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Aalberts N.V (AALB) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · NL · Market cap €4.3B

AN Aalberts N.V AALB · AS
Price€45.08
Fair Value€31.49
Upside-30.1%
Quality58/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 4.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.90% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Moderate moat 45/100
Evidence: High Range €24.13 – €45.39 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from €21.89 to €31.49 (+43.9%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +16.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 30% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (€24.13 to €45.39) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€49.30 €24.02 Fair Value €31.49 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €24.02 – €49.30 · fair‑value band €24.13 – €45.39 · the €45.08 price screens above the €31.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Aalberts N.V (AALB) currently trades at €45.08, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €31.49, implying the stock looks roughly 30.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Aalberts N.V generated revenue of €3.1B at a net margin of 4.8%. Revenue grew 0.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.0%. Net debt stands at €1.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €24.13 (bear case) to €45.39 (bull case); at €45.08, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 81% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -30%, AALB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €11.32 €17.71 €26.09 80
Residual Income €17.89 €18.59 €18.82 76
Rev-Margin DCF €13.72 €24.62 €36.34 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €10.92 €17.88 €27.44 38
Owner Earnings €10.91 €17.86 €27.42 31
5Y Revenue Exit €13.72 €24.51 €37.89 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €25.00 €44.66 €66.85 41
5Y P/E Exit €12.73 €22.73 €32.73 38
10Y Revenue Exit €11.87 €21.16 €32.82 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €19.39 €34.51 €53.54 37
10Y P/E Exit €11.87 €19.99 €29.13 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €9.48 €22.96 €29.67 54
PEG = 1.0 €4.07 €5.81 €7.56 46
EPV €11.47 €14.13 €16.43 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €10.15 €17.63 €26.61 70
DDM Multi-Stage €10.15 €14.94 €19.97 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €21.96 €29.28 €36.60 63
P/S Multiple €17.78 €23.70 €29.63 58
P/B Multiple €17.78 €23.70 €29.63 55
EV/EBIT €25.67 €36.04 €46.40 53
EV/EBITDA €38.96 €53.75 €68.55 54
EV/Revenue €16.77 €26.28 €35.79 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €11.34 €15.20 €22.68 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €11.32 €17.71 €26.09 80
Rev-Margin DCF €13.72 €24.62 €36.34 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €17.89 €18.59 €18.82 76
ROIC Compounder €11.47 €14.13 €16.43 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €16.77 €23.95 €31.14 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (€26.28) versus Earnings-Based (€14.13). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €3.1B
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.3%
Net margin 4.8%
Return on equity 6.0%
Free cash flow €171M FY2025
P/E ratio 28.9
More key figures
Operating margin 9.6%
EPS (TTM) €1.36
Dividend yield 2.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -5.0%
Net debt €1.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 27
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 65
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 89
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Aalberts N.V., together with its subsidiaries, offers mission-critical technologies for building, industry, and semicon markets in Europe, the United States, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates through Building, Industry, and Semicon segments.

Full company description

Aalberts N.V., together with its subsidiaries, offers mission-critical technologies for building, industry, and semicon markets in Europe, the United States, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. The company operates through Building, Industry, and Semicon segments. It offers hydronic flow control systems for heating and cooling to enhance energy efficiency; integrated piping systems to distribute and control liquids and gas; advanced mechatronics specializing in vibration isolation, ultra precision frames, and high purity fluid systems; and surface technologies for surface treatments, heat treatments, polymer coatings, brazing, additive manufacturing, and post processing. It sells its products under the BROEN, Henco, ISIFLO, MIFA, and Metalis brands. The company was formerly known as Aalberts Industries N.V. and changed its name to Aalberts N.V. in April 2019. Aalberts N.V. was founded in 1975 and is headquartered in Utrecht, the Netherlands.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Aalberts N.V reported revenue of €3.1B in FY2025 versus €3.0B in FY2021, a compound +0.9%/yr. Reported net income was €149M in FY2025, compounding −19.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 54/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€3.1B
Latest YoY
−1.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y)
+7.8%
Revenue +0.9%/yr
FY21 €3.0B
FY22 €3.2B
FY23 €3.3B
FY24 €3.1B
FY25 €3.1B
Net income −19.8%/yr
FY21 €360M
FY22 €317M
FY23 €316M
FY24 €179M
FY25 €149M

AALB screens 30% overvalued. Compare with GE Vernova Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aalberts N.V Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AALB

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Specialty Industrial Machinery · 809 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −30% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.29× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.04× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.60× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 28.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.32× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 2 · sector 23
PAST 24 · sector 28
HEALTH 86 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 58 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
GE Vernova Inc 1GEV €887.60 €186.93 -79%
1SIE 1SIE €273.20 €91.93 -66%
SMNS SMNS C$31.76 C$22.68 -29%
Eaton Corporation ETN $407.28 $171.92 -58%
Atlas Copco AB ATCOA kr 195.15 kr 112.59 -42%
Sandvik AB SAND kr 384.10 kr 193.01 -50%
Doosan Enerbility Co 034020 76,400 KRW 7,938 KRW -90%
Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS kr 178.10 kr 124.54 -30%
Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 ¥43.20 ¥22.68 -48%
NARI Technology Co 600406 ¥22.19 ¥18.71 -16%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Aalberts N.V (AALB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €31.49 versus a price of €45.08, about −30% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AALB?
Our model-based fair value for Aalberts N.V is €31.49 (as of Aug 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €45.08.
What is the quality score of AALB?
Aalberts N.V has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Aalberts N.V (AALB)?
Aalberts N.V reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €3.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AALB?
The net profit margin of Aalberts N.V is about 4.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Aalberts N.V pay a dividend?
Aalberts N.V currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.92% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 6, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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