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Xingye Wulian Service Group Co Ltd (9916) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · HK · Market cap HK$146M

XW Xingye Wulian Service Group Co Ltd 9916 · HK
PriceHK$0.3700
Fair ValueHK$0.5291
Upside+43.0%
Quality54/100
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Expensive Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.0% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/11)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: High Range HK$0.2961 – HK$0.6912 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +5.7% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 43% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (54/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$0.2961 to HK$0.6912) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$1.15 HK$0.3050 Fair Value HK$0.5291 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.3050 – HK$1.15 · fair‑value band HK$0.2961 – HK$0.6912 · the HK$0.3700 price screens below the HK$0.5291 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Xingye Wulian Service Group Co Ltd (9916) currently trades at HK$0.3700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$0.5291, implying the stock looks roughly 43.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Xingye Wulian Service Group Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$411M at a net margin of 11.0%. Revenue grew 17.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$227M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$0.2961 (bear case) to HK$0.6912 (bull case); at HK$0.3700, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at 43%, 9916 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income HK$1.03 HK$1.06 HK$1.07 76
Growth DCF HK$0.6200 HK$0.6500 HK$0.7000 72
P/S Multiple HK$1.44 HK$1.91 HK$2.39 58
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$0.6200 HK$0.6500 HK$0.7200 38
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.37 HK$2.36 HK$3.82 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.66 HK$3.00 HK$4.85 41
10Y Revenue Exit HK$1.03 HK$1.77 HK$3.09 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.23 HK$2.20 HK$3.93 37
Multiples
P/S Multiple HK$1.44 HK$1.91 HK$2.39 58
P/B Multiple HK$1.44 HK$1.91 HK$2.39 55
EV/EBIT HK$2.87 HK$3.64 HK$4.40 53
EV/EBITDA HK$2.43 HK$3.05 HK$3.67 54
EV/Revenue HK$1.84 HK$2.38 HK$2.92 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.6800 HK$0.9100 HK$1.36 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$0.6200 HK$0.6500 HK$0.7000 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$1.03 HK$1.06 HK$1.07 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$2.38) versus Growth DCF (HK$0.6500). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$411M
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.8%
Net margin 11.0%
Return on equity 8.6%
Free cash flow HK$1.9M FY2025
P/E ratio 2.8 as of Jul 3, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 14.5%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0500
EPS growth (YoY) +25.0%
Net cash HK$227M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 46

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Xingye Wulian Service Group Co. Ltd., an investment holding company, provides property management, value-added, and property engineering services in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Xingye Wulian Service Group Co. Ltd., an investment holding company, provides property management, value-added, and property engineering services in the People's Republic of China. Its property management services include security, cleaning, greening and gardening, parking space management, repair and maintenance, and customer services; and value-added services, such as repair and maintenance, renovation waste clearance, intermediary leasing services, etc. The company property engineering services consist of planning, designing, and installation of security and surveillance, access control, carpark management, and construction site management systems. It is also involved in the hotel and catering operations. In addition, the company provides property development and elderly care services; online group-buying services and charging pile services; and club house services, including catering and ancillary services, as well as intermediary services comprising real estate leasing and selling intermediaries services, and renovation intermediaries services. Xingye Wulian Service Group Co. Ltd. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Zhengzhou, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Xingye Wulian Service Group Co Ltd reported revenue of HK$411M in FY2025 versus HK$282M in FY2021, a compound +9.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$45.0M in FY2025, compounding −4.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$411M
Latest YoY
+14.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.0%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.1%
Revenue +9.9%/yr
FY21 HK$282M
FY22 HK$321M
FY23 HK$359M
FY24 HK$359M
FY25 HK$411M
Net income −4.7%/yr
FY21 HK$54.5M
FY22 HK$47.2M
FY23 HK$40.2M
FY24 HK$45.1M
FY25 HK$45.0M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xingye Wulian Service Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9916

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 529 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside +43% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Below median
Revenue growth 18% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.36× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 9.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 91 · sector 34
FUTURE 89 · sector 10
PAST 34 · sector 16
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 59

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,989 CLP 4,571 CLP +15%
PT Solusi Tunas Pratama Tbk SUPR 43,850 IDR 15,049 IDR -66%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,412 CLP 2,976 CLP +23%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 392.00 IDR 1,012 IDR +158%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 22,000 IDR 19,160 IDR -13%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,610 IDR 3,464 IDR -4%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 2,990 ARS +20%
PT Plaza Indonesia Realty Tbk PLIN 2,510 IDR 2,698 IDR +7%
PT MNC Tourism Indonesia Tbk, KPIG 74.00 IDR 122.12 IDR +65%
PT Indonesian Paradise Property Tbk INPP 770.00 IDR 291.52 IDR -62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Xingye Wulian Service Group Co Ltd (9916) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$0.5291 versus a price of HK$0.3700, about +43% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9916?
Our model-based fair value for Xingye Wulian Service Group Co Ltd is HK$0.5291 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$0.3700.
What is the quality score of 9916?
Xingye Wulian Service Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Xingye Wulian Service Group Co Ltd (9916)?
Xingye Wulian Service Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$411M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9916?
The net profit margin of Xingye Wulian Service Group Co Ltd is about 11.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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