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PT Mahaka Media Tbk, through its subsidiaries, (ABBA) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · ID · Market cap 118B IDR

PM PT Mahaka Media Tbk, through its subsidiaries, ABBA · JK
Price30.00 IDR
Fair Value12.53 IDR
Upside-58.2%
Quality36/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -15.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/8)
Narrow moat 13/100
Evidence: Low Range 10.29 IDR – 15.83 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −16.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 58% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (15.83 IDR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

560.15 IDR 16.00 IDR Fair Value 12.53 IDR Feb 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 16.00 IDR – 560.15 IDR · fair‑value band 10.29 IDR – 15.83 IDR · the 30.00 IDR price screens above the 12.53 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Mahaka Media Tbk, through its subsidiaries, (ABBA) currently trades at 30.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 12.53 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 58.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Mahaka Media Tbk, through its subsidiaries, generated revenue of 165B IDR at a net margin of -15.6%. Revenue declined 41.0% year over year. Net debt stands at 184B IDR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 10.29 IDR (bear case) to 15.83 IDR (bull case); at 30.00 IDR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 69% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at -58%, ABBA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 11.03 IDR 13.09 IDR 16.68 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 10.28 IDR 12.66 IDR 15.61 IDR 74
NCAV (Graham) 4.09 IDR 5.48 IDR 8.18 IDR 50
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 10.78 IDR 12.90 IDR 16.90 IDR 38
5Y Revenue Exit 10.28 IDR 12.53 IDR 15.83 IDR 39
10Y Revenue Exit 10.29 IDR 12.05 IDR 13.94 IDR 36
Multiples
EV/Revenue 10.39 IDR 12.60 IDR 14.81 IDR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 4.09 IDR 5.48 IDR 8.18 IDR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 11.03 IDR 13.09 IDR 16.68 IDR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 10.28 IDR 12.66 IDR 15.61 IDR 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (12.66 IDR) versus Asset-Based (5.48 IDR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 165B IDR
Revenue growth (YoY) -41.0%
Net margin -15.6%
Return on equity -1,665%
Free cash flow 2.2B IDR FY2025
Operating margin -23.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -6.53 IDR
EPS growth (YoY) -51.9%
Net debt 184B IDR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 12
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

PT Mahaka Media Tbk, through its subsidiaries, operates as a multiplatform media company in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through six segments: Newspaper Advertisement, Digital and Book; Media Buying; Event Organizer; Television Broadcasting; Rent; and IT Services.

Full company description

PT Mahaka Media Tbk, through its subsidiaries, operates as a multiplatform media company in Indonesia and internationally. It operates through six segments: Newspaper Advertisement, Digital and Book; Media Buying; Event Organizer; Television Broadcasting; Rent; and IT Services. The company offers print and digital newspaper advertisements, book publishing, and digital content; media buying services; event organization for various corporate and commercial activities; television broadcasting services; rental services for commercial property and facilities; and information technology services, including digital marketing and software development. The company also engages in press publication, building management, agency creative content, software development, communication equipment trading, and delivery services, as well as book printing and general trading. Web3/NFTs projects and loyalty program services under the CardPlus name. In addition, it provides online services through republika.id, bukurepublika.id, ihram.co.id, and Republika.co.id. PT Mahaka Media Tbk was formerly known as PT Abdi Bangsa Tbk and changed its name to PT Mahaka Media Tbk in May 2010. PT Mahaka Media Tbk was founded in 1992 and is based in Jakarta, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Mahaka Media Tbk, through its subsidiaries, reported revenue of 184B IDR in FY2025 versus 169B IDR in FY2021, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was −23.6B IDR in FY2025.

Growth Quality 30/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
184B IDR
Latest YoY
−11.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.1%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.8%
Revenue +2.2%/yr
FY21 169B IDR
FY22 170B IDR
FY23 201B IDR
FY24 209B IDR
FY25 184B IDR
Net income
FY21 −35.9B IDR
FY22 −31.0B IDR
FY23 −43.7B IDR
FY24 7.5B IDR
FY25 −23.6B IDR

ABBA screens 58% overvalued. Compare with The New York Times Company →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Mahaka Media Tbk, through its subsidiaries, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ABBA

Peer Group

Publishing · 111 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −58% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -16% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -23% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -41% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Publishing median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 38
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 21
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 57

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Mahaka Media Tbk, through its subsidiaries, (ABBA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 12.53 IDR versus a price of 30.00 IDR, about −58% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ABBA?
Our model-based fair value for PT Mahaka Media Tbk, through its subsidiaries, is 12.53 IDR (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 30.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of ABBA?
PT Mahaka Media Tbk, through its subsidiaries, has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Mahaka Media Tbk, through its subsidiaries, (ABBA)?
PT Mahaka Media Tbk, through its subsidiaries, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 165B IDR (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ABBA?
The net profit margin of PT Mahaka Media Tbk, through its subsidiaries, is about -15.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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