Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd A$0.07, price A$0.13, upside -46.2%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0210 – A$0.1450 · fair‑value band A$0.0500 – A$0.0900 · the A$0.1300 price screens above the A$0.0700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Advanced Braking Technology Limited engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, distribution, and sale of braking solutions worldwide. The company offers brakes for light, medium, and heavy vehicles; and ABT failsafe brakes, ABT failsafe emergency driveline brakes, and associated braking systems.
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Advanced Braking Technology Limited engages in the research, design, development, manufacture, distribution, and sale of braking solutions worldwide. The company offers brakes for light, medium, and heavy vehicles; and ABT failsafe brakes, ABT failsafe emergency driveline brakes, and associated braking systems. It also provides BrakeSAFE Wheel End SIBS Brakes, a sealed wet brakes with spring applied hydraulic release mechanism and optional interlocks that eliminates the risk of unintended vehicle movement; BrakeSAFE Driveline SIBS Brakes which act as a supplementary system for critical situations that provides rapid intervention, and preventing unintended vehicle movements during service break failure; and BRAKEiQ, an auto braking system designed to integrate with collision avoidance systems. The company serves mining, defense, civil construction, and waste management industries. Advanced Braking Technology Limited was founded in 1992 and is headquartered in Wangara, Australia.
Stock analysis
Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV) currently trades at A$0.1300, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0700, implying the stock looks roughly 85.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of A$0.1100 per share, and 2 of the 23 models we run sit above the A$0.1300 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at A$0.0200, and 21 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: A$0.0500 (bear) to A$0.0900 (bull), the price of A$0.1300 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Advanced Braking Technology Ltd reported revenue of A$19.1M in FY2025 versus A$9.7M in FY2021, a compound +18.5%/yr. Reported net income was A$1.8M in FY2025, compounding +30.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap A$52.9M (≈ $37.2M) · P/S ratio 1.94 · Net margin 9.3% · Return on equity 19.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.3% · Operating margin 7.1% · Revenue (TTM) A$21.5M · Revenue growth (YoY) +27.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −19% fair-value upside, at −46%, ABV screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear A$0.0500Fair Value A$0.0700Bull A$0.0900
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+25.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.6% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+34.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+34.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−3% → 10%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+68.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +63.3% a year for the price.
Compare Advanced Braking Technology Ltd with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 692 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−46% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)19% · Top 25%
Return on assets10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth27% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
P/B3.47× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM)1.73× · Pricier than median
P/FCF260.4× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA13.1× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 27
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)77· sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 38
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.0700 versus a price of A$0.1300, about −46% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ABV?
Our model-based fair value for Advanced Braking Technology Ltd is A$0.0700 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$0.1300.
What is the quality score of ABV?
Advanced Braking Technology Ltd has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.0700 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.0500, optimistic scenario A$0.0900. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Advanced Braking Technology Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.0700, about −46% upside versus a price of A$0.1300 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.0500, optimistic scenario A$0.0900. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV)?
Advanced Braking Technology Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$21.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Advanced Braking Technology Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +68.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +18.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of ABV use?
Our models discount Advanced Braking Technology Ltd at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.98, country premium for Australia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Advanced Braking Technology Ltd that is +68.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Advanced Braking Technology Ltd grew +18.0 % a year. The price currently implies +68.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (+68.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.27 %: that much free cash flow Advanced Braking Technology Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Advanced Braking Technology Ltd it is A$0.0700 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$0.1300. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Advanced Braking Technology Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ABV trades above its calculated fair value: price A$0.1300, fair value A$0.0700, a gap of about −46% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ABV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$0.1300); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.0700). For Advanced Braking Technology Ltd the two are A$0.0600 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Advanced Braking Technology Ltd worth?
The market values Advanced Braking Technology Ltd at about A$52.9M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$0.1300; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.0700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ABV?
Our models span a range for Advanced Braking Technology Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.0500, base A$0.0700, optimistic A$0.0900 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$0.1300). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV)?
Balance-sheet figures for Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 19.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ABV from its 52-week high?
Advanced Braking Technology Ltd trades at A$0.1300, about 10% below its 52-week high of A$0.1450 and 37% above the low of A$0.0950 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.0700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Advanced Braking Technology Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Advanced Braking Technology Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$0.1300, calculated fair value A$0.0700 (−46%), Quality Score 60/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ABV calculated?
We run Advanced Braking Technology Ltd through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.0700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Advanced Braking Technology Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$0.1300. Our model-based fair value is A$0.0700, about −46% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Advanced Braking Technology Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$0.0900). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV)?
The market capitalisation of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd is A$52.9M (≈ $37.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd is 1.94 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV)?
The net margin of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd is 9.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd is 19.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd is 6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV)?
The operating margin of Advanced Braking Technology Ltd is 7.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV)?
Revenue at Advanced Braking Technology Ltd is growing +27.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +19.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV)?
Earnings per share at Advanced Braking Technology Ltd are growing +61.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Advanced Braking Technology Ltd (ABV) hold?
Advanced Braking Technology Ltd holds more cash than debt, A$1.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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