Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of Alliance Creative Group, Inc $0.03, price $0.02, upside +62.2%, quality 53 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0111 – $0.6900 · fair‑value band $0.0280 – $0.0395 · the $0.0193 price screens below the $0.0313 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Alliance Creative Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in investment activities. The company acquires, develops, and scales digital assets.
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Alliance Creative Group, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in investment activities. The company acquires, develops, and scales digital assets. It also provides content, marketing, and automation solutions through alliance creative AI agency; AI-powered innovations through AI-driven tools and workflows to automate processes and unlock revenue streams; and strategic acquisitions. In addition, the company acquires and integrates digital assets from media properties and influencer networks; engages in gaming, healthcare, medical tourism, hair and beauty space, entertainment, hospitality, digital tools, and education activities. The company was formerly known as Invicta Group, Inc. and changed its name to Alliance Creative Group, Inc. in November 2010. Alliance Creative Group, Inc. was incorporated in 2000 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.
Stock analysis
Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX) currently trades at $0.0193, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0313, implying the stock looks roughly 38.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $0.2000 per share, and 12 of the 12 models we run sit above the $0.0193 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.0700, and 0 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.0280 (bear) to $0.0395 (bull), the price of $0.0193 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Alliance Creative Group, Inc reported revenue of $8.1K in FY2025 versus $11.1M in FY2021, a compound −83.5%/yr. Reported net income was $81.3K in FY2025, compounding −15.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $203K · P/E ratio 0.3 · P/S ratio 3.22 · EPS (TTM) $0.0600 · Net margin 167% · Return on equity 20.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −2.9% · Operating margin −172%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 82% below its 52-week high and 74% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at 62%, ACGX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.0280Fair Value $0.0313Bull $0.0395
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0441 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−98.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−91.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−75.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −51.6% a year
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−39.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−39.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−40% vs −37%, slowing
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → −3,379%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 47.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Compare Alliance Creative Group, Inc with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 272 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Above median
Fair Value upside+62% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)20% · Top 25%
Return on assets−4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)167% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−172% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−49% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.25× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
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Is Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0313 versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $0.0193, about +62% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ACGX?
Our model-based fair value for Alliance Creative Group, Inc is $0.0313 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): $0.0193.
What is the quality score of ACGX?
Alliance Creative Group, Inc has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.0313 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.0280, optimistic scenario $0.0395. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alliance Creative Group, Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.0313, about +62% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $0.0193 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.0280, optimistic scenario $0.0395. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alliance Creative Group, Inc it is $0.0313 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $0.0193. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alliance Creative Group, Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, ACGX trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.0193, fair value $0.0313, a gap of about +62% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of ACGX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.0193); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.0313). For Alliance Creative Group, Inc the two are $0.0120 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alliance Creative Group, Inc worth?
The market values Alliance Creative Group, Inc at about $203K (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $0.0193; our models calculate a fair value of $0.0313 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about ACGX?
Our models span a range for Alliance Creative Group, Inc: cautious scenario $0.0280, base $0.0313, optimistic $0.0395 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $0.0193). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of ACGX?
Alliance Creative Group, Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 0.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.0313 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.3, P/S 2.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Alliance Creative Group, Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 20.3%, debt of 0.25 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is ACGX from its 52-week high?
Alliance Creative Group, Inc trades at $0.0193, about 82% below its 52-week high of $0.1050 and 74% above the low of $0.0111 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.0313 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alliance Creative Group, Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alliance Creative Group, Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $0.0193, calculated fair value $0.0313 (+62%), Quality Score 53/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of ACGX calculated?
We run Alliance Creative Group, Inc through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.0313, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Alliance Creative Group, Inc currently trades 62 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at $0.0193. Our model-based fair value is $0.0313, about +62% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Alliance Creative Group, Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0280). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX) come from?
Earnings per share at Alliance Creative Group, Inc grew −34.7 % a year from 2013 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −32.5 %, EBIT margin −6.0 %, tax rate −3.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +6.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Alliance Creative Group, Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX)?
The market capitalisation of Alliance Creative Group, Inc is $203K. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alliance Creative Group, Inc is 3.22 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX)?
Earnings per share at Alliance Creative Group, Inc are $0.0600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 0.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX)?
The net margin of Alliance Creative Group, Inc is 167% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Alliance Creative Group, Inc is 20.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alliance Creative Group, Inc is −2.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX)?
The operating margin of Alliance Creative Group, Inc is −172% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX)?
Revenue at Alliance Creative Group, Inc is growing −49.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −91.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX)?
Earnings per share at Alliance Creative Group, Inc are growing −97.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX) generate?
The free cash flow of Alliance Creative Group, Inc is $76.3K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Alliance Creative Group, Inc (ACGX) carry?
The net debt of Alliance Creative Group, Inc is $240K (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Sep 23, 2026