Newborn Town Inc (9911) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · HK · Market cap HK$11.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price −10.6% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 35% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from HK$8.39 (bear) to HK$13.98 (bull), base HK$11.19. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 67/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$1.07 – HK$13.88 · fair‑value band HK$8.39 – HK$13.98 · the HK$8.30 price screens below the HK$11.19 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Newborn Town Inc (9911) currently trades at HK$8.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$11.19, implying the stock looks roughly 34.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Newborn Town Inc generated revenue of HK$6.9B at a net margin of 13.6%. Revenue grew 31.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 45.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$2.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$8.39 (bear case) to HK$13.98 (bull case); at HK$8.30, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 35%, 9911 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$30.04) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.16). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (72).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Newborn Town Inc. operates as a social networking entertainment company worldwide. The company engages in the operation of MICO, a live streaming social networking platform; YoHo, an audio social networking platform; SUGO, a companion-based social networking platform; TopTop, a game-oriented social networking platform; LGBTQ+ platforms, including Blued and …
Full company description
Newborn Town Inc. operates as a social networking entertainment company worldwide. The company engages in the operation of MICO, a live streaming social networking platform; YoHo, an audio social networking platform; SUGO, a companion-based social networking platform; TopTop, a game-oriented social networking platform; LGBTQ+ platforms, including Blued and Heesay; and Finka, a social networking business. It also offers Alice's Dream, a game product; Heer Health for HIV prevention and treatment, and sexual health services; Aippy, a consumer-grade AI application; and advertising spaces to agencies of advertisers. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Sha Tin, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Newborn Town Inc reported revenue of HK$6.9B in FY2025 versus HK$2.4B in FY2021, a compound +30.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$935M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Software - Application · 709 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAP SE SAPS | C$12.69 | C$16.26 | +28% |
| Shopify Inc SHOP | C$173.23 | C$20.54 | -88% |
| Uber Technologies, Inc UBER | $72.67 | $51.11 | -30% |
| Salesforce, Inc CRM | $170.77 | $182.10 | +7% |
| ServiceNow, Inc NOW | $107.71 | $33.12 | -69% |
| Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS | $384.17 | $80.41 | -79% |
| Snowflake Inc SNOW | $271.87 | $34.04 | -87% |
| Adobe Inc ADBE | $230.61 | $379.48 | +65% |
| Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP | $241.92 | $177.51 | -27% |
| Intuit Inc INTU | $291.09 | $258.69 | -11% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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