Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $2.9B
Allied Gold Corporation
AAUC · US
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Share price −3.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 23% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($15.33 to $39.01) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- Our model range runs from $15.33 (bear) to $39.01 (bull), base $26.84. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 36/100 (below-average quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
24‑month range $6.09 – $32.01 · fair‑value band $15.33 – $39.01 · the $21.78 price screens below the $26.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC) currently trades at $21.78, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $26.84, implying the stock looks roughly 23.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Allied Gold Corporation generated revenue of $1.4B at a net margin of -9.1%. Revenue grew 13.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -19.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $310M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $15.33 (bear case) to $39.01 (bull case); at $21.78, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 91% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 16% fair-value upside, at 23%, AAUC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($37.73) versus Asset-Based ($2.17). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 39 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Allied Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as gold mining company in Africa. It primarily explores gold and silver deposits. The company's flagship project is the Sadiola gold project comprising of 2 mining licenses located in the Republic of Mali.
Full company description
Allied Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as gold mining company in Africa. It primarily explores gold and silver deposits. The company's flagship project is the Sadiola gold project comprising of 2 mining licenses located in the Republic of Mali. The company was formerly known as Allied Gold Corp Limited & Allied Merger Corporation and changed its name to Allied Gold Corporation in September 2023. Allied Gold Corporation is based in Toronto, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Allied Gold Corporation reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $670M in FY2022, a compound +25.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$51.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Gold · 259 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Gold median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Gold stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newmont Corporation NEMCL | $112.00 | $132.73 | +19% |
| Zijin Mining Group 601899 | ¥28.36 | ¥30.58 | +8% |
| Agnico Eagle Mines Limited AEM | C$191.93 | C$154.33 | -20% |
| Barrick Mining Corporation B | $34.93 | $50.66 | +45% |
| Wheaton Precious Metals Corp WPM | C$152.57 | C$52.47 | -66% |
| Franco-Nevada Corporation FNV | C$284.75 | C$97.76 | -66% |
| AngloGold Ashanti plc AU | $76.35 | $88.63 | +16% |
| Gold Fields Limited GFI | $33.33 | $59.06 | +77% |
| Kinross Gold Corporation KGC | $22.57 | $34.62 | +53% |
| Northern Star Resources Limited NST | A$20.48 | A$15.98 | -22% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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