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Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd HK$1.53, price HK$1.10, upside +39.1%, quality 31 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Real Estate · HK · ISIN KYG7339A1076

RH Thin data Sep 27, 2026

Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd

9993 · HK

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

✓Fair value HK$1.53 · Undervalued (+39.1%)
!Quality 31/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −16.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -48.8% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/10)
!Narrow moat 1/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

HK$5.20 HK$0.8600 Fair Value HK$1.53 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.8600 – HK$5.20 · fair‑value band HK$1.14 – HK$2.28 · the HK$1.10 price screens below the HK$1.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Radiance Holdings (Group) Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property development business in Mainland China. The company develops and sells residential and commercial properties; and leases commercial properties, such as office buildings, shopping malls, and shopping streets.

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Radiance Holdings (Group) Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in property development business in Mainland China. The company develops and sells residential and commercial properties; and leases commercial properties, such as office buildings, shopping malls, and shopping streets. It also provides management consulting services related to construction, sales and marketing of properties, and project management; and business management and hotel services. Radiance Holdings (Group) Company Limited was founded in 1996 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Stock analysis

Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993) currently trades at HK$1.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.53, implying the stock looks roughly 28.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 80/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: HK$1.14 (bear) to HK$2.28 (bull), the price of HK$1.10 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 13.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 40.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound −23.3%/yr. Reported net income was −6.7B CNY in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap HK$4.4B (≈ $567M) · P/S ratio 0.30 · EPS (TTM) HK$−0.0600 · Net margin −48.7% · Return on equity −39.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.1% · Operating margin −39.9% · Revenue (TTM) 14.2B CNY.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at 39%, 9993 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear HK$1.14 Fair Value HK$1.53 Bull HK$2.28
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.14 HK$1.53 HK$2.29 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.14 HK$1.53 HK$2.29 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 20

Profitability 1
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 31
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−44.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−26.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−16.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
15.4% (2020) → −18.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Development · 575 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 28 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +39.1% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −2.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −48.8% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −39.9% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −7.2% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.28× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.07× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.04× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)85 · sector 70
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 12
HEALTH (low debt)36 · sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 55

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited 0016 HK$107.10 HK$155.14 +45%
CK Asset Holdings 1113 HK$46.00 HK$71.49 +55%
Hongkong Land Holdings H78 $8.57 $1.52 −82%
DLF Limited DLF ₹683.00 ₹167.48 −75%
China Overseas Land & Investment Limited 0688 HK$12.42 HK$22.33 +80%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,165 ₹274.14 −76%
Poly Developments and Holdings 600048 ¥5.56 ¥5.87 +6%
China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings 001979 ¥7.18 ¥6.04 −16%
The Wharf (Holdings) Limited 0004 HK$19.39 HK$8.31 −57%
CTP N.V CTPNV €12.90 €10.46 −19%

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Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd · Fair Value
HK$1.53 +28%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/9993

Frequently asked questions

Is Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.53 versus a price of HK$1.10, about +39% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 9993?
Our model-based fair value for Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd is HK$1.53 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$1.10.
What is the quality score of 9993?
Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$1.53 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.14, optimistic scenario HK$2.28. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$1.53, about +39% upside versus a price of HK$1.10 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.14, optimistic scenario HK$2.28. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993)?
Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 14.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd it is HK$1.53 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of HK$1.10. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 9993 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$1.10, fair value HK$1.53, a gap of about +39% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 9993?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$1.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$1.53). For Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd the two are HK$0.4300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd worth?
The market values Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd at about HK$4.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is HK$1.10; our models calculate a fair value of HK$1.53 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 9993?
Our models span a range for Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.14, base HK$1.53, optimistic HK$2.28 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price HK$1.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993)?
Balance-sheet figures for Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity −39.9%, debt of 1.28 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 31/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 9993 from its 52-week high?
Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd trades at HK$1.10, about 63% below its 52-week high of HK$2.98 and 28% above the low of HK$0.8600 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$1.53 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited, CK Asset Holdings, Hongkong Land Holdings, DLF Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price HK$1.10, calculated fair value HK$1.53 (+39%), Quality Score 31/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 9993 calculated?
We run Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of HK$1.53, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd currently trades 28 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was HK$1.10. Our model-based fair value is HK$1.53, about +39% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.14). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (HK$1.14 to HK$2.28) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993)?
The market capitalisation of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd is HK$4.4B (≈ $567M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd is 0.30 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993)?
Earnings per share at Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd are HK$−0.0600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993)?
The net margin of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd is −48.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd is −39.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd is −1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993)?
The operating margin of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd is −39.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993)?
Revenue at Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd is growing −7.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −26.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993)?
Earnings per share at Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd are growing −57.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993) generate?
The free cash flow of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd is −506M CNY (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd (9993) carry?
The net debt of Radiance Holdings Group Co Ltd is 22.4B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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