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Alliance Creative Group (ACGX) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $203K

AC Alliance Creative Group logo Alliance Creative Group ACGX · US
Price$0.0250
Fair Value$0.0255
Upside+2.0%
Quality53/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 166.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: High Range $0.0213 – $0.0245 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 13 days ago

Share price −14.4% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.0245). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.6900 $0.0250 Fair Value $0.0255 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0250 – $0.6900 · fair‑value band $0.0213 – $0.0245 · the $0.0250 price screens below the $0.0255 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Alliance Creative Group (ACGX) currently trades at $0.0250, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0255, implying the stock looks roughly 2.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $103K. Revenue declined 49.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 0.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0213 (bear case) to $0.0245 (bull case); at $0.0250, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 78% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 2%, ACGX screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.1000 $0.1800 $0.2900 80
Growth-Adj P/E $0.3500 $0.5000 $0.6500 68
P/E Multiple $0.1500 $0.2000 $0.2500 63
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.1100 $0.1600 $0.3100 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.0300 $0.0400 $0.0500 39
5Y P/E Exit $0.1200 $0.2900 $0.5100 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.0600 $0.1000 $0.1000 36
10Y P/E Exit $0.1200 $0.2700 $0.5100 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.0800 $0.5500 $0.7700 54
Lynch FV $0.2800 $0.4100 $0.5300 50
PEG = 1.0 $0.2800 $0.4100 $0.5300 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.1500 $0.2000 $0.2500 63
P/B Multiple $0.1500 $0.2000 $0.2500 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0500 $0.0700 $0.1100 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.1000 $0.1800 $0.2900 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.0900 $0.0900 $0.1100 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.3500 $0.5000 $0.6500 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($0.5000) versus Asset-Based ($0.0700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $103K
Revenue growth (YoY) -49.0%
Net margin 167%
Return on equity 20.3%
Free cash flow $76.3K FY2025
P/E ratio 0.5
More key figures
Operating margin -172%
EPS (TTM) $0.0600
EPS growth (YoY) -97.1%
Net debt $240K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 10

Profitability 60
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 21
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Alliance Creative Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in investment activities. The company acquires, develops, and scales digital assets.

Full company description

Alliance Creative Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in investment activities. The company acquires, develops, and scales digital assets. It also provides content, marketing, and automation solutions through alliance creative AI agency; AI-powered innovations through AI-driven tools and workflows to automate processes and unlock revenue streams; and strategic acquisitions. In addition, the company acquires and integrates digital assets from media properties and influencer networks; engages in gaming, healthcare, medical tourism, hair and beauty space, entertainment, hospitality, digital tools, and education activities. The company was formerly known as Invicta Group, Inc. and changed its name to Alliance Creative Group, Inc. in November 2010. Alliance Creative Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Alliance Creative Group reported revenue of $8.1K in FY2025 versus $11.1M in FY2021, a compound −83.5%/yr. Reported net income was $81.3K in FY2025, compounding −15.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$8.1K
Latest YoY
−98.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−91.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−75.6%
Avg. growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.2%
Revenue −83.5%/yr
FY21 $11.1M
FY22 $12.2M
FY23 $653K
FY24 $584K
FY25 $8.1K
Net income −15.8%/yr
FY21 $161K
FY22 $93.2K
FY23 $116K
FY24 $124K
FY25 $81.3K
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2023) −34.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share −32.5 pp

of which total revenue −4.1 pp · buybacks/dilution −28.3 pp

EBIT margin −6.0 pp
Tax rate −3.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +7.2 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Alliance Creative Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ACGX

Peer Group

Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Below median
Fair Value upside +2% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Return on assets -4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 167% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -172% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -49% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.25× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 0.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.97× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 2.7× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 36 · sector 9
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 81 · sector 21
HEALTH 88 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).

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Time Technoplast Limited TIMETECHNO ₹206.82 ₹161.42 -22%
EPL Limited 500135 ₹222.25 ₹111.65 -50%
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Frequently asked questions

Is Alliance Creative Group (ACGX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0255 versus a price of $0.0250, about +2% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ACGX?
Our model-based fair value for Alliance Creative Group is $0.0255 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0250.
What is the quality score of ACGX?
Alliance Creative Group has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Alliance Creative Group (ACGX)?
Alliance Creative Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $103K (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ACGX?
The net profit margin of Alliance Creative Group is about 166.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 166.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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