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ESR-REIT (9A4U) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · SG · Market cap 1.9B SGD

ER ESR-REIT 9A4U · SG
Price2.30 SGD
Fair Value1.98 SGD
Upside-13.9%
Quality59/100
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Evidence: Medium Range 1.17 SGD – 1.98 SGD

Fair value as of: Jul 4, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated today

Share price −2.5% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

2.79 SGD 2.23 SGD Fair Value 1.98 SGD Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range 2.23 SGD – 2.79 SGD · fair‑value band 1.17 SGD – 1.98 SGD · the 2.30 SGD price screens above the 1.98 SGD fair value. As of Jul 4, 2026.

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Analysis

ESR-REIT (9A4U) currently trades at 2.30 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.98 SGD — implying the stock looks roughly 13.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, ESR-REIT generated revenue of 449M SGD at a net margin of 7.1%. Revenue grew 17.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.0%. Net debt stands at 2.2B SGD. Fundamentals as of Jul 4, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 449M SGD
Revenue growth (YoY) +17.4%
Net margin 7.1%
Return on equity 2.0%
Free cash flow 248M SGD FY2025
P/E ratio 230.0
More key figures
Operating margin 66.4%
EPS (TTM) 0.0100 SGD
Dividend yield 9.7%
Net debt 2.2B SGD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 4, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

ESR-REIT is a leading New Economy and future-ready Asia Pacific S-REIT. Listed on the Singapore Exchange Securities Trading Limited since 25 July 2006, ESR-REIT invests in quality income-producing industrial properties in key gateway markets. As at 31 December 2025, ESR-REIT holds interests in a diversified portfolio of logistics properties, high-specifications industrial properties, business parks and general industrial properties with total assets of approximately 5.9 billion US dollar. Its portfolio comprises 70 properties (excluding 48 Pandan Road held through a joint venture) located across the developed markets of Singapore (50 assets), Australia (18 assets) and Japan (2 assets), with a total gross floor area of approximately 2.4 million sqm, as well as investments in three property funds in Australia. ESR-REIT is also a constituent of the FTSE EPRA Nareit Global Real Estate Index. ESR-REIT is managed by ESR-REIT Management (S) Limited and sponsored by ESR. The Manager is …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

ESR-REIT reported revenue of 446M SGD in FY2025 versus 343M SGD in FY2022, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was 31.7M SGD in FY2025.

Revenue +9.1%/yr
FY22 343M SGD
FY23 386M SGD
FY24 371M SGD
FY25 446M SGD
Net income
FY22 −278M SGD
FY23 −67.4M SGD
FY24 −128M SGD
FY25 31.7M SGD

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Frequently asked questions

Is ESR-REIT (9A4U) undervalued?
As of Jul 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.98 SGD versus a price of 2.30 SGD — about −14% (overvalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of 9A4U?
Our model-based fair value for ESR-REIT is 1.98 SGD (as of Jul 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2.30 SGD.
What is the quality score of 9A4U?
ESR-REIT has a Quality Score of 59/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of ESR-REIT (9A4U)?
ESR-REIT reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 449M SGD (latest available figure, as of Jul 4, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 9A4U?
The net profit margin of ESR-REIT is about 7.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does ESR-REIT pay a dividend?
ESR-REIT currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.65% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 4, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.