Asahi Co (AAHIF) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $208M
Asahi Co
AAHIF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $15.01 to $10.80 (−28.0%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A solid business, screening 35% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- Our model range runs from $8.10 (bear) to $13.50 (bull), base $10.80. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 64/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $7.37 – $9.59 · fair‑value band $8.10 – $13.50 · the $7.99 price screens below the $10.80 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Asahi Co (AAHIF) currently trades at $7.99, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.80, implying the stock looks roughly 35.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Asahi Co generated revenue of $81.4B at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue grew 1.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 9.3. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $8.10 (bear case) to $13.50 (bull case); at $7.99, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -24% fair-value upside, at 35%, AAHIF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($14.02) versus Earnings-Based ($2.85). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Asahi Co., Ltd. sells bicycles, parts, accessories, and other related products in Japan and China. It offers wholesale and retail general, sports, children's, folding, and electric assist bicycles; and ancillary services, such as maintenance, repair, and other services; and sales of its own branded products to franchised stores.
Full company description
Asahi Co., Ltd. sells bicycles, parts, accessories, and other related products in Japan and China. It offers wholesale and retail general, sports, children's, folding, and electric assist bicycles; and ancillary services, such as maintenance, repair, and other services; and sales of its own branded products to franchised stores. It operates retail and online stores. The company sells its products under the Cycle Base Asahi brand. The company was formerly known as Asahi Gangu and changed its name to Asahi Co., Ltd. in May 1992. Asahi Co., Ltd. was founded in 1949 and is headquartered in Osaka, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Asahi Co reported revenue of $81.4B in FY2026 versus $71.4B in FY2022, a compound +3.3%/yr. Reported net income was $2.3B in FY2026, compounding −10.5%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Specialty Retail · 221 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $827.04 | $405.44 | -51% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $222.84 | $164.16 | -26% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $479.57 | $488.39 | +2% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $208.89 | $181.10 | -13% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $83.98 | $109.12 | +30% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥52.90 | ¥40.40 | -24% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $31.01 | $35.52 | +15% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $618.57 | $423.35 | -32% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $197.71 | $117.29 | -41% |
| Taiwan Mobile Co 3045 | 110.50 TWD | 80.98 TWD | -27% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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