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JF Wealth Holdings Ltd (9636) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · HK · Market cap HK$14.2B

JW JF Wealth Holdings Ltd 9636 · HK
PriceHK$28.70
Fair ValueHK$39.96
Upside+39.2%
Quality74/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 26.9% net margin
generates free cash flow
2.59% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
Wide moat 65/100
Evidence: High Range HK$31.25 – HK$101.55 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 15, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 15, 2026, revised from HK$39.92 to HK$39.96 (+0.1%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price −7.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 39% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (74/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$31.25). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$31.25 to HK$101.55). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

HK$77.98 HK$5.63 Fair Value HK$39.96 Mar 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

How to read this chart

41‑month range HK$5.63 – HK$77.98 · fair‑value band HK$31.25 – HK$101.55 · the HK$28.70 price screens below the HK$39.96 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 15, 2026.

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Analysis

JF Wealth Holdings Ltd (9636) currently trades at HK$28.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$39.96, implying the stock looks roughly 39.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, JF Wealth Holdings Ltd generated revenue of HK$3.4B at a net margin of 26.9%. Revenue declined 5.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 40.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 13.0 (as of Jul 3, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 15, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$31.25 (bear case) to HK$101.55 (bull case); at HK$28.70, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at 39%, 9636 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$13.84 HK$18.78 HK$135.43 76
Growth DCF HK$30.60 HK$53.13 HK$98.67 72
Gordon GGM HK$6.69 HK$13.91 HK$22.06 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$32.26 HK$48.23 HK$99.09 38
Owner Earnings HK$37.02 HK$78.60 HK$165.91 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$17.06 HK$23.56 HK$36.92 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$29.00 HK$47.69 HK$84.34 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$36.80 HK$78.47 HK$135.55 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$21.41 HK$35.35 HK$42.22 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$30.40 HK$61.05 HK$114.10 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$36.09 HK$77.85 HK$147.18 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$13.51 HK$94.23 HK$132.24 54
Lynch FV HK$36.37 HK$51.96 HK$67.55 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$36.37 HK$51.96 HK$67.55 46
EPV HK$21.59 HK$24.45 HK$26.96 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$6.69 HK$13.91 HK$22.06 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$6.69 HK$11.73 HK$14.59 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$32.79 HK$43.72 HK$54.64 63
P/S Multiple HK$6.65 HK$8.87 HK$11.09 58
P/B Multiple HK$19.21 HK$25.61 HK$32.01 55
EV/EBIT HK$35.24 HK$45.51 HK$55.79 53
EV/EBITDA HK$26.87 HK$34.36 HK$41.84 54
EV/Revenue HK$10.62 HK$13.29 HK$15.95 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$3.20 HK$4.29 HK$6.40 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$30.60 HK$53.13 HK$98.67 72
Rev-Margin DCF HK$17.21 HK$26.36 HK$43.63 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$13.84 HK$18.78 HK$135.43 76
ROIC Compounder HK$23.89 HK$29.99 HK$37.50 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$47.01 HK$67.16 HK$87.31 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$67.16) versus Asset-Based (HK$4.29). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$3.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) -5.5%
Net margin 26.9%
Return on equity 40.3%
Free cash flow HK$768M FY2025
P/E ratio 13.0 as of Jul 3, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin -8.6%
EPS (TTM) HK$1.96
Dividend yield 2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -87.7%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 15, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 23

Profitability 89
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 82
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 74
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 59
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

JF SmartInvest Holdings Ltd, an investment holding company, through its subsidiaries, provides online investment decision-making solution services in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

JF SmartInvest Holdings Ltd, an investment holding company, through its subsidiaries, provides online investment decision-making solution services in the People's Republic of China. The company provides financial software sales and services, including market data processing, data analysis, investment decision making support, cloud chart viewing, prerecorded online investor education courses, livestreaming broadcasts, express market reviews, and indicator analysis tools, as well as various online high-end premium services. It is also involved in media promotion; multi-channel network operation; operation energy services; and information and technology activities, as well as value-added telecommunications business, audiovisual network services, and production of radio and television program services. The company was formerly known as JF Wealth Holdings Ltd and changed its name to JF SmartInvest Holdings Ltd in June 2024. JF SmartInvest Holdings Ltd was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

JF Wealth Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$3.4B in FY2025 versus HK$1.9B in FY2022, a compound +22.8%/yr. Reported net income was HK$922M in FY2025, compounding +26.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$3.4B
Latest YoY
+48.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.8%
Revenue +22.8%/yr
FY22 HK$1.9B
FY23 HK$2.0B
FY24 HK$2.3B
FY25 HK$3.4B
Net income +26.0%/yr
FY22 HK$461M
FY23 HK$191M
FY24 HK$272M
FY25 HK$922M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JF Wealth Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9636

Peer Group

Education & Training Services · 149 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +39% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 40% · Top 25%
Return on assets 12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 27% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 13.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 4.78× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.14× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 14.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 86 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 22
PAST 100 · sector 19
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 52 · sector 74

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Education & Training Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 15, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
New Oriental Education & Technology Group EDUN 966.48 MXN 875.84 MXN -9%
TAL Education Group TAL $11.87 $15.60 +31%
Laureate Education, Inc LAUR $36.99 $41.45 +12%
Physicswallah Limited PWL ₹123.90 ₹14.81 -88%
Grand Canyon Education, Inc LOPE $142.06 $152.01 +7%
Covista Inc CVSA $128.22 $135.45 +6%
Stride, Inc LRN $78.59 $139.45 +77%
Universal Technical Institute, Inc UTI $25.64 $20.98 -18%
Perdoceo Education Corporation PRDO $31.24 $40.65 +30%
Strategic Education, Inc STRA $79.98 $105.48 +32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is JF Wealth Holdings Ltd (9636) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 15, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$39.96 versus a price of HK$28.70, about +39% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9636?
Our model-based fair value for JF Wealth Holdings Ltd is HK$39.96 (as of Aug 15, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$28.70.
What is the quality score of 9636?
JF Wealth Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of JF Wealth Holdings Ltd (9636)?
JF Wealth Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$3.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 15, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9636?
The net profit margin of JF Wealth Holdings Ltd is about 26.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 26.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does JF Wealth Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
JF Wealth Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.59% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 15, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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