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Acinque S.p.A (AC5) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · IT · Market cap €426M

AS Acinque S.p.A AC5 · MI
Price€2.10
Fair Value€1.75
Upside-16.7%
Quality54/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 3.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.01% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: High Range €1.22 – €2.17 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 27 days ago

Share price −2.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 17% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • Our model range runs from €1.22 (bear) to €2.17 (bull), base €1.75. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 54/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€2.34 €1.61 Fair Value €1.75 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.61 – €2.34 · fair‑value band €1.22 – €2.17 · the €2.10 price screens above the €1.75 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Acinque S.p.A (AC5) currently trades at €2.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.75, implying the stock looks roughly 16.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Acinque S.p.A generated revenue of €573M at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue declined 22.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.1%. Net debt stands at €177M. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €1.22 (bear case) to €2.17 (bull case); at €2.10, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at -17%, AC5 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €1.86 €1.84 €1.58 76
Rev-Margin DCF €0.5400 €1.41 €2.41 74
ROIC Compounder €0.6500 €0.8200 €0.9500 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €0.0100 38
5Y Revenue Exit €0.5400 €1.44 €2.60 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €0.6300 €1.60 €2.75 41
5Y P/E Exit €0.3100 €1.00 €1.73 38
10Y Revenue Exit €0.1500 €0.8300 €1.79 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €0.2500 €0.9400 €1.90 37
10Y P/E Exit €0.0600 €0.5500 €1.18 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €0.7300 €2.32 €3.09 54
Lynch FV €0.5100 €0.7300 €0.9500 50
PEG = 1.0 €0.5100 €0.7300 €0.9500 46
EPV €0.6500 €0.8200 €0.9500 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.6600 €1.18 €1.63 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.6600 €1.03 €1.27 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €1.44 €1.92 €2.40 63
P/S Multiple €1.36 €1.81 €2.27 58
P/B Multiple €1.36 €1.81 €2.27 55
EV/EBIT €1.60 €2.32 €3.05 53
EV/EBITDA €1.48 €2.16 €2.84 54
EV/Revenue €1.19 €1.94 €2.69 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.31 €1.76 €2.62 50
Growth DCF
Rev-Margin DCF €0.5400 €1.41 €2.41 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €1.86 €1.84 €1.58 76
ROIC Compounder €0.6500 €0.8200 €0.9500 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €1.22 €1.75 €2.27 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (€1.92) versus Earnings-Based (€0.7300). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €573M
Revenue growth (YoY) -22.6%
Net margin 3.7%
Return on equity 4.1%
Free cash flow €5.8M FY2025
P/E ratio 19.6
More key figures
Operating margin 0.7%
EPS (TTM) €0.1100
Dividend yield 4.0%
EPS growth (YoY) -41.5%
Net debt €177M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Acinque S.p.A. operates as a multi-utility company in Italy. The company sells and distributes water, electricity, and gas; generates renewable electricity; and offers district heating, waste collection and recovery, electric mobility, smart city projects, public lighting, and network services.

Full company description

Acinque S.p.A. operates as a multi-utility company in Italy. The company sells and distributes water, electricity, and gas; generates renewable electricity; and offers district heating, waste collection and recovery, electric mobility, smart city projects, public lighting, and network services. It engages in the urban hygiene, waste-to-energy, and smart city businesses. The company was formerly known as Acsm-Agam S.p.A. and changed its name to Acinque S.p.A. in October 2022. The company s was founded in 1961 is based in Como, Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Acinque S.p.A reported revenue of €567M in FY2025 versus €449M in FY2021, a compound +6.0%/yr. Reported net income was €21.0M in FY2025, compounding −17.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 59/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€567M
Latest YoY
+0.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.1%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y)
+13.3%
Revenue +6.0%/yr
FY21 €449M
FY22 €646M
FY23 €600M
FY24 €563M
FY25 €567M
Net income −17.1%/yr
FY21 €44.5M
FY22 €30.8M
FY23 €10.7M
FY24 €21.1M
FY25 €21.0M

AC5 screens 17% overvalued. Compare with Iberdrola, S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Acinque S.p.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/AC5

Peer Group

Utilities - Diversified · 51 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −17% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -23% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.36× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.95× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.86× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 84.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 11 · sector 14
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 16 · sector 33
HEALTH 82 · sector 49
DIVIDEND 80 · sector 80

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Iberdrola, S.A IBE €21.25 €9.34 -56%
Enel SpA ENEL €10.28 €5.83 -43%
Engie SA 1ENGI €26.59 €17.39 -35%
Sempra SRE $93.15 $47.77 -49%
E.ON SE EOAN €19.34 €11.71 -39%
RWE Aktiengesellschaft generates and 1RWE €56.52 €29.64 -48%
ACWA Power Company 2082 198.20 SAR 25.38 SAR -87%
Brookfield Infrastructure Partners L.P. BIPUN C$55.05 C$17.66 -68%
EnBW Energie Baden-Württemberg AG EBK €69.00 €21.11 -69%
EDP, S.A EDP €4.41 €3.81 -14%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Acinque S.p.A (AC5) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1.75 versus a price of €2.10, about −17% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of AC5?
Our model-based fair value for Acinque S.p.A is €1.75 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €2.10.
What is the quality score of AC5?
Acinque S.p.A has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Acinque S.p.A (AC5)?
Acinque S.p.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €573M (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of AC5?
The net profit margin of Acinque S.p.A is about 3.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Acinque S.p.A pay a dividend?
Acinque S.p.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.01% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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