, outer roof, inner roof, paint, air-electrical coupling unit, inner wall, and partition damage repair services, as well as refurbishing overhaul services.

The company serves various organizations and government institutions. Alshehili Company for metal industries was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Stock analysis

Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624) currently trades at 52.00 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 82.51 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 37.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 185.18 SAR per share, and 10 of the 16 models we run sit above the 52.00 SAR price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 24.38 SAR, and 6 of the 16 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: 60.72 SAR (bear) to 104.29 SAR (bull), the price of 52.00 SAR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Alshehili Company for metal industries reported revenue of 84.8M SAR in FY2025 versus 28.5M SAR in FY2021, a compound +31.4%/yr. Reported net income was 13.8M SAR in FY2025, compounding +18.4%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 128M SAR (≈ $34.2M) Micro · P/E ratio 12.1 · P/S ratio 1.78 · EPS (TTM) 4.31 SAR · Dividend yield 3.8% · Net margin 14.9% · Return on equity 22.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 65 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 7% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at 59%, 9624 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 60.72 SAR Fair Value 82.51 SAR Bull 104.29 SAR
Price 52.00 SAR · Upside +58.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.92 SAR per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
Residual Income 34.32 SAR 44.14 SAR 66.37 SAR 75
EPV 52.30 SAR 59.60 SAR 65.77 SAR 74
ROIC Compounder 64.65 SAR 93.18 SAR 110.25 SAR 72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 37.62 SAR 262.34 SAR 368.15 SAR 63
Lynch FV 99.95 SAR 142.78 SAR 185.61 SAR 61
PEG = 1.0 99.95 SAR 142.78 SAR 185.61 SAR 57
EPV 52.30 SAR 59.60 SAR 65.77 SAR 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 14.51 SAR 27.33 SAR 39.13 SAR 67
DDM Multi-Stage 14.51 SAR 24.38 SAR 29.05 SAR 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 91.28 SAR 121.70 SAR 152.13 SAR 63
P/S Multiple 30.53 SAR 40.71 SAR 50.89 SAR 58
P/B Multiple 104.98 SAR 139.97 SAR 174.96 SAR 55
EV/EBIT 82.09 SAR 111.54 SAR 140.99 SAR 66
EV/EBITDA 62.10 SAR 84.90 SAR 107.69 SAR 67
EV/Revenue 22.23 SAR 34.44 SAR 46.65 SAR 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 17.19 SAR 26.04 SAR 32.55 SAR 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 34.32 SAR 44.14 SAR 66.37 SAR 75
ROIC Compounder 64.65 SAR 93.18 SAR 110.25 SAR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 129.62 SAR 185.18 SAR 240.73 SAR 67

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 62
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 33
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 84
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 33
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 50
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 30
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 31
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 3
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+32.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+15.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+12.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.28% → 19%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 661 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +58.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 22.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets 13.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months) 14.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 15.2% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −37.3% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months) 3.8% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 12.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.47× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 1.78× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.7× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 32
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 34
PAST (return on equity)88 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)77 · sector 39

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Alshehili Company for metal industries · Fair Value
82.51 SAR +37%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alshehili Company for metal industries Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9624

Frequently asked questions

Is Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 82.51 SAR versus a price of 52.00 SAR, about +59% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9624?
Our model-based fair value for Alshehili Company for metal industries is 82.51 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 52.00 SAR.
What is the quality score of 9624?
Alshehili Company for metal industries has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 82.51 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 60.72 SAR, optimistic scenario 104.29 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alshehili Company for metal industries stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 82.51 SAR, about +59% upside versus a price of 52.00 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 60.72 SAR, optimistic scenario 104.29 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624)?
Alshehili Company for metal industries reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 72.3M SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 29, 2026).
Does Alshehili Company for metal industries pay a dividend?
Alshehili Company for metal industries currently shows a dividend yield of 3.85% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 29, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alshehili Company for metal industries it is 82.51 SAR per share (as of Oct 29, 2026), against a price of 52.00 SAR. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alshehili Company for metal industries stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 29, 2026, 9624 trades below its calculated fair value: price 52.00 SAR, fair value 82.51 SAR, a gap of about +59% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9624?
No. The price is what the market pays today (52.00 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (82.51 SAR). For Alshehili Company for metal industries the two are 30.51 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alshehili Company for metal industries worth?
The market values Alshehili Company for metal industries at about 128M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 29, 2026). Per share that is 52.00 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 82.51 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9624?
Our models span a range for Alshehili Company for metal industries: cautious scenario 60.72 SAR, base 82.51 SAR, optimistic 104.29 SAR per share (as of Oct 29, 2026, price 52.00 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 9624?
Alshehili Company for metal industries trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.1 (as of Oct 29, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 82.51 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 1.8, EV/EBITDA 7.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alshehili Company for metal industries (as of Oct 29, 2026): return on equity 22.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9624 from its 52-week high?
Alshehili Company for metal industries trades at 52.00 SAR, about 15% below its 52-week high of 61.50 SAR and 7% above the low of 48.59 SAR (as of Oct 26, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 82.51 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alshehili Company for metal industries?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alshehili Company for metal industries stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 29, 2026: price 52.00 SAR, calculated fair value 82.51 SAR (+59%), Quality Score 42/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9624 calculated?
We run Alshehili Company for metal industries through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 82.51 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Alshehili Company for metal industries currently trades 37 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624)?
The closing price on Oct 26, 2026 was 52.00 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 82.51 SAR, about +59% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alshehili Company for metal industries right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (60.72 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.

Key figures of Alshehili Company for metal industries

How large is the market capitalisation of Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624)?
The market capitalisation of Alshehili Company for metal industries is 128M SAR (≈ $34.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alshehili Company for metal industries is 1.78 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624)?
Earnings per share at Alshehili Company for metal industries are 4.31 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624)?
The dividend yield of Alshehili Company for metal industries is 3.8% (payout 46.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624)?
The net margin of Alshehili Company for metal industries is 14.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alshehili Company for metal industries is 22.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alshehili Company for metal industries is 17.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624)?
The operating margin of Alshehili Company for metal industries is 15.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624)?
Revenue at Alshehili Company for metal industries is growing −37.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +32.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624)?
Earnings per share at Alshehili Company for metal industries are growing −58.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624) generate?
The free cash flow of Alshehili Company for metal industries is −15.5M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Alshehili Company for metal industries (9624) carry?
The net debt of Alshehili Company for metal industries is 15.7M SAR (fiscal year 2024). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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